US Politics XXVIII: But His Laptop From Hell - Page 6 - U2 Feedback

Go Back   U2 Feedback > Lypton Village > Free Your Mind > Free Your Mind Archive
Click Here to Login
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
 
Old 10-27-2020, 10:05 AM   #101
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
feeeeeel the delusion

https://twitter.com/WatchChad/status...90991242846209
__________________

womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:05 AM   #102
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
feeeeeel the delusion

https://twitter.com/WatchChad/status...90991242846209
__________________

womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:21 AM   #103
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 10:59 PM
California will go red, but I’m not certain about VA. That’s a tricky librul style right

LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:22 AM   #104
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:59 PM
I really want to see PA get to at least +6 by next Tuesday.
gump is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:23 AM   #105
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
California will go red, but I’m not certain about VA. That’s a tricky librul style right

That common 30-point polling error.
gump is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:35 AM   #106
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
I really want to see PA get to at least +6 by next Tuesday.
I think we are already there. There actually has been an upward trend for PA over the last 5 days. Back on the 15th to the 20th, you were seeing a lot of +3's and +5's. Over the last week, taking A and B rated pollsters, the average is +7.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:48 AM   #107
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
I think we are already there. There actually has been an upward trend for PA over the last 5 days. Back on the 15th to the 20th, you were seeing a lot of +3's and +5's. Over the last week, taking A and B rated pollsters, the average is +7.
I trust the 538 polling average more on this because they avoid arbitrary criteria for adding or excluding polls, and they show some tightening of the PA race still.

Click image for larger version

Name:	Screen Shot 2020-10-27 at 10.46.12 AM.png
Views:	12
Size:	72.4 KB
ID:	12665
gump is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 10:53 AM   #108
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Go. Vote. Win.

https://twitter.com/JustinNBC4/statu...011032577?s=19
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:02 AM   #109
Blue Crack Addict
 
DaveC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: nazi punks fuck off
Posts: 21,973
Local Time: 09:59 PM
everything about the washington basketball team was so much cooler when they were called the bullets.
DaveC is online now  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:07 AM   #110
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:59 PM
You and the majority of our fan base agree.
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:09 AM   #111
More 5G Than Man
 
LemonMelon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Hollywoo
Posts: 68,500
Local Time: 06:59 PM
66 million votes with a week to go. Should hit 50% of 2016 in the next couple days.
LemonMelon is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:12 AM   #112
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
I trust the 538 polling average more on this because they avoid arbitrary criteria for adding or excluding polls, and they show some tightening of the PA race still.

Attachment 12665
oh yeah, me too. I'm using 538. My point was that the average is still being pulled down by some poorer polling a week or two ago. Recent polls (post debate) seem to be settling right around +7.
So I guess Biden's monumental blunder of talking about transitioning from fossil fuels really hurt him in PA.

I also really like The Economist. I think that G Elliott Morris is an even better analyst than Nate Silver. He has quite a few issues with how 538 does their calculations. So I like to look at both and sort of see how they agree and differ. Right now, they have PA at +6.8. That's closer to what i think the real number is. But we will see. Here's the link to Economists PA page.

https://projects.economist.com/us-20...t/pennsylvania


But yes, i agree it would be great to see the overall average tick up over the week.

Today is last day of early voting in PA, so after today... we just have to wait and see what happens on Election Day.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:13 AM   #113
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Headache in a Suitcase View Post
Will Biden win by 60 or 70 points...??
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:22 AM   #114
Blue Crack Addict
 
anitram's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: NY
Posts: 18,918
Local Time: 10:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post

His polling found Trump w/tiny leads in both states
Bloomberg's internal polling is impeccable so if he sees that TX and OH are within reach, I believe it.

A lot of people shat on him for not spending more $ but frankly he's a shrewd businessman and I 100% believe that his internal polling outfit which he built by poaching from the best has this in the bag for Biden. Why throw $ if/when not needed - he didn't become filthy rich by doing so.

These last minute buys could be crucial. He can afford to spend even more $, should do so.
anitram is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:26 AM   #115
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
Will Biden win by 60 or 70 points...??
Well 2016 was 85 sooooo
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:26 AM   #116
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 10:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
Will Biden win by 60 or 70 points...??


85 in dc for sure
LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:34 AM   #117
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:59 PM
I would not be shocked if DC was 90+. If you're here and you're pro trump you're likely registered somewhere else.
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 11:50 AM   #118
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Kavanaugh is not even trying to hide his partisanship. Incredible stuff.

https://twitter.com/MarshallCohen/st...33212005294081

gump is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 12:29 PM   #119
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Headache in a Suitcase View Post
Well 2016 was 85 sooooo
oh shit, i knew it was overwhelming, but I haven't paid much attention to the results there.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-27-2020, 12:34 PM   #120
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 09:59 PM
Nobody does
__________________

Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
 

Tags
oust the orange menace

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:59 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Design, images and all things inclusive copyright © Interference.com
×