US Politics XXVI: Sorry you're not Canada - Page 11 - U2 Feedback

Go Back   U2 Feedback > Lypton Village > Free Your Mind > Free Your Mind Archive
Click Here to Login
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
 
Old 09-29-2020, 12:06 AM   #201
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,460
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Also, kaboom: Biden 54/45 in PA.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/penn..._twitter_abcnp
__________________

Irvine511 is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:07 AM   #202
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,224
Local Time: 03:15 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/Fahrentho...55760360247298
__________________

womanfish is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:31 AM   #203
Blue Crack Addict
 
Moonlit_Angel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: In a dimension known as the Twilight Zone...do de doo doo, do de doo doo...
Posts: 20,716
Local Time: 09:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
Trump’s ego has been and will continue to be his downfall.
Mmhm. Pretty much what dooms most, if not all, dictators/wannabe dictators eventually. I just keep reminding myself of that. And hopefully his will come sooner rather than later.
Moonlit_Angel is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 01:51 AM   #204
Blue Crack Addict
 
DaveC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: nazi punks fuck off
Posts: 21,956
Local Time: 10:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
our dear old friend orgopooprah has been trying to convince "the other forum" that trump is going to win again (although that doesn't seem too hard, considering the collective IQ there is approximately the sum of the ages of my two cats) because the betting markets are taking money in for trump in PA recently, because, you know, betting markets are geared to predict the actual outcome of the event, rather than to make money for the bookies, apparently.
DaveC is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 05:06 AM   #205
Blue Crack Supplier
 
dazzledbylight's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: in the sound dancing - w Bono & Edge :D
Posts: 34,828
Local Time: 10:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
Handmaid’s Tale stuff.
Actually I haven't visited bc I just spent 2 1/2 days binging THT S2 & S3 on Hulu's free month trial.

Why would I put myself through that? For the moment it's worse than our current USA, and world. The writing, acting, and cinema photography is superb!
Also I read it in paperback once it came out back in the '80's.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
Get ready for a new acronym: ACB.

And good luck, American women.

And people with pre-existing conditions.

And refugees.

And immigrants.

And gays.

And trans folks.

And voting rights.

They will be coming for all of us.
I know. I hear you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Headache in a Suitcase View Post
lol ok

Republicans: uhhh this guy has donated close to $200 million in about two weeks, negated our attempt to keep former felons from voting by paying off all their fines, and there's still 40 days to go... we should try to arrest him.

Democrats: why won't this dick spend any money?
I do hope he spends more as he'd promised. Still, this is good stuff!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
It’s a good town, but there are some tough things. You may not know this, but we have no voice in the Senate! None at all! And we pay more per capita in federal tax that then gets doled out to red states where people hate our fucking guts and get excited when their representatives threaten to do things like flood our streets with guns or overturn marijuana legalization which passed by like 60% in a referendum. It’s quite a thankless place to be sometimes! But then we do get enjoy our beautiful neighborhoods, educated and sophisticated population, breathtaking monuments, diversity, and great museums.

I also sometimes live in Anarchist New York. I could talk your ear off on that one too.
Hello from Anarchist NYC!

You have Eleanor Holmes ?Norton as a non voting Representative, right? I know DC doesn't have any or partial representation.

Been in DC sooo many times, as a visitor, and protestor!
Even after (or taking a break from) a protest we've stopped in one museum. Seen other protestors do that too.

I absolutely love The Mall. It's so sweeping in scale. The incredible Museums. Tree lined walkways. The Reflecting Pool. Lincoln Memorial. The Capitol. It's sad to see all the extra physical barrier security that started to happen after that prop plane crashed into the WH during Clinton's stay. So very glad I saw it quite a few times before that.

And visiting the WH once at Christmas when The Clinton's were celebrating The American Craftsman - each tree was decorated things made completely or mostly of a single type of material; wood, glass, metal, ceramics etc. Glorious! And the rooms were decked out in Christmas decorations. It was wonderful!

I even went to Adams Morgan as part of a summer visit for a rooftop dinner during the Clinton years.

But, oh, I feel the most patriotic there in DC - thinking of all the people marching there in the past to make this country better.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
But he also never gets any more popular.
Yeah, I've been hearing that through Cook's Polititical Report. They use another word than "ceiling".

