The GOP, fighting for the most pressing issues Americans have in 2020.
https://twitter.com/GOP/status/1319715289328766980
https://twitter.com/GOP/status/1319715289328766980
US Politics XXVII: Orange Super Spreader
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Irvine511
Blue Crack Supplier
I believe he’s paid in rubles these days.
I used to really admire Greenwald, like, 18 years ago when he wrote for Salon.
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
I'm glad I felt that way last night. LOL. But yeah, I mean, I've been pretty certain for the most part Joe will win bigger than just squeaking past with 280 or something.
I've been feeling a little better about NC and FL over the past week or two. lt got really tight for a while. AZ seems to be hanging on. The map I posted of what I thought would happen, puts Biden at 350. This is with GA going Biden and IA going Trump. It very well could be that it goes the opposite way with IA looking a bit better this past week. Or Biden could lose both. Either way those two are gonna be really tight. But beyond that I think Biden will do very well, and pick up NC/FL/AZ beyond the midwest 3
LemonMelon
More 5G Than Man
Until I am shown convincing evidence that PA, MI or WI will be close, I see no reason to be concerned. I'm sure Joe will steal another one out of AZ, NC, FL, IA, OH, GA and that will slam the door.
https://twitter.com/jysexton/status/1319731551601631234?s=21
At some point whipping up all this fear is going to have an effect and turn into tragedy.
At some point whipping up all this fear is going to have an effect and turn into tragedy.
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
And there isn't any evidence of Biden losing those three. The only worry from me, is that if Biden doesn't pick up NC and AZ, or FL, and Trump drags out PA and possibly MI with lawsuits of ballots that arrive after election day, etc... then we will have a shit show for a while.
MrsSpringsteen
Blue Crack Addict
Politico.com
The Pennsylvania state Supreme Court ruled Friday that ballots in the state cannot be rejected because of signature comparisons, backing up guidance issued by the state’s chief elections officer heading into Pennsylvania’s first presidential election with no-excuse mail voting.
The ruling is a defeat for President Donald Trump’s campaign and other Republicans, who had challenged the decision by Pennsylvania election officials, arguing that efforts to match signatures on ballots to signatures on voter rolls were necessary to prevent fraud.
“We conclude that the Election Code does not authorize or require county election boards to reject absentee or mail-in ballots during the canvassing process based on an analysis of a voter’s signature,” the state Supreme Court wrote in an opinion signed six of the seven justices, including five Democrats and one Republican.
The seventh justice, another Republican, concurred with the ruling..
The court directs “the county boards of elections not to reject absentee or mail-in ballots for counting, computing, and tallying based on signature comparisons conducted by county election officials or employees, or as the result of third party challenges based on such comparisons.”
Already, just under 1.5 million Pennsylvanians have already submitted their ballots in 2020, according to the U.S. Elections Project. That’s a significant share of the vote in Pennsylvania, where about 6.2 million people voted in the 2016 general election.
The Pennsylvania state Supreme Court ruled Friday that ballots in the state cannot be rejected because of signature comparisons, backing up guidance issued by the state’s chief elections officer heading into Pennsylvania’s first presidential election with no-excuse mail voting.
The ruling is a defeat for President Donald Trump’s campaign and other Republicans, who had challenged the decision by Pennsylvania election officials, arguing that efforts to match signatures on ballots to signatures on voter rolls were necessary to prevent fraud.
“We conclude that the Election Code does not authorize or require county election boards to reject absentee or mail-in ballots during the canvassing process based on an analysis of a voter’s signature,” the state Supreme Court wrote in an opinion signed six of the seven justices, including five Democrats and one Republican.
The seventh justice, another Republican, concurred with the ruling..
The court directs “the county boards of elections not to reject absentee or mail-in ballots for counting, computing, and tallying based on signature comparisons conducted by county election officials or employees, or as the result of third party challenges based on such comparisons.”
Already, just under 1.5 million Pennsylvanians have already submitted their ballots in 2020, according to the U.S. Elections Project. That’s a significant share of the vote in Pennsylvania, where about 6.2 million people voted in the 2016 general election.
While Biden is obviously the favorite, I think the main issue is that these results are not independent from each other, so if for some reason Trump overperforms in one of these places (say, due to higher turnout than Democrats or because polls overstated support for Biden amongst white working class people), combined with possible shenanigans over mail ballots, it is not unthinkable that a number of these states will move in his direction.
