I will not feel confident that Biden is going to win until probably around mid March 2021
Every time I see a tightening poll I start to feel nauseous...like that NC Senate one this morning from ABC.
I will not feel confident that Biden is going to win until probably around mid March 2021
For reals.Every time I see a tightening poll I start to feel nauseous...like that NC Senate one this morning from ABC.
For reals.
And before anyone comes in with a "ehrmagad it'z different naw?"
I KNOW.
PTSD doesn't need to make sense.
I am going to be nervous as fuck until the job is done for two main reasons;
1. Never underestimate the stupidity of the America electorate.
2. Never underestimate the Party or Trump's ability and willingness to cheat and/or accept foreign interference.
Yeaaaa but a lot of these same rats had jumped ship in 2016 as well.I think what is more important than the public polls over the next couple of weeks is the behaviour of key republicans. They for sure know what the internals are and are calculating how to best approach the outcome of Nov 3. If you see more and more of them jumping off the ship, then you'll know the writing is most likely on the wall. We've already seen stories about Trump keeping a blacklist of everyone who comes out against him (for retribution purposes) - these people are total opportunists and wouldn't be shitting on a cult leader UNLESS they were fairly certain he's done.
But today's polling sucks, so I guess its terror for me.
Well, this is an interesting one:
From Rasmussen Reports:
OHIO: Biden 48%, Trump 47%
Yes, it's within the margin of error, but it is Rasmussen stating that Biden is ahead. In Ohio.
Yeaaaa but a lot of these same rats had jumped ship in 2016 as well.
I know in hindsight the signs should have been there, but nobody outside of the most ardent trump fan boys thought he'd win in 2016. Even Trump thought he was going to lose.
I agree with all of this.i agree with this. i do.
but. Hillary had problems.
1. Comey was such a torpedo where she was most vulnerable -- that sunk her as much as anything (keeping in mind, of course, that she still won the PV).
2. there was always a creeping fear that i felt during the primaries when she failed to put Bernie away sooner, even as she handily won debates against him. a lot of Bernie '16 votes were anti-Hillary votes, some due to misogyny, some due to a feeling that folks were told it was "her turn" and she was being forced on us. the fact that Bernie was as much of a factor as he was should have been an indicator that something wasn't quite right with her campaign and her as a candidate.
in contrast, once Biden won SC, he trounced Bernie and set turnout records, the kinds we were promised Bernie would provide. it turns out it wasn't so much that Bernie had wide appeal or was a particularly talented politician or had popular ideas, but that people really hated Hillary Clinton.
people can continue to hate the Democrats and "elites" and liberals or whatever, but it's difficult to see Biden engendering the kind of personalized dislike that Hillary did.
but also, who the fuck knows.
i agree with this. i do.
but. Hillary had problems.
1. Comey was such a torpedo where she was most vulnerable -- that sunk her as much as anything (keeping in mind, of course, that she still won the PV).
2. there was always a creeping fear that i felt during the primaries when she failed to put Bernie away sooner, even as she handily won debates against him. a lot of Bernie '16 votes were anti-Hillary votes, some due to misogyny, some due to a feeling that folks were told it was "her turn" and she was being forced on us. the fact that Bernie was as much of a factor as he was should have been an indicator that something wasn't quite right with her campaign and her as a candidate.
in contrast, once Biden won SC, he trounced Bernie and set turnout records, the kinds we were promised Bernie would provide. it turns out it wasn't so much that Bernie had wide appeal or was a particularly talented politician or had popular ideas, but that people really hated Hillary Clinton.
people can continue to hate the Democrats and "elites" and liberals or whatever, but it's difficult to see Biden engendering the kind of personalized dislike that Hillary did.
but also, who the fuck knows.
he really should be toast. like, if it were any other candidate, we'd be like: "toast."
i guess it's the perceived fanaticism of the "shoot someone on 5th Avenue" crowd combined with the willingness of the GOP to cheat that makes it feel so unsettling.
i will predict, however, that Trump will not win the popular vote. which should tell us something.
in contrast, once Biden won SC, he trounced Bernie and set turnout records, the kinds we were promised Bernie would provide. it turns out it wasn't so much that Bernie had wide appeal or was a particularly talented politician or had popular ideas, but that people really hated Hillary Clinton.
people can continue to hate the Democrats and "elites" and liberals or whatever, but it's difficult to see Biden engendering the kind of personalized dislike that Hillary did.
“We’ve got to get the attorney general to act,” Trump said in a telephone interview with “Fox & Friends” when asked whether a special prosecutor should be appointed to probe unverified allegations against the Bidens. “He’s got to act. And he’s got to act fast. He’s got to appoint somebody. This is major corruption, and this has to be known about before the election.”
Well of course he won't win the popular vote, what with all of those illegal Californian votes and all.he really should be toast. like, if it were any other candidate, we'd be like: "toast."
i guess it's the perceived fanaticism of the "shoot someone on 5th Avenue" crowd combined with the willingness of the GOP to cheat that makes it feel so unsettling.
i will predict, however, that Trump will not win the popular vote. which should tell us something.
And people think that muting his microphone will have any effect on this moron.
Frankly I could totally see him stomping across the stage and yelling in Biden's face.
Twitter is swirling with rumors about a major WSJ article on Hunter Biden coming soon.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-...76?redirect=amp#click=https://t.co/qQiF8aNkUKTwitter is swirling with rumors about a major WSJ article on Hunter Biden coming soon.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-...76?redirect=amp#click=https://t.co/qQiF8aNkUK
I really hope they've got more than this...
WASHINGTON — Lawyers appointed by a federal judge to identify migrant families who were separated by the Trump administration say they have yet to track down the parents of 545 children, and that approximately two-thirds of those parents were deported to Central America without their children, according to a filing from the ACLU on Tuesday.