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Old 06-15-2020, 02:07 PM   #521
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https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/15/polit...ech/index.html
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:27 PM   #522
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new poll out today has biden within the margin of error in arkansas.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:39 PM   #523
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Hilarious. In the first 10 days after Trump announced the Tulsa rally, Parscale came out and said - 200,000 tickets have been requested. 2 day later (yesterday) = 800,000! Now one day later - 1 Million!!!
It's only applications by black people they don't have enough of. Though you can always try to hire them to cheer for you...
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:50 PM   #524
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new poll out today has biden within the margin of error in arkansas.
Tom Cotton is taking notes for 2024.

Too bad that he's like the Dollar Store version of Paul Ryan.
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Old 06-15-2020, 02:59 PM   #525
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there are still DACA and abortion SCOTUS decisions to come. today is nice, but the news could get very bad, very quick.

still, one thinks this must spell doom for Trump:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/312644/...ecord-low.aspx
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Old 06-15-2020, 04:03 PM   #526
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there are still DACA and abortion SCOTUS decisions to come. today is nice, but the news could get very bad, very quick.

still, one thinks this must spell doom for Trump:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/312644/...ecord-low.aspx


The far right is pissed at the SC but i think all will be forgiven when the following cases

Abortion is #1 to their hearts
DACA
Tax returns

I don’t see Roberts and Gorsh going the same way again
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Old 06-15-2020, 04:22 PM   #527
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new poll out today has biden within the margin of error in arkansas.
And the pollster is rated a B/C by 538, so not a completely shitty pollster.

I believe that he also was only up +4 in Kansas from a poll yesterday, but the pollster was a D+

Either way. There is some hard shifting going on across the country.

National polls out today

JUN 11-13, 2020
B/C
RMG Research
1,200 RV Biden
48%
36%
Trump Biden +12

JUN 11-13, 2020
Abacus Data
1,004 LV Biden
51%
41%
Trump Biden +10 (Likely Voters)

JUN 11-13, 2020
Abacus Data
1,224 RV Biden
49%
35%
Trump Biden +14 (Registered Voters)
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Old 06-15-2020, 04:36 PM   #528
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Michigan fading out in the sunset

https://mobile.twitter.com/kylegriff...89691238273024
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Old 06-15-2020, 04:43 PM   #529
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Wait. Doesn't Trump "love the blacks?"

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...82158100475904
I'm sooo glad some righteous folk at the US SK embassy did this, and documented for all to see!

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there are still DACA and abortion SCOTUS decisions to come. today is nice, but the news could get very bad, very quick.
Yeah, it likely will

Until then let's celebrate this Serious Win!


I'm So Happy for the LGBTQI community in general and my past/present friends, aquaintences, co-workers, and bosses!
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Old 06-15-2020, 06:16 PM   #530
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Just spoke to one of my good friends in Florida. In his late 50's, evangelical Christian. He has a trans child. He voted for Trump. He has been not liking him for a while, really didn't like the Church photo-op. But he said what got him was this past week, and Trump admin stripping rights from LGBTQ's. He's done with him.
Wow.

Hoo-fucking-ray to that SC decision ! That was a nice headline to see upon getting online. I'd like to hope they'll continue to be more supportive with the other issues mentioned, but yeah, not holding my breath . Still, nice to get some genuinely positive news.

And Irvine, excellent post .
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Old 06-15-2020, 06:40 PM   #531
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Another national poll came in today on 538.

If you average the polls from the 4 pollsters today, Biden is averaging +10.5
Average of all the polls taken in the last week (27) - Biden +9.7

This is all from 538. RealClearPolitics has a lot fewer polls. But if you take the 4 polls they have on their site from the last week, they average Biden +9.8
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Old 06-15-2020, 07:10 PM   #532
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Well at least you know Dingleberry Donald hasn't a clue what the SC decision was or if there even was one.

https://twitter.com/AlexPattyy/statu...25698893713413
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Old 06-15-2020, 07:15 PM   #533
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I like that they are thinking this way.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/0...ficials-316457

“The more bad things happen in the country, it just solidifies support for Trump,” said Phillip Stephens, GOP chairman in Robeson County, N.C., one of several rural counties in that swing state that shifted from supporting Barack Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016. “We’re calling him ‘Teflon Trump.’ Nothing’s going to stick, because if anything, it’s getting more exciting than it was in 2016.”

