mikal
Blue Crack Addict
LOL Georgia on our minds?
I think that’s the problem. We dont have a cohesive country. Multiracial democracy is apparently really hard. What kept us together post-WW2 was the Cold War and reasonably good divided government.
It seems the upheaval of the 60s hit harder and lingers longer here than other places.
The NYT needle is full on baby back bullshit and they can eat a dick
I kind of agree, it almost feels like something that is in product development and not ready for consumption. That said, I think there were some issues with how precints were reporting that messed up the projections.
How likely will it be that any states may flip in the coming days as more ballots get counted? Are there some we might want to keep an eye on to potentially switch?
I can almost guarantee you whatever wankers made it made it sensitive to same-day momentum so it’s 95% Trump until Atlanta starts pouring in and now it’s 65% Biden and in reality the true split was probably.... yknow... 65% Trump like it was all along.
this is an interesting thought. the threat of nuclear annihilation did seem to have a way of bringing people together. it's hard to call the 1945-64 post-ww2 period a multiracial democracy though. even today it only really is that way in certain states.
MN called quickly for Biden (AP), a good sign for the upper midwest.
I don't think that was the case. They seemed to be be building it with precinct-level data that could distinguish between early/mail/Election Day voting and extrapolate demographic characteristics. Not sure what happened there.
I love how Atlanta officials have decided to stop counting for tonight and will pick up tomorrow morning. What in the actual fuck is this?
"where did all those ballots go since we left last night?"
I saw their definition and it had a series of different drivers.
As someone who makes fancy sophisticated numerical models for a living I can tell you they’re never as fancy and sophisticated anyone ever thinks they are. Typically, you develop reliability by showing they work, as theoretical models are way harder to develop. For voting that’s a social study, so you can’t really develop a theoretical model.
Which does lead to exactly what you were saying. They probably just put something out there that’s not matured.
"where did all those ballots go since we left last night?"