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#901 | |
Blue Crack Distributor
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: In a dry and waterless place
Posts: 55,743
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Quote:
It's been a very long time since I've posted in these parts. I've been lurking in this thread for weeks now, though, and as an outsider who only has time to digest the POTUS election news in soundbytes, this thread has been great, and mostly quite civil. I've enjoyed and have become more informed by reading all your views - thanks. ETA - also miss Yolland. Does she post anymore? |
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#902 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
VIP PASS Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 6,351
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Obama won the 2012 election by four points, so for Clinton to lose by seven that would require an eleven point shift. That's pretty massive, especially since the white vote is dropping by about 2.5% of the electorate every Presidential cycle and Republicans are losing an estimated 2.5 million voter swing every cycle due to deaths and younger voters identifying with Democrats more than ever...I'm open to the possibility of a Republican victory at least being probable, but not one by that margin unless Clinton is found to have clearly committed illegal acts by the time the election rolls around.
__________________While I do think Sanders does a better job at energizing far leftists and independents that wouldn't normally vote, and therefore is the stronger candidate, I think Clinton's weaknesses in these head-to-head GOP matchups are mostly due to distrust of her among the general public...but when November rolls around, they're going to hold their nose if she's the nominee and get in line. |
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#903 |
Forum Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: With the other morally corrupt bootlicking rubes.
Posts: 73,400
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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I have no doubt Sanders can win the democratic nomination.
He'd get slaughtered in the national election. Young people don't vote, and old people are terrified of socialists. |
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#904 |
Forum Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: With the other morally corrupt bootlicking rubes.
Posts: 73,400
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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So they're talking snow for the primaries... I imagine that helps the moderate Republican and liberal Democrat (not that Sanders needs help in NH) who live in the more "urban" parts of New Hampshire, not that anyone would ever call Concord or Manchester "urban"
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#905 |
New Yorker
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Maine
Posts: 2,534
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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I would
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#906 |
Forum Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: With the other morally corrupt bootlicking rubes.
Posts: 73,400
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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Ha.
I went to college in New Hampshire so I know the state pretty well. It's about as urban as Montana |
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#907 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: slouching towards bethlehem
Posts: 22,841
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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An acquaintance of mine who lives in NH (and is a Bernie supporter) posted this pic on Facebook today:
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#908 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: pig farming in Bolivia
Posts: 7,325
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Anyone want to scissor?
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#909 | |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: in a glass of CheerWine
Posts: 3,266
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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Quote:
Old people have a reason for being terrified of socialists, they know history. |
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#910 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 28,387
Local Time: 01:17 AM
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#911 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 19,505
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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I sort of loved watching Chirstie shitting on Rubio over his planned speech.
Ironically, I'm pretty sure that speech by Christie was planned. |
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#912 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 19,505
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Did Jeb Bush just actually stand up to Donald Trump and not get bullied? Daaaamn those boos were coming in hard.
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#913 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Band-aid Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Polish-American Stronghold PA
Posts: 4,144
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Rubio got schlonged by Christie multiple times right out of the gate
Sent from my iPhone using U2 Interference |
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#914 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Band-aid Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Polish-American Stronghold PA
Posts: 4,144
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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#915 | |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 19,505
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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Quote:
I'm loving it. New Hampshire obviously has been much stronger for the three governors, but they're actually also coming out of this debate as being the three victors. |
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#916 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: in a glass of CheerWine
Posts: 3,266
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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#917 |
Forum Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: With the other morally corrupt bootlicking rubes.
Posts: 73,400
Local Time: 10:47 AM
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Mr Trump, would you like to explain your platform?
Hey, I make deals. Deals deals deals deals. So could you actually give us an idea of your ideas? Deals deals deals deals deals! |
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#918 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 28,387
Local Time: 01:17 AM
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#919 | |
Vocal parasite
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: 1853
Posts: 152,977
Local Time: 12:47 AM
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Quote:
Signed, A 29-year-old historian
__________________
"Mediocrity is never so dangerous as when it is dressed up as sincerity." - Søren Kierkegaard Ian McCulloch the U2 fan: "Who buys U2 records anyway? It's just music for plumbers and bricklayers. Bono, what a slob. You'd think with all that climbing about he does, he'd look real fit and that. But he's real fat, y'know. Reminds me of a soddin' mountain goat." "And as for Bono, he needs a colostomy bag for his mouth." U2gigs: The most comprehensive U2 setlist database! Gig pictures | Blog |
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#920 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: definitely Osaka
Posts: 7,124
Local Time: 09:47 AM
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sure I'm scared of socialists as Oppenheimer was a socialist and Dirac was very close to all the Soviet scientists.
__________________it sounds ridiculous, doesn't it? |
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