So polls showed Bernie with a 2 point lead heading into the primary in Mikal-ville and he won by nearly 14 points.
If we eliminate Super delegates from the equation, current delegate tally is Hillary 1279, Bernie 1027, not that big a deficit.
Super delegates favor Hillarity 469-31 (what a flawed system).
Honestly seems like the tide is really turning on the Democratic side. Sanders has won 7 of last 8 states. Seems people are finally waking up to how awful a candidate Hillary is, but is the horse already out of the barn?
Be interesting to see if he can beat her in her "home" state.
Actually, the polling showed Bernie up by 6-8 points and climbing in Wisconsin. It shocked me that she was even as close as she was.
Think of this:
midwest progressive state with one of the largest State University systems in the country.
6% African American
2% Latino
Manufacturing and blue collar state
Truly tailor made for Bernie as even his campaign said.
One thing that Bernie has been able to do in recent contests in these smaller states, is to go in and hit the 4 or 5 big college towns and get them all hyped up. They bring their friends who couldn't tell a credit default swap from a Target gift card. and they all rush the polls cause it's cool and yay for Bernie.
That said, New York will be close. I would say within 5 to 6 points. But while Bernie can pull some big rallies, New York is too large and too diverse to get the same return on his investment as he gets in a place like Wyoming or Utah, or Idaho.
Also, Bernie has won ONE state, very narrowly, that has had an African American population of over 8%.
New York is about 19% African American, 13% Latino and 7% Asian.
If Hillary wins by 5, she will get about the same amount of delegates as Bernie will have gotten from Wisconsin and Wyoming.
There are two weeks to go. A lifetime in this sort of environment.
pro's for Bernie is obviously the momentum factor
pro for Hillary - The Sanders invterview with the NY Daily News.
That was really unsettling and pretty shocking actually. Sanders whole legend is that he has had this one message for 25 years. Been a lawmaker for 30years, and he doesn't understand how to execute the centerpiece of his message.
Really stunning to me. Throw in his I could care less attitude toward ISIS and Israel, and his continuing to stand with the NRA and against the victims of Sandy Hook, should give any open minded Sanders backer real pause.
discuss.