bobsaget77
Rock n' Roll Doggie
So dumb not to kick field goals. This game would be over.
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But to get that TD the second time, you need to drive the length of the field again.
There are tradeoffs involved in each course of action.
Take the lead... on another FG nonetheless. It could be virtually over right now, in NE's favor. Instead, they've 50 seconds to stay alive.
I mean seriously Belichick... Kick the fucking field goal
Guys, FG's aren't automatic either.
I don't think it's obvious either way.
Which they did TWO more times after they didn't kick the field goal.
Great coaches make awful decisions sometimes. That was an awful decision.
You think Gostkowski is going to miss two FGs inside of 40 yards, in one of the easiest stadiums to kick at? Cmon.
with the way Denver's defense was playing?
Brian Burke's model thinks it's borderline, and he's incorporating way more information than we are.
Does this model take into account the way the defense was playing? Did it factor in in game statistics? Situational statistics of the field they were playing on? Splits for the defense, and for Gostkowski? Are they split for playoff situations? What's the context, here?
I can't express how much I hate it when stadiums play Sunday Bloody Sunday over the PAs.
they should not ignore pop
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I can't express how much I hate it when stadiums play Sunday Bloody Sunday over the PAs.
I'll try to dig up some references for you, but I'm pretty sure that Burke's research shows that using probabilities from the current game does a worse job of predicting future results in that game than using league-average results (which is what the model uses). In other words, using current-game probabilities (or making adjustments for such) is another small sample size mistake.
Also, saying that the Patriots had the ability to 'easily' get the ball back seems really optimistic to me.