womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
I appreciate all the thoughtful work/analysis done by womanfish, but I really believe it's in everyone's best interest to write off Florida. That state is a shit show in the best of circumstances and while it would be a pleasant surprise for it to go blue in a week, I really doubt it. Also, The Villages is ten kinds of creepy groupthink, I cannot imagine for the life of me wanting to live out my last years on earth in that godforsaken community.
Texas - if this was the year that Barack Obama was running, I think that he'd take Texas. It's a large enough state that you can get over the line by relying on momentum if you're keeping close enough a week or two out. However, I don't think that Biden can close it out and it's a more likely flip in 4-8 years. That flip IS coming.
TX's future worries me though. Biden is doing so well because he is seen as a moderate, honest, down to earth kind of candidate that Texans and midwesterners can get on board with. Oh yeah, and he's a white male.
I'm worried about future candidates and if they will have even close to the same appeal in these areas, that for the foreseeable future will determine the outcome of the election.