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Old 08-29-2019, 04:35 PM   #541
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Originally Posted by anitram View Post
It's true that there aren't good stats on head-to-head numbers in individual states yet but in the battlegrounds, here is how Trump's net approval rating changed between taking office in Jan 2017 and last month (per Morning Consult):

Wisconsin: From +6 to -14
Michigan: From +7 to -11
PA: From +10 to -8

Others on your list:
NC: From +17 to -1
NV: From +10 to -11
AZ: From +19 to -7

That is basically horrific. He's underwater everywhere and while a place like NC may be close, it really is starting to look like WI/MI/PA are going to be out of reach. That is basically as much as confirmed given that the Republicans are targeting Minnesota, NV, NH and NM, precisely because the math simply isn't there for them. Not the 2016 map anyway.

All of this may mean nothing until the election interference kicks in full force.
Some other state numbers from realclearpolitics

Michigan: Trump vs. Biden EPIC-MRA Biden 51, Trump 41 Biden +10
Michigan: Trump vs. Sanders EPIC-MRA Sanders 48, Trump 44 Sanders +4
Michigan: Trump vs. Warren EPIC-MRA Warren 49, Trump 43 Warren +6
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris EPIC-MRA Harris 46, Trump 43 Harris +3

Arizona: Trump vs. Biden OH Predictive Insights Biden 45, Trump 43 Biden +2
Arizona: Trump vs. Sanders OH Predictive Insights Trump 44, Sanders 34 Trump +10
Arizona: Trump vs. Warren OH Predictive Insights Trump 44, Warren 43 Trump +1
Arizona: Trump vs. Harris OH Predictive Insights Trump 44, Harris 36 Trump +8
Arizona: Trump vs. Buttigieg OH Predictive Insights Trump 43, Buttigieg 38 Trump +5

Colorado: Trump vs. Biden Emerson Biden 55, Trump 45 Biden +10
Colorado: Trump vs. Warren Emerson Warren 53, Trump 46 Warren +7
Colorado: Trump vs. Sanders Emerson Sanders 55, Trump 45 Sanders +10
Colorado: Trump vs. Harris Emerson Harris 51, Trump 48 Harris +3
Colorado: Trump vs. Buttigieg Emerson Buttigieg 55, Trump 45 Buttigieg +10


Nevada: Trump vs. Biden Gravis Biden 49, Trump 43 Biden +6
Nevada: Trump vs. Warren Gravis Trump 47, Warren 46 Trump +1
Nevada: Trump vs. Sanders Gravis Trump 44, Sanders 47 Sanders +3
Nevada: Trump vs. Harris Gravis Trump 45, Harris 45 Tie
Nevada: Trump vs. Buttigieg Gravis Trump 46, Buttigieg 42 Trump +4

North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden Civitas/SurveyUSA Biden 49, Trump 41 Biden +8
North Carolina: Trump vs. Sanders Civitas/SurveyUSA Sanders 47, Trump 43 Sanders +4
North Carolina: Trump vs. Warren Civitas/SurveyUSA Trump 43, Warren 44 Warren +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Civitas/SurveyUSA Trump 44, Harris 43 Trump +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Buttigieg Civitas/SurveyUSA Trump 43, Buttigieg 41 Trump +2

Interesting to see the state polls. But again, so early, and different after a candidate is chosen.
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Old 08-29-2019, 05:05 PM   #542
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That Biden story is reminiscent of Hillary landing in Bosnia under fire or some such.
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Old 08-29-2019, 07:58 PM   #543
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https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1...579368961?s=19
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Old 08-29-2019, 09:06 PM   #544
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Mental/cognitive and physical declines in the elderly are anything but linear. That's why almost all of us have a story about a friend or relative was doing fairly well in old age then all of a sudden went downhill extremely rapidly. It's as if you cross the Rubicon and then there's no going back. I think that he's getting to that point.
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Old 08-29-2019, 10:06 PM   #545
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one of the things i love about canada is that we're only just now getting loads of political ads on tv ahead of our federal election, and voting day is less than two months away.
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Old 08-29-2019, 10:17 PM   #546
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Migrant children receiving life-saving treatments here in the USA can now be deported.



the depths of this man's cruelty (along with a whole bunch of Repuglicabns......
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Old 08-29-2019, 10:19 PM   #547
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Interesting, dave c.

What's the current landscape of (oh)Canada's upcoming fed elections like?
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Old 08-29-2019, 10:31 PM   #548
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He's a gigantic goofball. He's done an ok job running the city - better than I thought. He hasn't undone the positive progress of the Bloomberg years - which is ironic considering how much he ran on an anti-Bloomberg platform. City has major infrastructure concerns coming quickly down the pike, though - and he's been off galavanting around the nation as the literal last clown in a jam packed clown car - so it's about time he got himself back to the city and did some actual work, but he seems content to just kick that can down the road like everyone else.

