Though... thinking about it, that rather depends on their business strategy. I am sure they have far more information than we do about potential buyers.
If they want to appeal to hardcore fans, then as few repeats as possible will be on it.
If they want to appeal to casual fans who buy the deluxe for "added value", mirroring the tracklist of the CD seems preferable.
I think this second scenario seems more likely (on the whole). Their goal is to get more fans, and the best way to do that is to let people hear songs, and then see them live (live is where we live etc). Seeing how much better those live performances are will undoubtedly make a big impression on the casual buyer. And of course, if I bought a CD on with 16 hits and got a DVD with totally different songs (eg, Zoo Station, The Fly, OOTS, Electric Co) I would feel short changed.
Imagine, if you will, buying a Rolling Stones CD and then finding the included DVD didn't have a performance of "Satisfaction". I use them as an example because this is the only song by them I could actually think of (much like the consumers U2 is trying to ensnare)