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Old 02-11-2008, 06:05 PM   #201
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Quote:
Originally posted by Irvine511
don't look now, but it's on the 2008 ballot for Florida.

but don't worry, it's not intended to drive up evangelical turnout or to placate conservative voters who shudder at voting for the less-hateful Giuliani (who was the likely nominee when the amendment was proposed) or McCain.

no, there's no strategy behind this at all. none whatsoever.
What someone believes may work for them politically is not the issue here. Politics is littered with plans and strategies that never produced their intended results. The issue is claiming that without a particular amendment on the ballot in 11 of states, Bush would have lost the election. The results for the 2004 election show that voter turnout for Republicans was up all across the country, including the 39 states where the amendment was not on the ballot. Bottom line, having that amendment on the ballot does not explain increased Republican voter turnout since it was up everywhere else as well where it was not on the ballot.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:09 PM   #202
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"I'd be naïve if I didn't say it helped," said Robert T. Bennett, chairman of the Ohio Republican Party. "And it helped most in what we refer to as the Bible Belt area of southeastern and southwestern Ohio, where we had the largest percentage increase in support for the president."
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:11 PM   #203
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the increase in Republican turnout was due to Resolution 1441.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:12 PM   #204
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Originally posted by phillyfan26


It doesn't matter he said to you, though, does it? I mean, really, even if he said that, you'd still say, "It's not REAL evidence." Last I check, there wasn't a place on ballots to indicate reasons for voting, so you base reasons off the people and the analysts. Based on that, it's clear that what Irvine said is correct.

I'm not saying that you've gone out of your way defending bigotry on this issue, I'm talking about things like specifically attempting to admonish BVS for calling them what they are.
You can't call someone a bigot if you in fact do not know how they voted on the issue or do not actually know anything about them other than that their an evangelical or a registered Republican.

Republican voter turnout was UP in nearly every single State in the country. Not just the 11 states where the amendment was on the ballot. Bennett thinks the amendment helped because voter turnout was higher in a particular area of Ohio, but he can't actually prove that, and he is certainly NOT claiming Bush would have lost if the amendment had not been on the ballot.

Increased Republican turnout was not a case isolated to Ohio. Every state in the Union experienced increased Republican turnout, regardless of whether the amendment was on the ballot or not.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:15 PM   #205
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Originally posted by phillyfan26
The fact that a particular area of Ohio had the largest increase in percentage turnout from the previous election doesn't prove that the result would not have happened if the amendment had not been on the ballot. AGAIN, look at the 39 states where the amendment was not on the ballot. They all had large increases in Republican turnout.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:18 PM   #206
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Originally posted by Strongbow
You can't call someone a bigot if you in fact do not know how they voted on the issue or do not actually know anything about them other than that their an evangelical or a registered Republican.

Republican voter turnout was UP in nearly every single State in the country. Not just the 11 states where the amendment was on the ballot. Bennett thinks the amendment helped because voter turnout was higher in a particular area of Ohio, but he can't actually prove that, and he is certainly NOT claiming Bush would have lost if the amendment had not been on the ballot.

Increased Republican turnout was not a case isolated to Ohio. Every state in the Union experienced increased Republican turnout, regardless of whether the amendment was on the ballot or not.
We're calling the people who are against gay rights bigots.

But, here's the thing: Bennett is an EXPERT. He knows more than you do. His area of expertise is Republican voters in Ohio. He said the amendment helped. He said turnout was highest in the Bible Belt counties. Higher than your overall Republican turnout.

It's all a matter of connecting the dots. For example:



In this drawing, connecting the dots creates the image of George Washington, 1st President of the United States.

In the same way, connecting the dots of evangelicals, this amendment, and the increase in voters in the evangelical counties being higher than in any other county in the state all paint the same picture ... the one Irvine's been talking about.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:26 PM   #207
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Originally posted by phillyfan26


We're calling the people who are against gay rights bigots.

But, here's the thing: Bennett is an EXPERT. He knows more than you do. His area of expertise is Republican voters in Ohio. He said the amendment helped. He said turnout was highest in the Bible Belt counties. Higher than your overall Republican turnout.

