US Politics XXX: The type of film Donald wants to watch Ivanka in - Page 21 - U2 Feedback

Go Back   U2 Feedback > Lypton Village > Free Your Mind > Free Your Mind Archive
Click Here to Login
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
 
Old 11-06-2020, 01:49 PM   #401
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,081
Local Time: 08:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveC View Post
the reason not to call it at this point is that it isn't prime time ratings hours yet.

Right? Sure seems like they’re gearing up for ratings.
__________________

mikal is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 01:57 PM   #402
Blue Crack Addict
 
phanan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: in the darkness on the edge of town
Posts: 25,911
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the tourist View Post
So I wonder what the vote difference threshold needs to be before news outlets call PA. 30k?
The magic number for percentage difference, if I'm remembering correctly, was .5%.
__________________

phanan is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:12 PM   #403
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the tourist View Post
So I wonder what the vote difference threshold needs to be before news outlets call PA. 30k?


Id suspect a gap has nothing to do with it. They’re probably waiting until a statistical tie is outside of the confidence margin.
LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:18 PM   #404
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Kornacki just did a decent job of explaining it... basically there's uncertainty on which way the provisional ballots are going to break so they're waiting until the lead is large enough that it doesn't matter.
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:20 PM   #405
Blue Crack Addict
 
phanan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: in the darkness on the edge of town
Posts: 25,911
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Understandable, but as others have stated, the majority of those should be blue anyway.
phanan is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:23 PM   #406
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Yes but races don’t get called from gut feelings with strong qualitative evidence. They get called from statistical proof.
LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:26 PM   #407
Blue Crack Addict
 
phanan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: in the darkness on the edge of town
Posts: 25,911
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Right, I get it. But it seems like for most of the pundits out there, they'd be comfortable calling it now, whereas before, not so much.
phanan is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:27 PM   #408
New Yorker
 
Hollow Island's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,633
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Will PA report enough for it to be called today? Biden's address suggests it but there are still 120k to go.
Hollow Island is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:28 PM   #409
Blue Crack Addict
 
the tourist's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 27,831
Local Time: 07:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
Id suspect a gap has nothing to do with it. They’re probably waiting until a statistical tie is outside of the confidence margin.


Right. And I’m wondering what the number would be where a statistical tie is outside of the confidence margin.
the tourist is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:30 PM   #410
Blue Crack Addict
 
U2girl's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: slovenija
Posts: 21,075
Local Time: 03:10 AM
https://youtu.be/TeSiJmLoJd0
U2girl is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:30 PM   #411
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by phanan View Post
Right, I get it. But it seems like for most of the pundits out there, they'd be comfortable calling it now, whereas before, not so much.


I get it but the pundits don’t make the call. They have a back room of head nerds that are collecting data from their frontline nerds, and they’re crunching numbers and determining if a call is appropriate.

Now, it’s possible that the network could step in and say “do not call the election yet” for whatever reason, but I highly doubt this is the case. They probably just have rigorous guidelines for what constitutes a called state and a called race, and probably can’t call the state because calling the state would call the race but maybe they don’t meet the confidence level for the entire race yet (GA too close, WI too close, etc)
LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:35 PM   #412
Blue Crack Addict
 
phanan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: in the darkness on the edge of town
Posts: 25,911
Local Time: 09:10 PM
It certainly will be interesting to see who calls it first, and how quickly after the next round of ballots come in.
phanan is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:42 PM   #413
Blue Crack Supplier
 
dazzledbylight's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: in the sound dancing - w Bono & Edge :D
Posts: 34,830
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anitram View Post
I'm sorry to hear, please take care of yourself and here is to a happier and better year to come.
I'll second that.
Hopefully things will improve for you again over time.
dazzledbylight is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 02:54 PM   #414
ONE
love, blood, life
 
namkcuR's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Kettering, Ohio
Posts: 10,738
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dazzledbylight View Post
I'll second that.
Hopefully things will improve for you again over time.
Thirded.
namkcuR is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:06 PM   #415
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrsSpringsteen View Post
Thank you so much Martina, I'm so touched that you remembered and mentioned her. Especially since I'm going through something brutal in my life these days.Things just keep getting worse.

Thank you❤
Hang in there, MrsSpringsteen. Sorry to hear you are going through a difficult period.
gump is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:07 PM   #416
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:10 PM
King.

gump is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:23 PM   #417
More 5G Than Man
 
LemonMelon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Hollywoo
Posts: 68,500
Local Time: 06:10 PM
LemonMelon is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:25 PM   #418
New Yorker
 
Hollow Island's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,633
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Hollow Island is offline  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:28 PM   #419
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Hewson's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Your own private Idaho
Posts: 32,064
Local Time: 09:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LemonMelon View Post
Maybe soothe him first with a plate of Twinkies and a big glass of Nestle Quik, then let him watch a few episodes of Teletubbies, then break the news.
Hewson is online now  
Old 11-06-2020, 03:36 PM   #420
Blue Crack Addict
 
anitram's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: NY
Posts: 18,918
Local Time: 10:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LemonMelon View Post

God, I haven't laughed this hard in years.
Same.

Although is there not a single adult left in the WH? What's Trump going to do? Yell at them? Fire them? For God's sake all these people are even worse than he is. Embarrassing.
__________________

anitram is offline  
 

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:10 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Design, images and all things inclusive copyright © Interference.com
×