I respectfully disagree. Tremendous demand exists for U2's live product in Europe. Further, Europe lacks the extensive network of large arenas in the 18K-20K seat range like those found in North America. That means they can profitably do stadiums in Europe, and perhaps more significantly, need to do stadiums there. Seasonal conditions dictate that this run must take place in the summer of 2016.
Here's my bet:
Winter-Spring 2016: "other geographies" such as Asia, Australia, and Africa.
Summer 2016: Europe, with a stadium show.
Late Summer-Fall 2016: back to the US, with a concentration on the not-yet-serviced midwest and south. Stadiums in mega-markets such as NY metro, Boston, Chicago, and LA are a slim possibility (maybe even a stadium date in So. Florida?).
Late fall 2016: South America.
We'll know for sure when concrete news emerges from the U2 camp.
I like your logic, however I disagree. This seems to be an arena made tour. Part of the thrill is the intimacy, its just part of it. More so than Vertigo, probably as much as Elevation.
I can't seem them translating this show to stadiums, I just don't. Maybe for Dublin or the exception, they will create a makeshift stage (Like Slane Castle - which looked disproportionate) , but overall, I say they are sticking to Arenas.
Having said this, I agree Australia and Asia have a great shot in early 2016, they have good Arenas in place.
After: Europe and USA again, both in Arenas. Not sure about which first though since doing Arenas in the U.S is very difficult during the fall/winter because of the NBA and NHL.
(Although they did manage it during Vertigo leg 3).
The victims this tour I think will be South America. Two reasons:
- Poor arena infrastructure
- The currency depreciations some countries like Brazil, Argentina and Colombia are experiencing against the Dollar. THIS IS A BIG FACTOR. Imagine if a G.A ticket in north american went from $86 to $270. That would discourage plenty right? That's what's happening in latin america.
The depreciation in latin america's currencies of course not only affects ticket prices, but also logistics, shipments, salaries etc. Its a significant issue.