It's all a matter of connecting the dots. For example:



In this drawing, connecting the dots creates the image of George Washington, 1st President of the United States.

In the same way, connecting the dots of evangelicals, this amendment, and the increase in voters in the evangelical counties being higher than in any other county in the state all paint the same picture ... the one Irvine's been talking about.
The fact is that Republican turnout was UP in every State in the country regardless of whether or not the amendment was on the ballot. Bennett thinks that it helped, but considering what happened in states without the amendment on the ballot, its doubtful that it did. States like Pennsylvania and Indiana had increased Republican voter turnout, but there was no gay amendment on the ballot.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:30 PM   #208
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In what counties did turnout increase most in Ohio?

The ones Bennett referenced.

Which counties are considered the "Bible Belt" counties of Ohio?

The ones Bennett referenced.

Evangelicals tend to hold what issue as one of their biggest motivators?

Banning gay marriage.

What amendment was in the state of Ohio?

Hmmm...

Not. That. Hard.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:38 PM   #209
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Quote:
Originally posted by phillyfan26
In what counties did turnout increase most in Ohio?

The ones Bennett referenced.

Which counties are considered the "Bible Belt" counties of Ohio?

The ones Bennett referenced.

Evangelicals tend to hold what issue as one of their biggest motivators?

Banning gay marriage.

What amendment was in the state of Ohio?

Hmmm...

Not. That. Hard.
Was Ohio the only state in the country to experience an increase in Republican voter turnout? NO

In fact every state experienced what Ohio experienced even though the vast majority of them did not have a certain amendment on the ballot.

Increased Republican voter turnout was not an event isolated to Ohio or states with the amendment on the ballot.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:40 PM   #210
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Fracturing of a party, we've gotten off topic...
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:44 PM   #211
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Quote:
Originally posted by Strongbow


Was Ohio the only state in the country to experience an increase in Republican voter turnout? NO

In fact every state experienced what Ohio experienced even though the vast majority of them did not have a certain amendment on the ballot.

Increased Republican voter turnout was not an event isolated to Ohio or states with the amendment on the ballot.
My whole point is that the counties I'm specifically talking about are ones that had even more increase than the normal increase you're talking about! There was an additional increase that isn't addressed by your "entire country increase" argument. That's what I'm talking about.

Stop bringing up the other states.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:48 PM   #212
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it boggles the mind.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:52 PM   #213
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Quote:
Originally posted by phillyfan26


My whole point is that the counties I'm specifically talking about are ones that had even more increase than the normal increase you're talking about! There was an additional increase that isn't addressed by your "entire country increase" argument. That's what I'm talking about.

Stop bringing up the other states.
Your claiming that increases in Republican turnout are some how isolated to Ohio or particular counties in Ohio but that is false.

Just off hand, the increase in Republican voter turnout was higher in Missouri and Pennsylvania than Ohio, two states where the amendment was not on the ballot.
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Old 02-11-2008, 06:54 PM   #214
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Originally posted by BonoVoxSupastar
Fracturing of a party, we've gotten off topic...
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Old 05-15-2008, 02:48 PM   #215
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GOPER COMPARES BRAND TO BAD DOG FOOD

A former House GOP leader is calling this year's political atmosphere "the worst since Watergate and is far more toxic than the fall of 2006," citing "deep seeded (sic) antipathy toward the president."

Rep. Tom Davis wrote a 20-page treatise (see earlier note) assessing the state of the Republican Party as we head into the summer and presented it to House GOP rank and file this morning. Davis, who is retiring, is rumored to be interested in finishing his term as the head of the GOP House campaign arm.
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archi...4/1022156.aspx
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Old 05-15-2008, 04:07 PM   #216
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Re: Re: The Fracturing of a Party...

Quote:
Originally posted by deep


this wii die down a lot
once McCain locks up the nomination

and McCain can and will most likely beat Obama in Nov.

Hillary would give McCain a more difficult contest.
No she wouldn't...no way...too many people on the "left" and the "right" simply cannot stand Hillary Clinton (and to be honest I don't blame them) - after the way she's behaved during this primary there is no way she could hold a candle to John McCain. Thank God she didn't win the nomination.
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