medmo
The Fly
I may be way off, and I'm not posting this because I'm a huge Green Day fan, although I did pick up American Idiot the other day and like it a lot. I think there's a good chance they may actually win, though, due to other albums cancelling each other out.
In 2002, for example, U2, Dylan, Outkast, India.Aire, and O Brother Where Art Thou were nominated. A lot of people believed that the reason U2, who were the heavy favorite, didn't win was because U2 and Dylan, acts who would get votes from rock voters, cancelled each other out. Likewise Outkast and India.Aire with people more likely to vote for urban music. O brother represented the only genre that didn't have any competition in the category. It likely got the lion's share of votes from those more apt to support country/folk/roots music, as well as a number of votes from many others.
So as crazy as it sounds, I think Green Day may have a big chance. They are nominated along with Alicia Keys, Usher, Kayne West, and Ray Charles. Now I know that Ray Charles transcends genres, but I don't think it's crazy to say that he has more in common with the other 3 nominees than he does with Green Day.
There will be a huge push for Ray Charles because of the fact that he passed away recently, but I wonder if it will be enough to overcome the fact that a lot of votes will be cancelled out.
Is the world ready for an album of the year from Green Day?
In 2002, for example, U2, Dylan, Outkast, India.Aire, and O Brother Where Art Thou were nominated. A lot of people believed that the reason U2, who were the heavy favorite, didn't win was because U2 and Dylan, acts who would get votes from rock voters, cancelled each other out. Likewise Outkast and India.Aire with people more likely to vote for urban music. O brother represented the only genre that didn't have any competition in the category. It likely got the lion's share of votes from those more apt to support country/folk/roots music, as well as a number of votes from many others.
So as crazy as it sounds, I think Green Day may have a big chance. They are nominated along with Alicia Keys, Usher, Kayne West, and Ray Charles. Now I know that Ray Charles transcends genres, but I don't think it's crazy to say that he has more in common with the other 3 nominees than he does with Green Day.
There will be a huge push for Ray Charles because of the fact that he passed away recently, but I wonder if it will be enough to overcome the fact that a lot of votes will be cancelled out.
Is the world ready for an album of the year from Green Day?