Clearly I don't miss NYC at all... most people keep up to date on the political happenings in a city they moved from 2 1/2 years ago. Seriously.


I miss NYC


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LOL!! My guess is the next thing we see is Lindsay Graham at the border knocking ranchers over the head with a shovel, and tying them up so their land can be seized.
(And if anyone would enjoy tying up a manly rancher it would li'l Lindsay)


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“As usual”

We don’t choose the hurricanes, asshole.
PR is like "The Island" on Lost. (SPOILER)



It moves it's location so it can be hit by hurricanes.


Glad most of your island was spared this tine!


Quote:
Originally Posted by Headache in a Suitcase View Post
and sorry for the tweet post storm (i know twitter posts aren't as legitimate as videos from facebook groups featuring Candace Owens, so i do apologize) but this seems like a big deal if it can be verified elsewhere...

https://twitter.com/TimOBrien/status...54423516172293
Who's @Lawrence? Lawrence O'Donell of msnbc?
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Old 08-29-2019, 10:37 PM   #549
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Interesting, dave c.

What's the current landscape of (oh)Canada's upcoming fed elections like?
the liberal party will lose seats. a couple months ago it looked like they/trudeau might even lose power completely but that seems to have passed now that the campaign is actually starting and people are paying attention a little bit more. there's also a new nationwide alt-right party that has ideas most canadians think are nuts and is led by an absolute bozo but is also sucking away a decent number of votes from the conservatives. they won't win any seats themselves but they will probably help get a liberal or two elected in a rural seat in ontario.

the likely outcome is that the liberals stay in power but go from a majority to a minority government, with another left-ish party (the NDP) holding the balance of power.
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Old 08-30-2019, 07:19 AM   #550
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When a Hurricane looks like it's going to hit Puerto Rico...

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...105329664?s=19


When it misses Puerto Rico and appears to be headed straight for Mar A Lago

https://twitter.com/cspan/status/116...124822018?s=19
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Old 08-30-2019, 08:56 AM   #551
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One wonders if Mar-A-Lago is insured? If so, he’d make more money were it swept out to sea. But he tends to not like to pay for things.

I’m just wondering if I should be cheering for Dorian or not.
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Old 08-30-2019, 09:05 AM   #552
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I hope that hurricane reaches Mar-a-Lago and stays there.

Karma is a bitch.
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Old 08-30-2019, 10:30 AM   #553
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Idk at what point the internet decided that it would be funny to start “cheering on” a hurricane. I mean sure, generally human life in the US is well protected from storms, but that’s still one of the most populated areas in Florida. Heck, it’s not even a “conservative” area.
“Cheering” a hurricane on to hit anywhere is pretty low.
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Old 08-30-2019, 10:30 AM   #554
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One wonders if Mar-A-Lago is insured? If so, he’d make more money were it swept out to sea. But he tends to not like to pay for things.

I’m just wondering if I should be cheering for Dorian or not.
i was about to say "he wouldn't be able to get a business license in florida without the proper insurance" but then i realized that it wouldn't surprise me in the least to find out mar-a-lago isn't licensed, so who the fuck knows.

the best man at my wedding is named dorian so we've been having a lot of fun with this one.
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Old 08-30-2019, 10:37 AM   #555
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Idk at what point the internet decided that it would be funny to start “cheering on” a hurricane. I mean sure, generally human life in the US is well protected from storms, but that’s still one of the most populated areas in Florida. Heck, it’s not even a “conservative” area.
“Cheering” a hurricane on to hit anywhere is pretty low.



I’m being totally serious.

If you’re so concerned about hurricanes why aren’t you advocating nuking them before they get so close to Florida?

Gotta nuke something.
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Old 08-30-2019, 10:58 AM   #556
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I’m being totally serious.

If you’re so concerned about hurricanes why aren’t you advocating nuking them before they get so close to Florida?

Gotta nuke something.


I wasn’t responding to just you. It’s all over the internet. Clearly you’re joking, but in general that’s not the vibe.

Can we not make everything about commander Cheeto?
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Old 08-30-2019, 11:06 AM   #557
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Just wait until it sinks and then your good taxpaying dollars go to building and even uglier monstrosity in its place.
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Old 08-30-2019, 11:26 AM   #558
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Yes, then I’ll totally lose sight of my hometown and half of my family’s property and well-being.
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Old 08-30-2019, 12:07 PM   #559
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I'm wondering what Trump's response to Florida hurricane would be if Gillam had been elected.

Probably something about a lazy, low IQ, corrupt (AKA. black) governor isn't able to use Federal funding...
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Old 08-30-2019, 12:32 PM   #560
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I'm wondering what Trump's response to Florida hurricane would be if Gillam had been elected.

Probably something about a lazy, low IQ, corrupt (AKA. black) governor isn't able to use Federal funding...


He still wants their whopping 29 EVs.
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