so here's the thing - we can organize our way past these efforts. for now. if we lose the white house in 2024? maybe not... but for now, it's still doable .
it doesn't mean that we shouldn't be trying to fight them - it means that we shouldn't use it as an excuse.
i do think Biden should openly come out against the filibuster and try to put pressure on Manchin. I also think Manchin will not cave (nor will Sinema). So that pressure is mostly just for show.
If we truly want to stop this train, we need to take more seats in 2022. full stop.
want to overturn the filibuster? Have a big enough margin in the Senate where Manchin doesn't matter.
It's funny how democrats kill Manchin.
Is he holding shit up? Yes.
Would someone with more of a liberal slant be preferred? Yes.
Is someone more liberal possible in West Virginia? Hell no.
Would Cocaine Mitch still be majority leader without Manchin? Yes.
The issue isn't Manchin. The issue is decades of shitty politics leading to this point. The issue is not having enough of an advantage to make Manchin's stance on the filibuster irrelevant.
Go get Toomey's seat. Get Johnson's seat. Hold on to Warnock, Kelly and Hassan's seats.
Make it so that Manchin's value is keeping the majority and nothing more. this IS possible. The most draconian rules being passed are in Texas and Florida. OK. Great. We're not flipping those seats, anyways. We're not flipping Florida or Missouri. We could potentially flip North Carolina, but it's a long shot.
Milwaukee can turn out and bounce Ron Johnson. This audit in Arizona appears to be backfiring in the state - which bodes well for Kelly. Nevada ultimately comes down to the Culinary Unions in Las Vegas and should stay blue. Pennsylvania? Yea - democrats can win that seat even in the face of suppression.
So do it. Shit, or get off the pot.
And then? Between 2022 and 2024? Pass everything. Fix the filibuster rule and ram as much shit through as you can. Fix the judiciary.
All of the protesting and jockeying right now is for show. Nothing matters, nothing can change unless the democrats are able to add Senate seats (and, of course, keep the House) in 2022.