US Politics XXVIII: But His Laptop From Hell - Page 17 - U2 Feedback

Go Back   U2 Feedback > Lypton Village > Free Your Mind > Free Your Mind Archive
Click Here to Login
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
 
Old 10-30-2020, 01:49 AM   #321
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LemonMelon View Post
What? Hillary Clinton did not win North Carolina. She lost it by a 3.66% margin, whereas she lost PA/MI/WI by fractions of that. Are you thinking of Virigina?

Outside of 2008, which had razor thin margins, NC has been a tough nut to crack for a very long time. I suspect that will change, but it's a slightly bigger leap than assuming Biden will be able to make 1.0-1.5% gains over 2016 in traditionally blue states.


No sorry, I was thinking of NC’s gubernatorial victory.

The point still stands though... the dynamics of NC is far more similar to VA (just further behind). Lots and lots of people across the south move to NC for their plethora of universities, and even more get imported to cities like Raleigh and Charlotte for new jobs etc., and this is exactly what we see with NOVA. That’s not what’s going on anywhere in PA.
__________________

LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 10-30-2020, 01:53 AM   #322
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
If NC goes to Biden it’s over? I’d argue if NC goes to Trump then the game gets a heck of a lot harder for Biden.
That’s why I separated NC out from the rest of the pack. If Biden wins The others it would be over. If he wins NC, it’s pretty much over -unless something crazy happened like he loses NV.
Cause Biden could lose PA at that point and not pick up any other states and still win with 275 EV’s.
And let’s hope the PA, NC, NV scenario doesn’t happen cause that would be 269-269 and our world ends.
__________________

womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 07:37 AM   #323
Blue Crack Addict
 
mikal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Black Lodge
Posts: 27,081
Local Time: 07:57 PM
https://twitter.com/nbcnews/status/1...109315074?s=21

I hope this story dominates the headlines over the weekend.
mikal is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 08:11 AM   #324
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Hewson's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Your own private Idaho
Posts: 32,064
Local Time: 08:57 PM
https://twitter.com/TheDailyShow/sta...-trump%2Fp1662
Hewson is online now  
Old 10-30-2020, 08:41 AM   #325
Rock n' Roll Doggie
VIP PASS
 
BEAL's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,516
Local Time: 01:57 AM
https://twitter.com/jeffsharlet/stat...248177154?s=21

I hadn’t noticed the change to the American flag till this thread. But it’s been there at every rally now.

Not a fun thread to flip thru.
BEAL is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 09:56 AM   #326
Rock n' Roll Doggie
VIP PASS
 
BEAL's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,516
Local Time: 01:57 AM
https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/st...408082432?s=21

I don’t believe all cops are shitheads but the organization or fraternity of cops seems to be full of it.

Maybe Biden can calm some of these flames
Or even a dem Congress can pass some reforms or better oversight but not sure when police unions are basically the mob when it comes to how they handle their own or any criticism
BEAL is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 10:07 AM   #327
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
I just keep looking at Georgia. Georgia is bluening before our very eyes.
While there is attention on the big early voting numbers. I think people still aren't quite grasping what is going on in the "new south".

There is nothing short of a movement going on in NC, GA, and TX.

The midwest states are all at about 40-50% of their 2016 numbers. Good, but nothing crazy.
OH and IA - 50-60%.

But
NC - 88%
GA - 89%
TX - 101%!!!

There is something happening that is bigger than I think we realize. People don't vote in these numbers because they think everything is ok, and they just like to go stand in line for a while.

Also, interesting to note that three states have some of the worst voter suppression tactics in the country. They are revolting. They are coming for these people.

Wasserman is saying that with the early vote reaching this level today, that he thinks TX is on track to have 3 million more votes this year than 2016.
That would mean 12 million. If you saw my post a few days ago, the Dems goal - the number they felt TX would turn blue was... 12 million.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 10:16 AM   #328
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 08:57 PM
Remember when Hillary canceling her Hudson River fireworks show was a sign that maybe she knew things might be dicey?

Yea Trump isn't showing up to his illegal superspreader party at his DC abomination of a hotel.
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 10:30 AM   #329
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 08:57 PM
There simply isn't a realistic scenario in which Biden wins NC and loses the election. Those are so rare that I don't think it's worth considering them. Winning NC would mean Biden will also do well in Georgia and also give confidence that white votes are turning out for him in PA. See the state-to-state correlations:

https://roadtolarissa.com/forecast-correlation/


NC gets Biden to 270 without either PA or AZ.