That said, it's just as likely that polls are underrating Biden. So I'm very cautiously optimistic.
LemonMelon
More 5G Than Man
We've been living through a cataclysm for the last 8 months. If there's a 90% chance that extremely good news is coming, I'm going to jump on it.
But we all have different ways of coping.
But we all have different ways of coping.
As a matter of preserving my own sanity, I never count on Florida. So the polls there have made me neither nervous nor depressed. I just worry with some of the states like NC and AZ, you start trending in the wrong direction and then enough idiots come out in the last week thinking oh look, Trump spoke in sentences at the last debate, he can get deals done. It's patently absurd, but there you have it.
I don't worry about MI/PA/WI at all, but the issue is with the courts stacked and the voter disenfranchisement the only way a Biden victory is actually a victory on Nov 3 is if he wins decisively. Anything that stretches week over week with that new SCOTUS and the more likely it becomes that we're all fucked.
I don't worry about MI/PA/WI at all, but the issue is with the courts stacked and the voter disenfranchisement the only way a Biden victory is actually a victory on Nov 3 is if he wins decisively. Anything that stretches week over week with that new SCOTUS and the more likely it becomes that we're all fucked.
Bluer White
New Yorker
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/23/9271...e-to-normalize-relations-in-u-s-brokered-deal
Sudan And Israel Agree To Normalize Relations In U.S.-Brokered Deal
Sudan And Israel Agree To Normalize Relations In U.S.-Brokered Deal
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
another one... Doesn't even make the tv newscasts. That's how fucked up things are under Trump
https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1319782413715865601
https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/1319782413715865601
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
mikal
Blue Crack Addict
100% this. I am very nervous that anything other than an ass whooping by Biden will result in Trump remaining in office.
dazzledbylight
Blue Crack Supplier
Several of my Texan Biden/Harris voting friends, and acquaintances have voted. 
Irvine511
Blue Crack Supplier
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
An interesting stat over at US Election project.
In North Carolina.
Dems have almost 3 times as many mail in ballots as Reps. That's to be expected. But No Party Reg. voters have returned almost double the amount of Republicans.
Also - Early in person.
Dem - 43%
Rep - 30%
No Party Reg - 27%
Nationally, independents are swinging to Biden around 10 to over 15% Biden. Now it might be a little lower in a state like NC. But lets just say it's 8 or 10.
This points to a really strong head start in NC.
Fingers crossed
In North Carolina.
Dems have almost 3 times as many mail in ballots as Reps. That's to be expected. But No Party Reg. voters have returned almost double the amount of Republicans.
Also - Early in person.
Dem - 43%
Rep - 30%
No Party Reg - 27%
Nationally, independents are swinging to Biden around 10 to over 15% Biden. Now it might be a little lower in a state like NC. But lets just say it's 8 or 10.
This points to a really strong head start in NC.
Fingers crossed
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
Oh and half of the votes are in, in North Carolina.
MrsSpringsteen
Blue Crack Addict
Trump in FL yesterday. Misogyny and birtherism four years on. 
We're not supposed to have a socialist — look we're not going to be a socialist nation. We're not going to have a socialist president, especially a female socialist president, we're not gonna' have it, we're not gonna' put up with it," he said.
Mr. Trump, who is struggling in the polls with minorities, also criticized "Barack Hussein Obama," emphasizing the "Hussein" part of the former president's name.
We're not supposed to have a socialist — look we're not going to be a socialist nation. We're not going to have a socialist president, especially a female socialist president, we're not gonna' have it, we're not gonna' put up with it," he said.
Mr. Trump, who is struggling in the polls with minorities, also criticized "Barack Hussein Obama," emphasizing the "Hussein" part of the former president's name.
LemonMelon
More 5G Than Man
I wish it was 2015 like Trump still thinks it is. Shame for his election chances, and the rest of us, that we're in 2020.
LuckyNumber7
Blue Crack Addict
Driven almost all of 95 through Florida today. Trump is clearly all in on Florida with signage
MrsSpringsteen
Blue Crack Addict
Nepotism problems 
I really can't stand nepotism Ken and Barbie
Politico.com
By CAITLIN OPRYSKO
10/24/2020 11:59 AM EDT
Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner are threatening to sue the Lincoln Project over billboards the anti-Trump group put up in Times Square assailing them over the White House's coronavirus response.
