Hollow Island
New Yorker
- Joined
- Jan 16, 2011
- Messages
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All that's left to count in Nevada is mail-ins and provisionals. That's why there is no true optimism about the state from the Trump camp.
The writing is on the wall.
thank you!
All that's left to count in Nevada is mail-ins and provisionals. That's why there is no true optimism about the state from the Trump camp.
The writing is on the wall.
Trump has a lead of 1.4 in NC with 94 percent counted. It looks safe for fuckface.
Nevada's only counted 67 percent, and Biden is leading by 0.6. What's your take on that? They're still counting Vegas and Reno.
NC is unlikely, but Trump is ahead by only 80k votes there and there seems to be just under 500k left? I'm not entirely sure about this.
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Edit: I guess this number includes mail ballots that were not returned, so ignore it.
The Senate will also be close. You may find a coalition of like Murkowski and Mnuchin and (god forbid) Collins willing to actually govern again.
I believe Biden will hold onto Nevada, but I don't discount two things
1) the economy in Nevada has been devastated by lockdowns and are desperate to get business going again by any means necessary. "this is a flu, let's get things moving" seems like a more popular line of thinking than "let's keep things in lockdown and take the short term hit for long term benefit" in my unscientific view of asking my friend who lives there.
2) even though the state is blue-ish, the money (and this political influence) is very, very red.
Does anyone think Biden could pull out Georgia? We're all still waiting for a ton of votes from Atlanta and its surrounding area, and there's been some noise that there could be enough there to pull ahead. I'm skeptical. But that would be big in terms of widening the EC margin.
Does anyone think Biden could pull out Georgia? We're all still waiting for a ton of votes from Atlanta and its surrounding area, and there's been some noise that there could be enough there to pull ahead. I'm skeptical. But that would be big in terms of widening the EC margin.
Does anyone think Biden could pull out Georgia? We're all still waiting for a ton of votes from Atlanta and its surrounding area, and there's been some noise that there could be enough there to pull ahead. I'm skeptical. But that would be big in terms of widening the EC margin.
For all the doom-saying about polling last night, it *looks* like the most probable scenario is going to happen: a decent popular vote victory and narrow EC victory for Biden.
The majority of the people suffering most are the people who know their bazillionaire employers doesn’t give a fuck about socializing their wealth and are struggling to get the federal government to help them get by.
I get your #2 point, but I just don’t buy that people inherently don’t think pragmatically. Your #1 point makes more sense in Florida - not because their economy is struggling but because they want to make believe like there’s no problem because they’re selfish. Out west I do not think that’s the case. They might still be selfish but I don’t see the same attitude about fake news from people you’d otherwise expect are smart enough to know better.
i agree with your line of thought - i'm just repeating what i've been told by a long time friend on the ground there. there is a lot of desire to ignore or downplay the pandemic in clark county because it is absolutely killing tourism, which in turn is killing nevada's economy.
enough to flip it? i don't think so - but the numbers are closer than even ralston thought they'd be.
[emoji8]On another note, I can’t find $500 million in Bloomberg spending. I see about $150 million mostly in Florida.
I courteously offer you a bottle of Jack Daniels. It’s not real whiskey, but at the very least he wasn’t “all talk” so that desserves to be thanked. Just mostly all talk.
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Hahahaha bye bitch
Gary Peters just took the lead in MI!!!! The senate game is back on!!!!
Sara Gideon has conceded in Maine.