US Politics XXIX: The Final Thread Before XXX - Page 35 - U2 Feedback

Go Back   U2 Feedback > Lypton Village > Free Your Mind > Free Your Mind Archive
Click Here to Login
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
 
Old 11-04-2020, 09:12 PM   #681
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,900
Local Time: 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
Does that race go to a runoff? Or is it just a head to head
Runoff!
__________________

gump is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:22 PM   #682
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,441
Local Time: 11:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
According to MSNBC, Trump is getting about 59% of the first outstanding batch in Maricopa. Not sure if that's enough to close the gap. It could be. Sigh.


I think it is.
__________________

LuckyNumber7 is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:25 PM   #683
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,224
Local Time: 03:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
I think it is.
Yeah, it doesn’t look good
womanfish is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:25 PM   #684
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
I wonder if Fox News called AZ on purpose so they could take it back for a dramatic effect.

Looking more and more likely that it’s truly going to come down to PA aiming AZ goes Red.
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:29 PM   #685
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,900
Local Time: 10:30 AM
At this point, in terms of likelihood of a Biden win, looks like PA > AZ >= GA. Not sure where NV sits.
gump is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:31 PM   #686
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
I’ll say this. The Biden campaign must really believe in their internal data because the campaign of patience and not declaring anything seen pretty convinced that they’re going to hold onto AZ.
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:33 PM   #687
ONE
love, blood, life
 
iron yuppie's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 10,574
Local Time: 09:30 AM
And really no noise from Trump about AZ it seems?
iron yuppie is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:33 PM   #688
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,900
Local Time: 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
I think it is.
He needs about a 20 point win with the 340k left in Maricopa and Biden's 70k advantage, so it's in the ballpark but perhaps just a bit low. This assumes that the outstanding votes elsewhere are neutral overall (but the second largest county, Pima, where Biden is winning 60-39, still has 46k votes left).
gump is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:35 PM   #689
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
He needs about a 20 point win with the 340k left in Maricopa and Biden's 70k advantage, so it's in the ballpark but perhaps just a bit low. This assumes that the outstanding votes elsewhere are neutral overall (but the second largest county, Pima, where Biden is winning 60-39, still has 46k votes left).

So basically any of these batches where Trump underperforms could be the dagger.
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:38 PM   #690
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,441
Local Time: 11:30 AM
Dunno why people aren’t high on GA still. To me that looks like it’s going blue for sure.
LuckyNumber7 is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:42 PM   #691
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
Meanwhile, PA looking really good.
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:43 PM   #692
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
https://twitter.com/natesilver538/st...760436736?s=21
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:44 PM   #693
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,900
Local Time: 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
Dunno why people aren’t high on GA still. To me that looks like it’s going blue for sure.
I am, I am. And conveniently it has more EVs than Arizona.
gump is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:46 PM   #694
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,900
Local Time: 10:30 AM
It's hard to square the fact that the margin in PA may turn out to be larger than WI.
gump is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:46 PM   #695
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,065
Local Time: 09:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikal View Post

He actually win the last 600k votes by 50 points. If this continues, Biden win win PA by over 200k votes.
mikal is online now  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:47 PM   #696
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,441
Local Time: 11:30 AM
The AZ/NV anxiety is coming from the fact that we aren’t seeing movement. No news is bad news lol. Just like NC. Everyone is counting it out. But all of PA and GA keep reporting good news.
LuckyNumber7 is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:49 PM   #697
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,441
Local Time: 11:30 AM
US Politics XXIX: The Final Thread Before XXX

Another baby vote drop in PA of what to my eyes looked like a 5:2 ratio.
LuckyNumber7 is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:56 PM   #698
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,441
Local Time: 11:30 AM
Lead in GA just slipped to under 30k
LuckyNumber7 is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:57 PM   #699
ONE
love, blood, life
 
iron yuppie's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 10,574
Local Time: 09:30 AM
Looks like we won't have a definitive answer on any of this for 24 hours at least.
iron yuppie is offline  
Old 11-04-2020, 09:58 PM   #700
Blue Crack Addict
 
the tourist's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 27,826
Local Time: 08:30 AM
Seems like you guys are getting your info before nbcnews updates. Where you seeing that GA’s under 30k away now? I’m still seeing 37k.
__________________

the tourist is offline  
 

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:30 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Design, images and all things inclusive copyright © Interference.com
×