another week goes by and things are starting to become more predictable. you look at the records and the teams who we thought would be bad are bad, the teams that we thought would be good are good - and then there's a bunch of teams in the middle on both sides of the lotto line who could go up or down 10 spots based on one good week.
the only surprises for me thus far would be...
Dallas - in hindsight it should have been obvious, but I fell for the hype. They call AD street clothes for a reason. Flagg as a point guard isn't working - for the team or for Flagg. Maybe a corner will be turned - but asking a kid who should be a freshman in college to play a position he's never played before is going to create some bumps in the road.
Indiana - I thought they'd be decent and still make the playoffs this year - but the amount of injuries they're currently dealing with is absurd and damn near impossible to overcome. Their point differential is four points better than Brooklyn's and 8 points better than Washington's - so it's easy to see them turning it on once some of these guys come back. But the further they fall, the more likely it is that it won't matter. The only thing they have going for them now is that they're still just 2.5 games out of the play in, even at 1-7.
Orlando - Bane has been awful to start the year. Guy's a career 40% three point shooter and he's shooting 25% in Orlando. So conceivably that will change and the team will begin to play better. They'll also get Suggs off a minute restriction soon - and as much as he's a role player, he's also the straw that stirs the drink, so to speak - because of how hard he plays. He does a bit of everything. So I think they'll eventually be what everyone thinks they were going to be. The one area of concern for me would be Banchero. Everyone is expecting him to take the next step into being a star - and, well, he just hasn't done that yet. He's still good - but if he can't separate himself into a true alpha here, then Orlando may never be as good as most expect them to eventually be.
Portland - I thought they'd compete for a playoff spot after the strong end of last year - but it's surprising to see how well they've come out of the gates when you consider the massive hit of the controversy around their head coach right at the start of the season. Deni Avdija is playing like an all star.
Philly and San Antonio - both of these came out of the gates like gang busters... but both have fallen back to earth in week 2. Wemby has looked less alien like over the last week, and Philly has now lost 2 in a row - and still has massive questions surrounding Embiid and George. Edgecombe's shooting - which was the knock on him - has come back down after a torrid start. He shot 7 for 26 (27%) from the field in the last two games - both losses.
Chicago - break up the Bulls! Giddey looks like an all star. Their schedule was front loaded with expected eastern conference contenders in Detroit, Orlando, Atlanta and New York - and they went 4-1 in those games. We'll see how things stack up moving forward - but if Giddey keeps playing like this? There's no reason to think they won't stay near the top of the standings in the East. I think Detroit will overtake them - as will one (or multiple) of New York, Cleveland and Milwaukee. But with Giddey at all star level - they're easily in the conversation for the 3 through 6 seeds in the East.
TALKIN' LAKERS - Yea there's zero chance I expected the Lakers to be 7-2 at this point. There are a few worrying signs - namely their point differential and the number of close games they've played. But some of that can be written away by the injuries they've faced. They won a bunch of games without Luka, and LeBron hasn't played a minute. But the other Western teams at the top... OKC, Houston, Denver... they all have double digit point differentials. They're dominating. The Lakers? Their point differential is 3.0. 6th best in the conference - barely above Portland. So it's entirely possible that they fall back to earth. But Luka has been amazing in the games he's played, and AR looks like he's taken another step. The big question mark is obviously LeBron. When he returns, what type of player will he be? Is he truly willing to take a back seat - be a cutter and a secondary player, and not be nearly as ball dominant as he was in the past? The only time that's happened before was in years 2 and 3 in Miami (which also coincide with when LeBron was at his absolute peak as a player, but i digress). If he is willing to fully turn the keys to the car over to Luka and just fit in? This team has a chance to be really good. If he wants to take over and be his typical ball dominant self? Yea, they can't compete with the top dogs with him playing that way.