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Old 11-03-2020, 07:31 PM   #841
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I've been saying all along that FL is going for Trump. I'll say it now, they are.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:32 PM   #842
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Not looking good. Sigh.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:33 PM   #843
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Come on Broward
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:34 PM   #844
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Quick reminder that Biden doesn’t NEED Florida.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:35 PM   #845
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Let's also remember that the big dem areas aren't filled in yet
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:37 PM   #846
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Miami-Dade results are just not there. I don't think Biden can make it up.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:37 PM   #847
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Florida will be very, very close again.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:37 PM   #848
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I've been saying all along that FL is going for Trump. I'll say it now, they are.
I’ve said many times I write FL off as a matter of course so that it doesn’t continue to cause me grief every damn time.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:39 PM   #849
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Anyone else want to punch John King already? I've put him on mute
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:39 PM   #850
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If Biden's weakness with Latinos is true elsewhere, it doesn't bode well for AZ. It looks like this goes beyond the Cuban-American vote.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:41 PM   #851
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The more urban an area is the more mail in votes are expected and Miami is no exception.

Also VA was called lightning fast for Biden.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:41 PM   #852
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US Politics XXVIII: But His Laptop From Hell

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If Biden's weakness with Latinos is true elsewhere, it doesn't bode well for AZ. It looks like this goes beyond the Cuban-American vote.


I promise you in Florida it is strictly tied to Cubans and the socialism argument.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:43 PM   #853
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Don't give up on Florida yet
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:43 PM   #854
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I promise you in Florida it is strictly tied to Cubans and the socialism argument.
I really hope you are right.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:45 PM   #855
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Can somebody explain the NYT needle to me? They are projecting >95% chance of Trump carrying Florida, and by 3 points. WTF?
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:46 PM   #856
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Don't give up on Florida yet
Yeah, saw this on Twitter earlier:

https://twitter.com/DanRather/status...80437857103872

Also, it sounds like Iowa may be able to announce its results fairly early tonight:

https://twitter.com/IAStartingLine/s...78558335090688
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:46 PM   #857
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:47 PM   #858
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Can somebody explain the NYT needle to me? They are projecting >95% chance of Trump carrying Florida, and by 3 points. WTF?
They basically extrapolate demographic trends from the votes that have been counted to those that are still expected. So Biden's huge underperformance in Miami-Dade is not compensated by better results elsewhere.
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:47 PM   #859
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Can somebody explain the NYT needle to me? They are projecting >95% chance of Trump carrying Florida, and by 3 points. WTF?
Probably the panhandle
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Old 11-03-2020, 07:52 PM   #860
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Yeah, FL looks lost, but again, not needed.
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