Click image for larger version

Name:	Screen Shot 2020-10-30 at 10.35.15 AM.jpg
Views:	10
Size:	87.2 KB
ID:	12671
gump is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 10:32 AM   #330
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,471
Local Time: 09:57 PM
seems like something of a tell?

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...7LWbW4.twitter

either that they're expecting to lose and want to avoid the cameras of crying supporters in hotel lobbies, or that they're out of money and don't want to pay, or both.
Irvine511 is online now  
Old 10-30-2020, 10:39 AM   #331
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,195
Local Time: 08:57 PM
We're at the end of the road. The final weekend before election day. Only our ability to avoid slipping into authoritarian rule like so many nations before us have on the line. No biggie.

Buckle up.
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:05 AM   #332
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...83476901195778

Four days out, and we're on the cusp of another major evolution in how we view America's electoral map.

Imagine a map where Biden only wins PA by a few points but wins NC, GA, TX and AZ... (I'm just gonna leave FL out of this. LOL)
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:07 AM   #333
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
Also, MT is looking interesting. LARGE amount of total vote - 95% of 2016. And from what we are seeing, LARGE amounts of vote from areas that Dems won by large margins in 2018.

Not saying a Biden win, but imagine MT being within 5 points. And more importantly, could mean another Senator!
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:11 AM   #334
Rock n' Roll Doggie
FOB
 
gump's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Brooklyn
Posts: 9,902
Local Time: 08:57 PM
I could see NC going the way of Virgina and becoming pretty blue in a couple of cycles.

I think Republicans see the writing in the wall, thus all the efforts to disenfranchise voters and consolidate minority rule, particularly through the Supreme Court.
gump is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:18 AM   #335
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
Just a reminder. The map we are seeing is due to a couple things. A blockbuster ticket for this moment in time with Biden/Harris - pretty much combining moderate, working class, and experience with a minority and progressive edge. And the pandemic.

Moving forward - 2024 and beyond, it will be interesting to see how the Democratic party decides how to move forward candidate wise.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:25 AM   #336
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,232
Local Time: 01:57 AM
Near suburbs of Atlanta seeing 300% increase in votes vs. 2016
Further burbs, between 50 and 150% increase.

On another note:
20% of the early vote nationwide (17 million) are voters that did not or could not vote in 2016. Dems leading in those numbers by over 2 million votes.
womanfish is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:43 AM   #337
Blue Crack Addict
 
LuckyNumber7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 18,458
Local Time: 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Headache in a Suitcase View Post
We're at the end of the road. The final weekend before election day. Only our ability to avoid slipping into authoritarian rule like so many nations before us have on the line. No biggie.

Buckle up.


If you can tally up $450 million in Bloomberg ads I’ll get you the whiskey for before the election.
LuckyNumber7 is online now  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:48 AM   #338
Blue Crack Addict
 
anitram's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: NY
Posts: 18,918
Local Time: 09:57 PM
There is zero chance they'd cancel that obnoxious DC Trump Hotel party if they thought they had this in the bag or anything close.

Makes sense to stay in the White House, might as well prepare for squatting there indefinitely.
anitram is offline  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:55 AM   #339
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,471
Local Time: 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anitram View Post
There is zero chance they'd cancel that obnoxious DC Trump Hotel party if they thought they had this in the bag or anything close.

Makes sense to stay in the White House, might as well prepare for squatting there indefinitely.


And they made the change just late enough to still stiff the RNC with the bill.
Irvine511 is online now  
Old 10-30-2020, 11:59 AM   #340
Blue Crack Addict
 
DaveC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: nazi punks fuck off
Posts: 21,973
Local Time: 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anitram View Post
Makes sense to stay in the White House, might as well prepare for squatting there indefinitely.
ngl, a small part of me would like to see him try this "i'm not leaving" gambit, because at 12:01pm on january 20th, president biden/pelosi will just order the secret service to remove the trespassers from the restricted area of the white house. how dope would it be to see them literally get thrown out of the white house at the end of all this.
__________________

DaveC is online now  
 

Tags
oust the orange menace

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:57 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Design, images and all things inclusive copyright © Interference.com
×