US Politics XXVIII: But His Laptop From Hell

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Miami-Dade results are just not there. I don't think Biden can make it up.
 
I've been saying all along that FL is going for Trump. I'll say it now, they are.

I’ve said many times I write FL off as a matter of course so that it doesn’t continue to cause me grief every damn time.
 
If Biden's weakness with Latinos is true elsewhere, it doesn't bode well for AZ. It looks like this goes beyond the Cuban-American vote.
 
The more urban an area is the more mail in votes are expected and Miami is no exception.

Also VA was called lightning fast for Biden.
 
Can somebody explain the NYT needle to me? They are projecting >95% chance of Trump carrying Florida, and by 3 points. WTF?
 
Can somebody explain the NYT needle to me? They are projecting >95% chance of Trump carrying Florida, and by 3 points. WTF?

They basically extrapolate demographic trends from the votes that have been counted to those that are still expected. So Biden's huge underperformance in Miami-Dade is not compensated by better results elsewhere.
 
I really hope you are right.



I conveniently attended a wedding last weekend and the groom was Cuban and his entirely family were trumpster folk. Very very trumpster folk. Very very Cuban. Very very against socialism. It’s still a scar in south Florida... diaspora of Cuba in exile from Castro. Strong disdain for Obama for normalizing relations.
 
I conveniently attended a wedding last weekend and the groom was Cuban and his entirely family were trumpster folk. Very very trumpster folk. Very very Cuban. Very very against socialism. It’s still a scar in south Florida... diaspora of Cuba in exile from Castro. Strong disdain for Obama for normalizing relations.

I get that, but from what I see Biden is underperforming in other non-Cuban Latino parts of the state. I don't know FL well enough to tell.
 
I genuinely think CNN is intentionally presenting closer numbers for as long as possible because their numbers disagree with AP quite dramatically.
 
Yeah it looks like underperformance with Latinos that goes beyond the Cuban population.

Bye Florida.
 
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