Remember '04 LOTS of folks were in your same boat.
The "mood" leaned towards Kerry and whatever poll you decided to believe did the same.
"Democrats are cannibalizing their high-propensity voters in advance of election day to get stories that they are winning," said a GOP analyst. "But in effect they are stealing from Peter, or Election Day, to pay Paul, or early voting."
? Stats, please.
All that would do is have Romney win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College. 7 Ohio polls were released today. Obama lead by at least 2 in all of them.
Also, Dick Morris A republican friend sent me a blog post he made about Obama pulling out of VA, NC and FL because he was losing badly. Um, Obama is concentrating on Ohio because he wins Ohio and given what is happening in NV, PA, WI he wins the election.
You can search the stats for yourself.
You can search the stats for yourself.
You can search the stats for yourself.
Translation: "You left out my stats: a gut feeling. Because that is the only way I know how to operate. I operate outside of the realm of facts."You left out from the quote what I thought was my best line.
"Plus, the mood of the nation I'm feeling is like
a "Jimmy Carter" kind of thud."
You can search the stats for yourself.
I know some might give a different stat, but Rommney, I think,
will win next Tuesday.
One day, I hope, a Libertarian will win
You're the one making the unsubstantiated claim that early voting favors Romney.
Lastly, I know it rankles the feathers of the more ideological Left among us - but check Rasmussen this close to election day. Romney +2. And look at the margin for the three Presidents that lost the popular vote but won the electoral college.
In 2000, Bush lost the popular vote by 0.5% in 2000 but won the electoral college.
In 1888, Cleveland lost the popular vote by less than 1% but Harrison won the EC.
If Romney wins by a full 1% or 2% or even 3% there is little precedent (it happened once) for a candidate that lost the popular vote by 1% or greater to be elected President. Hayes beat Tilden in the 1876 EC but lost the popular vote by 4%.
All I'm saying is - this election is a toss up. Don't believe anyone that tells you different.
The poll takers are using 2008 data to frame their 2012 polls.
Democrat turnout was up 8 points in Ohio, just say 54-46, in 2008. When we know that Dem turnout (self-described Dems) was/were at an all-time high. So when CBS/NYT do their polls in Ohio in 2012, they are sampling 54% Democrats and 46% Republicans based on the 2008 results. And all of the polling agencies are doing this sort of thing. And Rove (and unfortunately Dick Morris) and most Republicans are saying that this is why the polls (not only in Ohio but in other swing states) are going to be so off the mark.
Mayor Bloomberg just endorsed Obama. Two of the reasons he cited were Sandy response and climate change.
Rather late in the game so that's kind of strange. He also mentioned Romney having the health care in MA then being against Obamacare.
I would just like to see, the nut jobs, saying the EC is a communist plot to keep an honestly elected American out of the white house.