US Politics XXIX: The Final Thread Before XXX

[mikal]

Meanwhile, PA looking really good.

 

[mikal]

https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1324179308760436736?s=21

 

[gump]

Dunno why people aren’t high on GA still. To me that looks like it’s going blue for sure.

I am, I am. And conveniently it has more EVs than Arizona.

 

[gump]

It's hard to square the fact that the margin in PA may turn out to be larger than WI.

 

[mikal]

https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1324179308760436736?s=21

He actually win the last 600k votes by 50 points. If this continues, Biden win win PA by over 200k votes.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

The AZ/NV anxiety is coming from the fact that we aren’t seeing movement. No news is bad news lol. Just like NC. Everyone is counting it out. But all of PA and GA keep reporting good news.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Another baby vote drop in PA of what to my eyes looked like a 5:2 ratio.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Lead in GA just slipped to under 30k

 

[iron yuppie]

Looks like we won't have a definitive answer on any of this for 24 hours at least.

 

[the tourist]

Seems like you guys are getting your info before nbcnews updates. Where you seeing that GA’s under 30k away now? I’m still seeing 37k.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Looks like we won't have a definitive answer on any of this for 24 hours at least.

Depends what you call a definitive answer. We will have recounts no matter what, but it’s highly likely GA gets called at the rate they’re pouring in their last ballots. Highly likely that it immediately gets contested because it’ll be sub-10k.

 

[Hollow Island]

Guardian has Trump's GA lead at 33k. NYT has it at 37.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Seems like you guys are getting your info before nbcnews updates. Where you seeing that GA’s under 30k away now? I’m still seeing 37k.

I brain farted. Did a 3 - 6 instead of a 6 - 3. 33k as per NYT and AP

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Guardian has Trump's GA lead at 33k. NYT has it at 37.

NYT has 33

 

[iron yuppie]

My gut is Georgia will hold for Trump. AZ and NV will hold for Biden, but they won't release those results until Thursday night or Friday because reasons.

 

[mikal]

These GA votes are going almost 80% for Biden. I wish I knew how many votes were truly left. Even if there were 80k left, Biden would go ahead!

 

[mikal]

Ok I’m reading just about 100k votes yet in GA. If that’s the case, even 70% would take the state.

 

[anitram]

I always saw GA as the little state that could so I remain optimistic.

AZ worries me more.

PA I think will go for Biden quite easily in the end.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

These GA votes are going almost 80% for Biden. I wish I knew how many votes were truly left. Even if there were 80k left, Biden would go ahead!

It’s not hard to get that number. Example: NYT has 84% reporting in Clayton County (+71 Biden, or 85-14 or whatever). 103.5k votes accounted for. 103.5/0.84 - 103.5 = 19.7k votes remaining in that county. If the margin holds, that’s like +13.8k for Biden.

 

[anitram]

Sounds like Trump has a sad.

Drive the dagger deeper.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Sounds like Trump has a sad.

Drive the dagger deeper.

You have to go full “It” on his ass. Do not let up.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

 

[anitram]

https://mobile.twitter.com/nytdavid...tives-tom-cotton-has-perfect-response-n275178

What did I tell you guys? We will be drowning in these articles about Republican after Republican voter in Ohio, Iowa, Missouri, etc and just how time deaf the country is to them.

 

[mikal]

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/status/1324194667857170433?s=21

 

[Hollow Island]

NYT has 33

Now it's 32 (31.7)

 

[LuckyNumber7]

The Georgia is Georgious keep it coming

 

[mikal]

Where we stand in Georgia. 75% Biden will give him about a 5k cushion

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1324200073706819584?s=21

 

[Irvine511]

I feel like it’s still last night.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

I feel like it’s still last night.

They say 3 AM so I expect that.

I can’t imagine any wine else beats that time.

 

[namkcuR]

They say 3 AM so I expect that.

I can’t imagine any wine else beats that time.

Is that for Arizona or Georgia?