speedracer
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
- Joined
- Feb 3, 2001
- Messages
- 7,604
More analysis of Bill Belichick's 4th-and-2 decision from Advanced NFL Stats here.
In the end though, does it really matter? Regardless of the outcome of this game, the Patriots were still going to win the East and the Colts were still going to win the South. The only thing that could happen is losing the bye, but let's face it - the Colts were still going to get one of them, and the second one is still up for grabs. The Bengals are at 7-2, and then the Patriots, Steelers, Broncos, and Chargers are all 6-3. I still like the Patriots chances of getting that second bye.
Either way, it's a good bet that the Patriots will be back in Indy in January whether they had won last night or not.
speaking of the super bowl... imagine if some how, some way, indy and new orleans both run the table, and have a battle of undefeated teams in don shula's backyard? wouldn't that be some sorta awesome.
Lots of crazy shit this weekend. The Cowboys...need i say more. Gotta love that Roy Williams fumble, and those drops. Probably not a game changer really because the entire Cowboy offense sucked badly. Losing Columbo was a tough blow too. But then again nobody else on the team is complaining about not getting enough balls thrown their way like Roy Williams. At least when T.O. did that he backed up his talk with good play. Roy Williams, until he proes himself otherwise, just plain sucks.
i am proud to say that the Cowboys lost because they ran into a Packers team that finally showed up. this is how Green Bay should have been playing all season.
About that bellychick call, when i saw that all i could think of was, that was very Andy Reid of him to make that call. Why even bother having a Defense if you are going to take a chance like that?
On the Belichick play, I think he was an ass to make that call, it was not only an insult to his own defense but the Colts' defense. I do think he was arrogant and sure he'd make it. For all that he deserved not to make it. Going for it on fourth down in your own territory is for people who are behind, not ahead.
But, I do wonder if our good buddy Bill would have gone for it in a playoff game...
Why would it make a difference? His goal is to maximize his chances of winning the game. The manner in which he wins or loses changes nothing down the road.
You missed my point. My question was not about Sunday night's game. I was thinking about the difference between regular season and playoffs.
Because they Pats pretty much are a lock to make it to the playoffs right now, I wonder if he could gamble a little more. When it comes to playoff time, perhaps he wouldn't gamble as he did since it's one and done?
Good Lord man. All I am saying is that a coach may be more conservative during the playoffs
and make anyone...even Manning...go 60 yards for the TD rather than 30. I don't even disagree with his play call. In fact, if Faulk makes the catch without the slight bobble, he may have had the 1st down. My thinking is it was a regular season game. There are more of those to come.
But come playoffs, you should probably play the numbers...and 60-70 yards is longer than 30.
Punting on fourth down would be a huge insult to the brilliant offenses and the two top-5-of-all-time QBs who happened to be playing in the game. If Belichick had punted, he would have deserved to lose because of his arrogance.
...do you see how ridiculous this argument is?
The only way that sentence makes any sense is if you assume that the failure of the fourth down is a fait accompli.