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Old 10-06-2020, 03:41 PM   #1
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US Politics XXVII: Orange Super Spreader

28 Days left....

ETA: Diemen, I'm missing an X in the title if you'd be so kind.
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:42 PM   #2
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I'm posting this again because I can't stop laughing at it

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Old 10-06-2020, 03:43 PM   #3
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Thumbs up for the title. He must be back to being orange again.
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:44 PM   #4
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Biden is +8.7 on 538, up from +8.2 yesterday and +7.0 on the night of the debate.
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:46 PM   #5
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https://twitter.com/fpwellman/status...637039105?s=21

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The event was the day after the ACB super spreader
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:47 PM   #6
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I'm posting this again because I can't stop laughing at it

Wait, wait, is this for real??
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:48 PM   #7
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This is response to Anitram on the last thread.

Looks like that SurveyUSA was national not FL. Damn it! I see what you saw, they had the national poll sandwiched between 2 FL polls on 538.

Any, you asked:

Anitram
What's been the biggest surprise for you polling-wise?

I'd have to say I'm pleasantly surprised by AZ and how steady it's been. It probably matters a lot that the Democrats are fielding a very good candidate for the Senate seat and the Republicans are fielding an incompetent woman whom the voters of Arizona already rejected once. I wouldn't have necessarily thought that Arizona would be polling that much better than North Carolina - I figured they'd be up or down by about the same %.


Don't know if I can name one. But right now I would agree that AZ is further up than I would have thought. It brings a lot of new paths for Biden.
Next would be PA not being stronger for Biden (although that's changing). I thought he might outperform there vs. WI and MI.
And third would be OH. I mean, this was written off. But having it be tied is a pretty surprising development.
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:53 PM   #8
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https://twitter.com/fpwellman/status...637039105?s=21

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The event was the day after the ACB super spreader
Well I guess it IS true that he has done more for our military and their families than any other President. He possibly gave them a potentially deadly virus.

Deplorable
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:54 PM   #9
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As for Trump halting negotiations. One, Fuck him.

Two

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status...56681826107392

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status...57315774275588

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/st...59949667192833

https://twitter.com/npv708/status/1313555264554119168
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:56 PM   #10
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Biden is +8.7 on 538, up from +8.2 yesterday and +7.0 on the night of the debate.
And importantly. vote share. Biden is at his highest vote share since Aug. 23rd and Trump has his smallest vote share since Aug. 30th.

51.4 to 42.7
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:57 PM   #11
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Wait, wait, is this for real??


That was my exact thought.
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:58 PM   #12
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Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump


The Ebola doctor who just flew to N.Y. from West Africa and went on the subway, bowling and dining is a very SELFISH man-should have known!


9:09 AM · Oct 24, 2014·Twitter for Android
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Old 10-06-2020, 03:59 PM   #13
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Someone is trying weasel their way out of the debate.

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/statu...46737164996609
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:00 PM   #14
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Well I guess it IS true that he has done more for our military and their families than any other President. He possibly gave them a potentially deadly virus.

Deplorable
But remember, we shouldn't mock him being ill or anything like that. 'Cause that would be mean.

Fuck him. Whenever he does kick the bucket, I have no doubt there's a special place in hell already reserved for him. Would that we could just throw his pathetic ass out right now and be done with him once and for all.
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:03 PM   #15
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The Lincoln project is now targeting TX. I have a feeling there are some internals that we are missing. Biden pumping 10 million in TX along with Spanish language ads
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:11 PM   #16
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Someone is trying weasel their way out of the debate.

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/statu...46737164996609
That is pathetic. He is definitely afraid to debate her. Mother, I don't like womenfolk who are smarter than I am.
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:14 PM   #17
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2020 sucks even more-Eddie Van Halen just died from throat cancer. RIP Eddie
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:17 PM   #18
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That is pathetic. He is definitely afraid to debate her. Mother, I don't like womenfolk who are smarter than I am.


Or they want to infect Harris
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:28 PM   #19
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Or they want to infect Harris
Yes, pathetic and awful to even think it but that thought crossed my mind.
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Old 10-06-2020, 04:35 PM   #20
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I mean, hell, they could just do the debate virtually with Pence and Harris sitting in their own respective rooms from wherever. Nobody'd have to share a stage or put any glass up or anything. Problem solved.

But somehow I think even that would be too simple and obvious and decent a solution for the GOP.
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