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Old 10-15-2020, 09:49 AM   #481
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ah fuck

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...36852322205696
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Old 10-15-2020, 10:11 AM   #482
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Was probably just a matter of time before it hit within the D campaign.
Have to keep Uncle Joe safe till Nov 4.
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Old 10-15-2020, 10:48 AM   #483
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Whoa, just saw this.
538 A rated NBC/WSJ national poll just dropped. Biden +11. This is Registered Voters. If they release a likely voter version, it will most likely be Biden +12.
Yes, yes, but that poll that has Susan Collins down by 7 truly made my day.
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Old 10-15-2020, 11:28 AM   #484
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I’d prefer in person actually. My fear is that Trump will be ahead on Election night and block the counting of all the Mail in votes.
Hell yeah, I’m definitely going in person
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Old 10-15-2020, 11:31 AM   #485
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Yes, yes, but that poll that has Susan Collins down by 7 truly made my day.
I missed it! That feels so good. Love seeing McSally , Collins and Ernst struggle.

I think if those three plus Gardner go, I would just need a cake topper of Lindsey being sent packing.
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Old 10-15-2020, 11:54 AM   #486
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I missed it! That feels so good. Love seeing McSally , Collins and Ernst struggle.



I think if those three plus Gardner go, I would just need a cake topper of Lindsey being sent packing.


Every time I see him whining about money during the confirmation hearings I send Jamie Harrison money.
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Old 10-15-2020, 12:06 PM   #487
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Every time I see him whining about money during the confirmation hearings I send Jamie Harrison money.
Last night I was channel surfing and Lady G was on Fox. Mid sentence talking about something else entirely, he mentioned that he needed money and the web site to do it. It was bizarre and panicky. It's satisfying to see him so desperate.

What could he do for his next move, clown college?
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Old 10-15-2020, 12:12 PM   #488
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Every time I see him whining about money during the confirmation hearings I send Jamie Harrison money.


Omg same.
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Old 10-15-2020, 12:33 PM   #489
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And shit, I forgot about Tillis. Wow. So right now, the count for probable wins is 5! With Lady G a tossup and Mike Espy and Hagar outside chances of picking up another 2.
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Old 10-15-2020, 12:45 PM   #490
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I’d prefer in person actually. My fear is that Trump will be ahead on Election night and block the counting of all the Mail in votes.
My fear of this happening is shrinking based on the poll numbers... but I'm still voting in person (even though there's zero risk of Biden losing DC)
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Old 10-15-2020, 12:45 PM   #491
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Ye be the definition of counting your chickens before they hatch.
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Old 10-15-2020, 01:31 PM   #492
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Old 10-15-2020, 01:40 PM   #493
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Unfortunately the latest NYT/Siena poll now has Graham up by six points.

A bummer on an otherwise good polling day.
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:03 PM   #494
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For a second, I thought you had caught me saying “don’t count your eggs before they hatch.”
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:09 PM   #495
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Unfortunately the latest NYT/Siena poll now has Graham up by six points.

A bummer on an otherwise good polling day.


I’m cool with it. Every other pole that has come out in the last week in South Carolina that doesn’t feature a large amount of undecided/other voters had a tight race. More than one with Harrison up. Definitely not getting my hopes up, but also love to at least watch Lindsey sweat.
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:23 PM   #496
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Trump running at +8 in South Carolina makes that a really difficult, if not impossible seat to win.

If Trump manages to drop to more like 3-4 pts ahead, we can start getting tingly.
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:30 PM   #497
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And shit, I forgot about Tillis. Wow. So right now, the count for probable wins is 5! With Lady G a tossup and Mike Espy and Hagar outside chances of picking up another 2.


The cool thing about Tillis is that his barely PG-13 sexting scandal has actually improved his polling with white guys.

Maybe we’re more French than we realize.
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:34 PM   #498
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Trump running at +8 in South Carolina makes that a really difficult, if not impossible seat to win.

If Trump manages to drop to more like 3-4 pts ahead, we can start getting tingly.


I don’t know... I think there’s too often two main assumptions that people make:

1) black voters who are republican will vote along party lines (there are generally more black republicans in the south tied to religious lines) - I think this assumption is generally wrong, and they’d be more likely to vote for Harrison and Trump

2) Trump voters are all very loyal and will vote for what he needs in the senate - Doug Jones in Alabama proved this entirely wrong, the people aren’t as bad as we make them out to be.
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:36 PM   #499
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She's baaaack!

https://twitter.com/meenaharris/stat...76818938421249

(For those who don't know, she went viral a few years back with this:
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Old 10-15-2020, 02:46 PM   #500
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Fucking retire already, Dianne Feinstein.

Frankly, that's probably a preview of what the next 4 years are going to look like.
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