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Old 01-27-2004, 03:23 PM   #16
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I really think the path is clear for ROTK to win. If it doesn't get the Oscar, they can chalk it up and never hold a ceremony again because no one will take them seriously. Evem if your not a big LOTR fan, you just can't deny that those films are incredible pieces of work.

I think the fact that none of the actors were nominated tips it into ROTK favor too--to reward the performances, they'll reward the film. One would hope. (I wanted Sean Astin to be nominated too...sigh)

Everyone knows Renee Zellweger will win--the fact that she's been nominated twice (or is it three times?) for average performances means she's going to get one, whether she deserves it or not. I don't even want to think what she probably did with the Weinsteins...

But for every Renee Zellweger nomination, they actually do something right and nominate a guy like Johnny Depp.

"Master and Commander" was a great movie and in any other year, I would be rooting for it to win. It's too bad that it's getting buried by all the other epics this year.
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Old 01-27-2004, 03:26 PM   #17
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no opinion. the only movies i saw that are nominated for anything were lord of the rings and finding nemo.

but finding nemo rules
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Old 01-27-2004, 03:49 PM   #18
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WHERE'S SEAN AUSTIN !!!!!

HAHAHAJAJAJAJAJAJAJ... Cold Mountain got NOTHING... (I hate it because even before it premiered it was being nominated to every award posible .angry: )

I know that Sean Penn deserves this, but one of my all time favorite is Bill Murray. From Ghostbusters to that Christmas movie... he rocks!

Go PETER JACKSON AND LORD OF THE RINGS... OF COURSE THEY'LL WIN !!!
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Old 01-27-2004, 04:55 PM   #19
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This awards show is one of the most political things out, I really dont think it is very democratic and it is highly subjective but anyway I really do hope Johnny wins for POTC, in all seriousness he really is a remarkable actor- has he ever been nominated before, surely he should of for 'Ed Wood' or 'Gilbert Grape'. But seriously anyone who can pull off a Keith Richards inspired Pirate deserves to win in my book. And I also hope that Peter Jackson after three years gets the recognition that he deserves for LOTR. And can someone please explain to me the story behind Lost in Translation- I went and saw this because I love Bill Murray and I thought it was one of the most boring movies I have ever seen. I thought that the characters were not well defined and once again it went down the usual 'Hollywood cliche' of an older man with a younger woman, although I give it credit for not making them sleep together. Anyway can someone please let me know what I am missing with this film- it has received so many great reviews, why dont I like it????
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Old 01-27-2004, 04:59 PM   #20
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Johnny Depp should win but he won't because of politics.
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Old 01-27-2004, 05:19 PM   #21
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ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
Again, Johnny Depp should win, but won't, because no part that involves a Keith Richards-inspired pirate will win. That said, I think Sean Penn is almost a lock.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Well, Benicio del Toro is almost always great, but he did already win and not that long ago (for Traffic), and Tim Robbins got the Golden Globe. Draw between del Toro and Robbins.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE:
This will be a hard category to call. Theron and Keaton both won at the Golden Globes. Keaton would be safe, but the Oscars just went safe last year (Nicole Kidman in The Hours). Theron would be riskier and the kid from Whale Rider would be even riskier. Still, I'm going to play it safe and say Diane Keaton.

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Aghdashloo won't win because no one has ever heard of her and Clarkson won't win because no one has ever heard of the movie. In this case, I think winning the Globe will work against Zellweger. Since everyone is fawning all over Mystic River and Harden is a critics' darling, I'm going to call this one for her.

BEST PICTURE:
Everyone is saying Return of the King is a shoo-in, but I sincerely doubt it. It will have serious competition from Mystic River and Lost in Translation. The question is, can those old stodgy Oscar voters forgive Coppola for Godfather III yet? Even if they can, Lost in Translation still might be too small a movie. So let's say the competition comes down to Return of the King and Mystic River. If Mystic River wins a whole bunch of acting awards, as it already has and probably will, Oscar voters might feel sympathy for Return of the King. Thus I'll tentatively say Return of the King, but only if Mystic River grabs most of the acting prizes. (And, hey, where's Viggo?)

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY):
Return of the King is a safe bet here, I think, although from what I understand, American Splendor may be its most serious competition. City of God won't win because, if I am not mistaken, no foreign film ever has.