In a letter to the group posted on Twitter on Friday night, an attorney for the president’s daughter and son-in-law demanded the “false, malicious and defamatory” billboards be taken down.
Marc Kasowitz warned that if the ads stay up, “we will sue you for what will doubtless be enormous compensatory and punitive damages.”
The Lincoln Project was defiant, saying in a scathing public statement that the billboards would stay up.
I really can't stand nepotism Ken and BarbiePolitico.com
By CAITLIN OPRYSKO
10/24/2020 11:59 AM EDT
Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner are threatening to sue the Lincoln Project over billboards the anti-Trump group put up in Times Square assailing them over the White House's coronavirus response.
In a letter to the group posted on Twitter on Friday night, an attorney for the president’s daughter and son-in-law demanded the “false, malicious and defamatory” billboards be taken down.
Marc Kasowitz warned that if the ads stay up, “we will sue you for what will doubtless be enormous compensatory and punitive damages.”
The Lincoln Project was defiant, saying in a scathing public statement that the billboards would stay up.
MrsSpringsteen
Blue Crack Addict
https://twitter.com/phillyinquirer/status/1320027888314404864?s=21
This will be ACBs first case as SC justice
This will be ACBs first case as SC justice
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
No. except if you want to throw in Gas that matters somewhat in PA. But it's hilarious how even after Biden roundly whooped Trump in the debate - THIS was the entire takeaway from it by the media. Have seen it all over on the fake liberal news channels.
I think they actually believe that Biden, who has a 2 trillion dollar climate change plan that specifically spells out transitioning off of fossil fuels, was somehow going to be a champion for oil and gas deregulation or something. If you are a moderate in TX or PA that has already decided Biden has your vote, I can't see how this does much to change it. But the media needs the drama to make it look like the election could all fall apart from one comment that was already common knowledge.
amazing.
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
So we are approaching 57 million early votes, and I just realized that NY starts voting today! So that will be a really big boost in the numbers coming in. But even in NY, voter suppression is real. Check out this video. Every time you think, ok, this is the end of the line... you are incorrect.
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1320067937626107910
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1320067937626107910
womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
One more little polling rant. Looking at district level polling across the country, it seems that the blue shift is more pronounced in those state level races. Nate Silver says it would reflect Biden being up 12-14 nationally. Now this may just be pockets and the overall shift may be less if we look at all the hundreds of races out there, but still a bit of good news. That would mean the USC tracking poll would be looking more probable than the IDB tracking poll.
As older polls drop off the national averages, Biden's numbers are coming down nationally. Currently at 9.2, so kind of heading where I figured. Hopefully he can keep those at least around 8.8 to 9ish as we go through the finish line. Next thing to look for is the final round of polls coming in before election day. I'm guessing we will start to see a bunch starting Tuesday or so.
The other more wishful thinking part. If there truly is a Biden landslide. What would that look like? I think of a Tsunami, and how the size of the earthquake results in the height of the surge and how much it washes over.
So accepting that a landslide in a completely polarized electorate is not very likely. If it does happen, will it wash over states where Trump is +1, +3, +5??? I could definitely see a scenario where it sweeps up GA, TX, OH, and IA. But could it even reach Alaska? Montana? (where most recent polls have been Trump +6 and +4? That's a huge stretch, but one can have dreams.
Again, my likely outcome target is Biden around 350 EC votes. And my most optimistic is about Biden 412. Both of these would be huge. But i just want it to be as crushing as possible for both Trump and all republicans.
As older polls drop off the national averages, Biden's numbers are coming down nationally. Currently at 9.2, so kind of heading where I figured. Hopefully he can keep those at least around 8.8 to 9ish as we go through the finish line. Next thing to look for is the final round of polls coming in before election day. I'm guessing we will start to see a bunch starting Tuesday or so.
The other more wishful thinking part. If there truly is a Biden landslide. What would that look like? I think of a Tsunami, and how the size of the earthquake results in the height of the surge and how much it washes over.
So accepting that a landslide in a completely polarized electorate is not very likely. If it does happen, will it wash over states where Trump is +1, +3, +5??? I could definitely see a scenario where it sweeps up GA, TX, OH, and IA. But could it even reach Alaska? Montana? (where most recent polls have been Trump +6 and +4? That's a huge stretch, but one can have dreams.
Again, my likely outcome target is Biden around 350 EC votes. And my most optimistic is about Biden 412. Both of these would be huge. But i just want it to be as crushing as possible for both Trump and all republicans.
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