This year, Stephens said, “We’re thinking landslide.”
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Old 06-15-2020, 08:45 PM   #534
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Well at least you know Dingleberry Donald hasn't a clue what the SC decision was or if there even was one.

https://twitter.com/AlexPattyy/statu...25698893713413
"I've read the ruling."

All 172 pages of it I'm sure.
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Old 06-15-2020, 09:48 PM   #535
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I like that they are thinking this way.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/0...ficials-316457

“The more bad things happen in the country, it just solidifies support for Trump,” said Phillip Stephens, GOP chairman in Robeson County, N.C., one of several rural counties in that swing state that shifted from supporting Barack Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016. “We’re calling him ‘Teflon Trump.’ Nothing’s going to stick, because if anything, it’s getting more exciting than it was in 2016.”

This year, Stephens said, “We’re thinking landslide.”
That he went with Teflon Trump just shows how dumb this guy is.
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Old 06-16-2020, 09:37 AM   #536
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So Trump is shooting himself in the foot again later today.

Instead of getting a real bill passed through and signed on police reform, Trump is grandstanding and putting through a phony executive order.
I guess they put it together by "talking to law enforcement agencies"

Word is that it is a lot of suggestions, nothing concrete on anything. Nothing about racial problems, nothing specific on use of force, just a whole lot of nothing.

So to recap. This will give his racist 36% base something to throw around on social media, saying that he has done more for police reform than any president in history, but it will be a laughable slap in the face to the millions of people that are out in the streets, and the millions of Americans that actually want to see real change happen.

I don't think this will be the positive thing he's thinking it will be.
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Old 06-16-2020, 09:44 AM   #537
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So Trump is shooting himself in the foot again later today.

Instead of getting a real bill passed through and signed on police reform, Trump is grandstanding and putting through a phony executive order.
I guess they put it together by "talking to law enforcement agencies"

Word is that it is a lot of suggestions, nothing concrete on anything. Nothing about racial problems, nothing specific on use of force, just a whole lot of nothing.

So to recap. This will give his racist 36% base something to throw around on social media, saying that he has done more for police reform than any president in history, but it will be a laughable slap in the face to the millions of people that are out in the streets, and the millions of Americans that actually want to see real change happen.

I don't think this will be the positive thing he's thinking it will be.
I was talking with a friend yesterday who is a police officer. Horrible guy because remember, they're ALL horrible. But he said that there's a lot of nervousness around what Trump is going to say and that overall there's a lot of nervousness around the country's leadership going around the office from what he said is a pretty Pro-Trump crew. Just an overall feeling of lack of concrete policies or direction on how this will be resolved.
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Old 06-16-2020, 09:45 AM   #538
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Some high quality state polls out so far this morning:

New Mexico: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 53, Trump 39 Biden +14

Michigan: Trump vs. Biden EPIC-MRA Biden 55, Trump 39 Biden +16

Ariz.
JUN 13-15, 2020 Civiqs
Biden 49%
Trump 45%

Mich.
JUN 9-12, 2020
TIPP
Biden 51%
Trump 38%


FLORIDA
JUN 9-11, 2020
TIPP
Biden 51%
Trump 40%


Dear Trump. MI has left the building. Average of polls from Michigan over the last 9 days - Biden +14

That FL number from a good pollster. WOW. Average of polls from FL over the last 2 weeks - Biden +7

Looks like Biden is locking up a +4 lead in AZ.

Trump under 40% on some of these should have them shitting a bit. This is going to send Trump through the roooof.
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Old 06-16-2020, 10:09 AM   #539
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You never want to be sure too early in the game but the consensus seems to be moving in the direction of Michigan no longer being a battleground state. Trump has a million different problems there and my gut feeling tells me he's cooked in that state.

I don't trust Florida for one second to do the right thing so in my view they are deep red until proven otherwise.
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Old 06-16-2020, 10:19 AM   #540
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Sorry, I just really like watching this guy do his thing. If you want a bit of a laugh for your morning.

https://twitter.com/JLCauvin/status/1272288472427114497
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