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY):
Throw out The Barbarian Invasions and Dirty Pretty Things right off the bat, and probably Finding Nemo too. That leaves In America and Lost in Translation. Coppola will probably win this one, especially if she loses for Director.

DIRECTOR:

Throw out Mireilles and Weir right away, leaving you with Coppola, Eastwood, and Jackson. Coppola is a tossup because of the screenwriting nomination (and, again, Godfather III). Jackson is a good pick, especially if Return loses Best Picture, but Eastwood might have sentiment working in his favor. I think if Coppola wins screenplay, it'll come down to Jackson and Eastwood; Jackson should win, but Eastwood probably will.
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Old 01-27-2004, 05:36 PM   #22
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Originally posted by OzAurora
And can someone please explain to me the story behind Lost in Translation- I went and saw this because I love Bill Murray and I thought it was one of the most boring movies I have ever seen. I thought that the characters were not well defined and once again it went down the usual 'Hollywood cliche' of an older man with a younger woman, although I give it credit for not making them sleep together. Anyway can someone please let me know what I am missing with this film- it has received so many great reviews, why dont I like it????
Wow, it was about so much more than an older man and a younger woman. In fact, it wasn't about that at all--to me. It's hard to say exactly what it was about because there was so much going on, in a look, a gesture, in the silence and monotony of nothing happening at all, which is the way life is sometimes. I saw two strangers connecting, really connecting, in a strange place and a strange time in their lives. It's subtle. I guess I related to it. I travel a lot; I find myself in strange places where nothing is happening and I end up talking about personal things with someone I will never see again. I thought the acting was amazing--those two characters were so real to me. The cinematography was gorgeous. Arty without being pretentious. Touching without being sentimental. A love story without the romance. I laughed a lot and thought it was odd that I was the only person in the theatre laughing at times, except for when I saw it a second time with a friend and then there were only two of us laughing. I don't know--it struck a chord with me.
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Old 01-27-2004, 05:39 PM   #23
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But seriously anyone who can pull off a Keith Richards inspired Pirate deserves to win in my book.
That is an absolutely perfect description. Damn, he was good in that movie.
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Old 01-28-2004, 09:40 AM   #24
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Of course, the only nomination that really counts is the one for Foreign Language Film:
THE BARBARIAN INVASIONS (Canada)
EVIL (Sweden)
THE TWILIGHT SAMURAI (Japan)
TWIN SISTERS (The Netherlands, a.k.a. De Tweeling)
ŽELARY (Czech Republic)

The past few years saw a number of Dutch movies being nominated, or even win (1986, 1995, 1998), so who knows?

C ya!

Marty (hasn't seen Twin Sisters though )
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Old 01-28-2004, 12:39 PM   #25
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"A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow" - A MIGHTY WIND


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Old 02-29-2004, 06:47 PM   #26
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So, let's see if our predictions come true...
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Old 02-29-2004, 08:23 PM   #27
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Truly, Johnny Depp could win--although Bill and Sean both did better jobs. That said, Bill was better--Sean was a little more theatrical, over the top, but all in all, still good. If the votes split, Depp could take it home. He was good, but it's not his best work. And it'd be nice to see Murray get some recognition as a serious actor. Joyfulgirl, I completely agree with everything you've said about the film.

Keisha Castle-Hughes was phenomenal. For a younger actress. But then again, it's difficult to judge whether she was simply reacting to the director's direction, or really into the role. That said, I'd rather see Watts or Morton win. I thought Morton was fantastic. But Theron WILL get the Oscar because she's pretty and gained 30 pounds for the role. I haven't seen Monster, and I'm sure she was good, but still.

So much of this is politics and sentiment. I wonder why I watch it at all. Maybe so I can have something to rant about??

ROTK..all the way *fingers crossed*
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Old 02-29-2004, 09:26 PM   #28
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the billy crystal appreciation thread

you look mahvelous!






i billy crystal

i always find the oscars more entertaining and laugh the most when he is the host. welcome back mr. crystal...one funny, funny man.
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Old 02-29-2004, 09:29 PM   #29
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I would love it if Johnny Depp won.
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Old 02-29-2004, 09:31 PM   #30
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absolutely mahvelous!!!!
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