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Old 11-05-2020, 05:11 PM   #21
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:13 PM   #22
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It's not often I cheer for Fox.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:14 PM   #23
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What a weird world we have right now where Fox News might be the first to call the election for Biden.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:14 PM   #24
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I highly caution cheering Fox News.

Let someone else call the election based upon math, you can never trust that there isn’t something monumentally nefarious going on right now, intended to inflame.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:15 PM   #25
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Fuck yeah! From Nate Cohn:

Trump's lead in Georgia now under 10,000 votes, mainly after mail-in ballots from Fulton.
Clayton and Chatham absentees alone ought to cover the rest of the difference
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:19 PM   #26
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don't think this has been posted yet: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:21 PM   #27
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Lol at the optimism we had calling the previous thread the last one!

On Fox, I'll say that their data/polling stuff is actually well respected, contrary to the rest of that dumpster fire.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:23 PM   #28
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don't think this has been posted yet: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html
This is great.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:26 PM   #29
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It’s kind of nice not having seen the ugly orange mug for a couple of days.

When will Twitter ban him? 1 pm on Jan 20?
Oh, lord, let's hope so.

ETA: Also, that Greta Thunberg tweet that was shared in the last thread was...*Chef's kiss* .
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:27 PM   #30
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don't think this has been posted yet: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html

Omg this is awesome and I wish I knew of this yesterday haha.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:29 PM   #31
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They're going to call it before Biden even has a reported lead? That just seems like a troll job to me.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:29 PM   #32
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don't think this has been posted yet: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html
That trend looks bad in Arizona? Or am I reading it wrong?
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:31 PM   #33
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don't think this has been posted yet: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html


Beautiful. Me love data table.

Only concern is how much is Forsyth County and how red or blue are those coming in. If absentee from that county are coming in even or blue despite the red bias, Joe will get GA. Otherwise, maybe not.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:33 PM   #34
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They're going to call it before Biden even has a reported lead? That just seems like a troll job to me.

This happens all the time?

VA was called with like 15% of voting in and Trump obliterating Biden something like 66-33.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:35 PM   #35
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That trend looks bad in Arizona? Or am I reading it wrong?


Nope. Not wrong. At his rate if everything were constant it’s Trump moving ahead there.

But what’s not clear on these tables is where the new dump game from.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:36 PM   #36
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That's not a solid analogy in that VA was never considered a central battleground like PA was.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:40 PM   #37
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Nope. Not wrong. At his rate if everything were constant it’s Trump moving ahead there.

But what’s not clear on these tables is where the new dump game from.
Odd that Cohn of the NYT is saying Biden should make it. So frustrating
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:42 PM   #38
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That's not a solid analogy in that VA was never considered a central battleground like PA was.
It works in that we are expecting a significant drop from Philly that will be akin to what we saw in Fairfax, VA. Information like this is why states get called.

But yes, PA will be closer. Not that close though.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:43 PM   #39
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Odd that Cohn of the NYT is saying Biden should make it. So frustrating
They are aware of the demographics in the remaining counties and the nature of the remaining ballots, when they were handed in, and by whom. AZ will stay blue.
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Old 11-05-2020, 05:44 PM   #40
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Odd that Cohn of the NYT is saying Biden should make it. So frustrating


He can probably confirm that absentee ballots in Forsyth are coming in even or better for Biden.
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