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
He also knows that when he loses, the law is coming. He’ll pardon himself for federal stuff, but Cy Vance has the goods.

Which will make him that much more dangerous and crazy. So we have good reason to be terrified!
Yeah, like a rabid animal about to be caged.

Quote:
Originally Posted by womanfish View Post
No matter where you stand on what is lower/middle/upper class. I think we can agree that someone like Biden or Bernie that grew up poor, didn't go to Ivy League schools, and haven't used their wealth later in life to make things worse for everyone but the very rich, are still someone we would prefer in office over someone like Mittens or Trump. Or even like the Obamas that were still paying off student loans after entering the White House. I get the point of view of wanting lawmakers that have had more recent experience of knowing what it's like to struggle, and I agree that those people are important to have in the system. What I don't want is someone who has NEVER known what it's like.
Pretty much agree on this. Oh, I had no idea The Obama's we're still paying off their student loans when they entered the WH!

Quote:
Originally Posted by MrsSpringsteen View Post
Trump wrote off 70 grand in haircuts. 70 grand for that mess? He should demand a complete refund, let alone a tax deduction.
Bwaahahahaaaa!

Quote:
Originally Posted by anitram View Post
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2020/0...g-the-country/

It really is the stuff of nightmares.

He has to come up with over $400 million to pay off his personal debts over the next couple of years.

There are a lot of failures at the level of the media, but not following the Trump $ is probably the biggest. Now that the tax returns are in the open, let's see who is going to be calling on those debts and why they hell they would have loaned him $ when no other institution would.
Yeah, really! Didn't it turn out that some of or all of
<sp!> Deustche Bank to be very corrupt? And perhaps a Russian oligarch or two?

Quote:
Originally Posted by gump View Post
Failure of the media, yes, but bigger failure of Congressional Democrats for not subpoenaing them the day after they took control of the House (as well as of Robert Mueller for not going after this).
Someone from Mueller's Team just has a book out.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
i realize that all of us have bad moments, and that many people suffer from mental illness, and none of us would want these moments captured on camera and broadcast around the world for all to see.

but none of us held a super-spreader event in Oklahoma that got a bunch of people including Herman Cain killed, nor have we grifted money off of a campaign for Individual 1 who owes $420m+ to dictators.

these are objectively bad people.

so please enjoy watching Brad Parscale being Florida Man.

https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/q...LCI6LAyH1nREjw

also, imagine how this would have gone down were he Black. or just not rich and white and well-known.
Kinda nice to see a drumpgist's white man being tackled by the police.

As for the other "kinds" of people - uh, oh - probably much worse to the most ultimately bad outcome!


Guess I'll see youse guys, and gals tomorrow night. Stay safe!
dazzledbylight is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 06:40 AM   #206
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,460
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveC View Post
our dear old friend orgopooprah has been trying to convince "the other forum" that trump is going to win again (although that doesn't seem too hard, considering the collective IQ there is approximately the sum of the ages of my two cats) because the betting markets are taking money in for trump in PA recently, because, you know, betting markets are geared to predict the actual outcome of the event, rather than to make money for the bookies, apparently.


they are a pretty stupid bunch, that's for sure. maybe we need a "Stupidity Scale" where we grade the comments on how stupid they actually are.
Irvine511 is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 07:04 AM   #207
Resident Photo Buff
Forum Moderator
 
Diemen's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Somewhere in middle America
Posts: 13,663
Local Time: 09:15 AM
Who?
Diemen is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 08:05 AM   #208
Blue Crack Addict
 
anitram's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: NY
Posts: 18,918
Local Time: 11:15 AM
I feel like if Biden repeatedly asked Trump to whom he owes $421 in his personal capacity, Trump would lose it on stage. Literally bring it up every 10 minutes or so. You know he'd take the bait.
anitram is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 08:18 AM   #209
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,460
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Diemen View Post
Who?


