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Old 10-29-2020, 01:00 AM   #261
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https://twitter.com/blaireerskine/st...94578952495105
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Old 10-29-2020, 06:30 AM   #262
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Anyone else watch Miles Taylor on Chris Cuomo last night? He is Anonymous.

Of course he's just a "disgruntled former staffer", just like everyone else who tells the truth about Trump. Trump says he should be prosecuted, lol.

Sadly nothing he said about Trump on Chris Cuomo's show was surprising to me.
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Old 10-29-2020, 07:51 AM   #263
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Just saw a Trump ad on tv. The audio is Biden saying he is going to raise taxes, then it just cuts off. Obviously editing out on people making over 400 K a year.

This is an official Trump ad, not a pac ad. They are desperate.
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Old 10-29-2020, 08:35 AM   #264
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The last part was great. Too funny.
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Old 10-29-2020, 10:07 AM   #265
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Just saw a Trump ad on tv. The audio is Biden saying he is going to raise taxes, then it just cuts off.
That's all the airtime they can afford right now.
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Old 10-29-2020, 10:58 AM   #266
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...19740768186369

Morning update: Texas just surpassed 95% of its 2016 total votes cast w/ two days of early voting & Election Day left to go. We're just headed for a massive, unprecedented turnout there (and a lot of other places)
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:07 AM   #267
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New Marist poll of FL puts Biden +4. Nice to see Biden getting slightly better numbers here before election day. But we all know it gonna be really tight. I would be surprised if the margin is greater than 2-2.5 in the end.

Looking at early voting numbers


Democrats 2,991,015 - 40.5
Republicans 2,784,101 - 37.7

No Party Affiliation 1,509,179 - 20.4
TOTAL 7,380,071

My best guess on where the vote for each candidate stands right now, taking crossover votes ( R to D, D to R) and independent votes by what polls are saying they are doing (being conservative here on this numberr)

Biden - 53.5
Trump - 45

Now we just have to see how election day plays out.

It's going to be brutal to see Biden up by like 10 or 15 points with mail-ins counted first, and then watch as Trump slowly creeps up, just hoping it holds.
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:09 AM   #268
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We should hit 80,000,000 early votes nationally sometime today. Currently at 78.8m.
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:26 AM   #269
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General polling question. Obviously we know pollsters have adjusted based on how 2016 turned out. I'm wondering if perhaps they have OVER adjusted, thereby inflating how Trump is doing in certain areas. Thoughts?

Combined with unprecedented turnout thus far, this could be a bloodbath if the case.
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:47 AM   #270
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I definitely think that is possible. One possibility is that polls aren't accurately depicting how Independents will vote and therefore any conclusions based on the # of ballots received so far from independents/non-affiliated could be materially off. The other is that I haven't seen anything concrete regarding how many of the early votes are comprised of individuals who were going to vote on Nov 3 but for COVID or other reasons vs how many of them are voters who typically do not vote.

Tuesday is going to be wild either way.
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:53 AM   #271
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I definitely think that is possible. One possibility is that polls aren't accurately depicting how Independents will vote and therefore any conclusions based on the # of ballots received so far from independents/non-affiliated could be materially off. The other is that I haven't seen anything concrete regarding how many of the early votes are comprised of individuals who were going to vote on Nov 3 but for COVID or other reasons vs how many of them are voters who typically do not vote.

Tuesday is going to be wild either way.
Agreed on both sides, and I would caution people who assume that just because people who declare themselves as independents in polls are breaking in big numbers for Biden means that all of those undeclared voters in the actual voting data are breaking for Biden.

Trump has a lot of apolitical supporters who likely didn't register for either party.
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:53 AM   #272
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https://twitter.com/mediaite/status/...225135104?s=21

Just like Hillary seems too prepared....

Such morons
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Old 10-29-2020, 11:54 AM   #273
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This is brilliant

CNN’s Brianna Keilar Delivers 7-Minute Takedown Of Donald Trump’s 1950s Worldview


“It’s 2020. Lassie is not coming to save us and June Cleaver is not waiting at home with meatloaf.”


https://youtu.be/DVPLPpnBbFs
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Old 10-29-2020, 12:14 PM   #274
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https://twitter.com/mediaite/status/...225135104?s=21

Just like Hillary seems too prepared....

Such morons
God, the media is useless.
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:02 PM   #275
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Monmoth has Biden 50-45 (low turnout) or 51-45 (high turnout) in Florida, while NYT/Siena has Biden Biden 48-45 in NC. Two of the best pollsters out there.
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:03 PM   #276
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As reported by Fox News. He also said he would move to Ireland. Since Ancestry says we are cousins, maybe Bruce could spare a room for me in Ireland.




Bruce Springsteen said the White House is in need of an “exorcism” in the latest installment of his radio show, “From My Home to Yours,” that was focused both on Halloween and the upcoming 2020 election.

The singer, who is a very outspoken critic of President Donald Trump’s and even recently said he would move to Australia if he were reelected, shared clips from his E Street Radio program on SiriusXM in which he criticized the president and first family for their apparent lack of culture and values while in the White House.

“It is time for an exorcism in our nation’s capital,” he begins. “Welcome to our Halloween/Election Day monster mash. This is Vol. 14 of ‘From My Home to Yours’ titled ‘Farewell to the Thief.’ In just a few days, we’ll be throwing the bums out. I thought it was a f---ing nightmare but it was so true.”


In a separate clip, Springsteen gave a lengthy monologue that insulted the first family for not demonstrating any moments of levity, comparing them to past presidents' families like Obama, Bush, Reagan and Kennedy.



“There’s no art in this White House. There’s no literature, no poetry, no music. There are no pets in this White House, no loyal man’s best friend, no Socks the family cat, no kid’s science fairs, no time when the president takes off his blue suit, red tie uniform and becomes human. Except when he puts on his white shirt and khaki pants uniform and hides from the American people to play golf,” he says. “There are no images of the first family enjoying themselves together in a moment of relaxation. No Obamas on the beach in Hawaii moments, or Bushes fishing in Kennebunkport, no Reagans on horseback, no Kennedys playing touch football on the Cape.”


Springsteen added: “Where did that country go? Where did all the fun, the joy and the expression of love and happiness go?

He concludes the audio clips from the episode by lamenting the loss of what he believed made “American great” before telling his listeners to vote Trump out of office on Nov. 3.



“We are rudderless and joyless. We have lost the cultural aspects of society that make America great. We have lost our mojo, our fun, our happiness, our cheering on of others,” he said. “The shared experience of humanity that makes it all worth it. The challenges and the triumph that we shared and celebrated. The unique can-do spirit that America has always been known for. We are lost. We’ve lost so much in so short a time. On Nov. 3, vote them out.”
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:22 PM   #277
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why i'll be a gigantic ball of anxiety for at least the next week.

https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/stat...38508814815232
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:34 PM   #278
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i've watched this a couple of times today.

https://twitter.com/JoshuaHol/status...57199375065093
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:37 PM   #279
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i've watched this a couple of times today.

https://twitter.com/JoshuaHol/status...57199375065093
feeling good about both GA Senate races. Momentum is with Ossoff, which is a good place to be.
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Old 10-29-2020, 01:42 PM   #280
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Imagine if it’s Georgia that throws the race to Biden and not Pennsylvania.
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