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Old 10-07-2020, 01:07 PM   #81
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A/B poll Data Orbital - AZ - Biden +5

And yeah, that Rasmussen poll... yikes. 3 points higher than YouGov

For Rasmussen, that up from Biden +8 in late September and Biden +1 in mid September...
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Old 10-07-2020, 01:12 PM   #82
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More Republicans having a sad:

https://www.axios.com/south-carolina...d8378713f.html
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Old 10-07-2020, 01:18 PM   #83
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The only way we survive coming out of this abortion of an administration is with a complete and total rejection of Trumpism and it's enablers and sycophants in November.

Signs are encouraging that this is happen, but my 2016 PTSD won't truly go away unless this becomes reality.
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Old 10-07-2020, 01:30 PM   #84
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NYT/Sienna

NV - Biden +6
OH - Biden +1

So sorta right in line with the current averages. Would have like to have seen a little better.

Marquette Law
WI - Biden +5

Again, a bit disappointing. A bit below the avg on this one.

Sorry, one more. National poll from Qriously - Biden +13 (up 3 from their last one in late Sept)
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Old 10-07-2020, 01:40 PM   #85
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NYT/Sienna

NV - Biden +6
OH - Biden +1

So sorta right in line with the current averages. Would have like to have seen a little better.
Honestly I expected Biden to be at least -3/4 in OH...
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Old 10-07-2020, 01:55 PM   #86
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Honestly I expected Biden to be at least -3/4 in OH...
True. I'm happy to see the +1. In the back of my mind, i thought maybe with this shift in national polling there would be a crazy surprise. But this is OH. I'll take it!!
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:05 PM   #87
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It's always the averages...

Quinnipiac now with Biden +13 in PA, +11 in FL (!!) and +5 in IA. Probably an outlier, but offsets the more modest results earlier today.
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:05 PM   #88
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So far, for polls just over the last 3 days, Biden's national polling avg. is 10.7
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:09 PM   #89
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It's always the averages...

Quinnipiac now with Biden +13 in PA, +11 in FL (!!) and +5 in IA. Probably an outlier, but offsets the more modest results earlier today.
wow, they haven't hit 538 yet. Those are huge numbers. But Q definitely has had a Biden lean. So maybe shave off a few points. But that would still be +10 in PA, +8 in FL and +2 in IA. Still great numbers. And would fall in line with some other polls we've seen the last few days. There have been a couple FL +5's and a +6, a +11 in PA and a +7 , and a +1,2 and 3 in IA over the past week.
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:20 PM   #90
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:31 PM   #91
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:33 PM   #92
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Old 10-07-2020, 02:34 PM   #93
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I think my best advice on the Q Florida poll, would be to take the avg of the last 4 A rated poll results over the past 5 days - And you get Biden +5.5. Not 11. (No one is ever going to be up 11 in FL) but I will take 5.5 any day.
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Old 10-07-2020, 03:01 PM   #94
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+9.4 on 538 now, nearly eclipsing Joe's previous peak of +9.6 back in June. 51.6 vote share to Trump's 42.2.
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Old 10-07-2020, 03:04 PM   #95
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I think my best advice on the Q Florida poll, would be to take the avg of the last 4 A rated poll results over the past 5 days - And you get Biden +5.5. Not 11. (No one is ever going to be up 11 in FL) but I will take 5.5 any day.
Is there a schedule for upcoming polls to be released? I figure if anyone would you know, you would.

Would be good to see a Selzer IA poll soon as that Senate seat really looks ripe for the taking when it wasn't necessarily the case a month or two ago.
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Old 10-07-2020, 03:07 PM   #96
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So we have seen the national polling tick up considerably. Biden from 7.1 to Biden 9.4 today.
This is obviously enveloping the whole country, so I went back to the debate date to see what changes have happened in swing states from then to today. Here's what we have. Biden ticked up in every one except TX. The average over all swing states = 1 point toward Biden.


AZ - +0.5
FL - +3.0
GA - +1.2
IA - +2.0
MI - +0.3
MN - +0.3
NV - +0.8
NC - +1.3
OH - +1.7
PA - +2.3
TX - Trump +0.8
WI - +0.1
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Old 10-07-2020, 03:11 PM   #97
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Is there a schedule for upcoming polls to be released? I figure if anyone would you know, you would.

Would be good to see a Selzer IA poll soon as that Senate seat really looks ripe for the taking when it wasn't necessarily the case a month or two ago.
The only one I know that tells what they will release soon is NYT/Sienna. Next week they will be releasing WI and MI polls.
Monmouth will say the day before.
I would like to see more IA, OH, FL, AZ, PA... I think MI doesn't really need another one over these.
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Old 10-07-2020, 04:13 PM   #98
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https://twitter.com/susan_hennessey/...321256960?s=21
Deplorables
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Old 10-07-2020, 04:34 PM   #99
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Really inspiring how they're putting their lives on the line to shove Amy Coney Barrett down everyone's throat.

But show up and vote for financial relief for Americans? Nah, that can wait.
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Old 10-07-2020, 04:44 PM   #100
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The goal for GOP is to get their judges confirmed, and destroy as much of the country as possible in time for Biden.

Then they can complain loudly about fiscal responsibility in time for a red wave to come back in at 2022.

No doubt they will blame covid on Biden.

All of this makes a few assumptions

The courts don’t keep Trump in power
Trump doesn’t launch nukes as his way of taking everyone out with him
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