DaveC said:
How is there "suspect" polling data? The guy uses the most recent poll for the state. He is pro-Kerry and has stated that, but he is fair on this website. Please show evidence of "suspect" results.
And what's up with your Gallup fetish anyways? There are other, equally respectable polling organizations out there, you know. Is it because Gallup seems to have a bit of a Republican slant, where even though if every other poll taken on a single day showed Kerry leading by 5 points, Gallup would still show Bush ahead by 3%, and you'd go with the Gallup result although EVERYTHING else says otherwise? You've done it in the past, buckeye.
Sorry, but I have followed polls for many years now and have come to the conclusion that Gallup is by far the most reliable. It is not because they favor any political party at all. Gallup by the way gave Bush the smallest lead out of most of the major polling institutions after the convention.
Gallup has data going back decades and the strongest and most respectable polling history of any polling organization in the world. When it comes to polling, Gallup is not perfect, no organization is, but over the years, I have seen Gallup get it right more often than any other organization.
Back in 2000 when McCain who I was for, was challenging Bush for the Republican nomination, I used to get excited by the Zogby polls where McCain would always do great in, but was brought back to reality by the Gallup poll, which gave a more accurate picture of what was going on.
13 of the last 17 Presidential Candidates that were ahead in the Gallup Poll on Labor day, went on to win the presidential election two months later. Of the 4 that did not, 3 were very close and still within the margin of error which is essentially a tie.
Electoral-vote.com has already admitted that many of the polls it uses or often slanted polling organizations that poll for one of the parties and often engage in push polling. In addition, most polls that can be found are used. The majority of them do not have the reputation or the quality of polling like Gallup.
I enjoy looking at the website, but I have my doubts about many polls. The person running the website has expressed their doubts as well.