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Old 11-03-2020, 01:13 PM   #761
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Yesterday their campaign was literally predicting a blowout with a >1 million vote difference.
Trafalgar said so, so you know....
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:15 PM   #762
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I found this post I made looking back at election night 2018

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What I think is clear tonight is this...

Trump didn't win because of the rural vote in 2016. He won because of the suburban vote, specifically in the rust belt.

This switched back to blue today.

The rural areas have stayed hardcore Trump - but the suburbs in middle America have turned on him.

If he can't get them back, his reelection map doesn't work.
It's brightened my mood a little.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:19 PM   #763
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Hey guys. If you are going to be checking out returns tonight and are like me and like to look at county results compared to last time, Here is a quick list of what I feel are important counties to keep an eye on in some states. I have who won in each county listed T for Trump and C for Clinton, and the percentage that they won the county by.
Thanks for this!

Sumter (FL) is the county where the creepy Villages community is located so it's likely a good proxy for Floridian seniors.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:21 PM   #764
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today is billing day and by far my busiest day of the month. i'm very grateful that it lined up with election day and i have no choice but to focus on work pretty much all day, otherwise i would be doing nothing aside from reading election stuff and turning into a ball of raw nerves.



but good on your company for giving employees the day off to actually go vote. today really should be a national holiday in the US.
Yea they're at least trying. I was happy when that list of political donations amongst the league came out and our guy was one of the few in the blue side.

We turned both of our DC buildings into voting super centers. It's a start.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:23 PM   #765
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Thanks for this!

Sumter (FL) is the county where the creepy Villages community is located so it's likely a good proxy for Floridian seniors.
Yep, keep a keen eye on Sumter and Pinellas.

Right now by early numbers, I'm projecting Sumter will end up being 65-35 for Trump, which is would be a great sign for Biden statewide. Trump needs to hit 67-68 here to signal a win statewide.

Pinellas is harder since not as much of the vote is in as Sumter. But my guess right now is that it swings from Trump +1 in 2016 to Biden around +4. But that's more gut than numbers.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:26 PM   #766
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Whoa, just saw this!!

I think this could be the end of the road for this bullshit

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...72537910239237
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:41 PM   #767
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Soulless cowards, every single one of them

"Republicans publicly silent, privately disgusted by Trump’s election threats"


https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/republicans-trump-election-threats-433910
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:43 PM   #768
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It won't be over after tonight, even if Biden wins FL, OH, PA, NC

We are going to endure lawsuit after lawsuit after lawsuit.

There's no reason for Trump NOT to try this. He has nothing to lose by trying, and everything to gain.

Not saying the courts will definitely change the outcome, but he's got to do everything he can to avoid prison. Pardons won't stop indictments from SDNY or other states when it's all investigated.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:47 PM   #769
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Maybe Trump cheated in 2016 too. I mean other than Russia.

The thought has crossed my mind.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:54 PM   #770
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It won't be over after tonight, even if Biden wins FL, OH, PA, NC

We are going to endure lawsuit after lawsuit after lawsuit.

There's no reason for Trump NOT to try this. He has nothing to lose by trying, and everything to gain.

Not saying the courts will definitely change the outcome, but he's got to do everything he can to avoid prison. Pardons won't stop indictments from SDNY or other states when it's all investigated.
I'm paranoid as hell and I'm telling you to take a deep breath.

I don't discount that this ending up in the courts is a distinct possibility, but if Biden sweeps the necessary states then that possibility lessens. Orange man will have no leg to stand on.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:55 PM   #771
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I appreciate greatly that my company decided in June that Juneteenth and Election Day would now be added to the list of paid holidays... but I really wish I was working today.
You could always paint the lawn, mow the house, shave the cat or wash the trash.
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Old 11-03-2020, 01:59 PM   #772
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Hearing on MSNBC right now that there’s significant concern on the Trump campaign that they did not put enough resources in Pennsylvania to get people to show up and vote on their behalf.


This is the most beautiful thing I’ve read on this website ever.
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:00 PM   #773
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Originally Posted by anitram View Post
Yesterday their campaign was literally predicting a blowout with a >1 million vote difference.


Maybe they’re all still waiting for buses to pick them up from the rally?
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:01 PM   #774
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Thanks for this!



Sumter (FL) is the county where the creepy Villages community is located so it's likely a good proxy for Floridian seniors.


The seniors there are no strangers to swinging.
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:05 PM   #775
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This is the most beautiful thing I’ve read on this website ever.
Better than the lyrics to Get Out of Your Own Way?
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:15 PM   #776
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Better than the lyrics to Get Out of Your Own Way?


Yes. Even that.
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:20 PM   #777
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Well, I guess we got it all wrong. This strategist added up the reasons to vote for Trump and has given his predictions for state outcomes tonight.

https://twitter.com/GregRubini/statu...43360071487493
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:30 PM   #778
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Well, I guess we got it all wrong. This strategist added up the reasons to vote for Trump and has given his predictions for state outcomes tonight.

https://twitter.com/GregRubini/statu...43360071487493
This is stupid, but laughter is good today. I'll take it.
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:33 PM   #779
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Hearing on MSNBC right now that there’s significant concern on the Trump campaign that they did not put enough resources in Pennsylvania to get people to show up and vote on their behalf.
Ooooo, good to know.

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Thanks for this!

Sumter (FL) is the county where the creepy Villages community is located so it's likely a good proxy for Floridian seniors.
They did at least have a pretty big Biden/Harris Golf Car(t) Parade back in ? late Sept or early Oct after all the Drumph ones.
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Old 11-03-2020, 02:41 PM   #780
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Well, I guess we got it all wrong. This strategist added up the reasons to vote for Trump and has given his predictions for state outcomes tonight.

https://twitter.com/GregRubini/statu...43360071487493
Oreganopa? Is that you?
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