Orgo and the Incel Kids.
Irvine511 is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 08:53 AM   #210
Rock n' Roll Doggie
VIP PASS
 
BEAL's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,508
Local Time: 03:15 PM
https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/...696355840?s=21

Link in the tweet but kinda feels like he’s explaining day to day life for us
BEAL is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 10:17 AM   #211
Blue Crack Addict
 
MrsSpringsteen's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 28,170
Local Time: 11:15 AM
No surprise at all of course-NY Times reporting that the WH pressured the CDC to downplay the risks of reopening schools.
MrsSpringsteen is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 10:21 AM   #212
Blue Crack Distributor
 
Headache in a Suitcase's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: DC
Posts: 68,134
Local Time: 10:15 AM
Using betting markets isn't actually as dumb as it sounds - they employ some of the best statisticians around and they tend to want to adjust their odds to be as realistic as possible - while still making it enticing for people to bet the underdog. They're not dumb.

But the odds aren't showing what he thinks it does.

Florida is a toss up. Sure, Trump at -125 has a slight odds edge. But no better looks at -125 vs -100 with the idea that anyone's a clear favorite. If this were an NFL game that would be a pick em.

So if you toss Florida out and give every state to a candidate based on who is a clear favorite on the betting markets Biden comes out ahead 290 to 219 - rendering florida as inconsequential.

The real highlight of his insightful post was saying that arizona was going to flip red because he counted the single women aged 22 to 40 in arizona on a dating app and they had favorable numbers for conservatives.

That's a serious flex.Click image for larger version

Name:	Screenshot_20200929-100040.jpg
Views:	17
Size:	42.1 KB
ID:	12618Click image for larger version

Name:	Screenshot_20200929-100543.jpg
Views:	14
Size:	16.3 KB
ID:	12619Click image for larger version

Name:	Screenshot_20200929-100626.jpg
Views:	15
Size:	16.4 KB
ID:	12620
Headache in a Suitcase is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 10:27 AM   #213
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,224
Local Time: 03:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
This is actually a really huge deal. The polling from PA has been limited and uneven compared to WI and MI this past month or so. So we got two polls from two A+ rated live pollsters yesterday. the Sienna poll with PA +9. That was great. But if ABC came out and it was +3 or 4, we'd be in the exact same spot as we were before. Not really knowing what the hell was going on in PA.

But with both polls showing +9 (Likely voters - is the standard now that we are this close to the election) it shows something really big, not just in PA, but in the midwest in general. A little over a week ago I posted that "something was happening in the midwest." The Fox News poll had just come out with OH +5 for Biden. Along with strong polls from WI and MI from several pollsters.
The two PA +9 polls show this is not isolated. There has been a shift towards Biden overall in the midwest over the last month. This opens up a whole new world of paths for Biden. If he can hold PA, and we know that MI, WI, and MN are solid, then everything else is just an added bonus. Right now, I would say the most likely wins for Biden in order would be AZ, FL, NC, OH, IA, GA, TX.

With just the midwest/Pa combo, Biden would win 278 to 258. Throw in ME-2 and NE-2 and he'd have 280 to 256.

Give Biden just 2 of the next likely states, lets say NC and AZ and he'd have 306 to 230, a very substantial victory. If the midwest keeps trending and holding for Biden, throw in OH and it's 324 to 212. Or he misses OH, but squeaks out FL - 335 to 201.

I think the best part is that FL ads from Bloomberg start today, While Biden is doing a train tour through OH and Western PA, along with huge TV ad buys in those areas starting next week. I think it will help to ensure that the midwest/PA states at least stay steady, and hopefully we start to see a trend back a bit in FL.
womanfish is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 11:56 AM   #214
Resident Photo Buff
Forum Moderator
 
Diemen's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Somewhere in middle America
Posts: 13,663
Local Time: 09:15 AM
I'm aware :)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Irvine511 View Post
Orgo and the Incel Kids.
Is he the vegetarian?
Diemen is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 11:58 AM   #215
Blue Crack Addict
 
anitram's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: NY
Posts: 18,918
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by headache in a suitcase View Post

the real highlight of his insightful post was saying that arizona was going to flip red because he counted the single women aged 22 to 40 in arizona on a dating app and they had favorable numbers for conservatives.
wtf?
anitram is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:04 PM   #216
Blue Crack Addict
 
DaveC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: nazi punks fuck off
Posts: 21,956
Local Time: 10:15 AM
"several" dating apps, where 90% of users have their political affiliation plainly listed in their profiles, apparently.
DaveC is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:12 PM   #217
Rock n' Roll Doggie
ALL ACCESS
 
womanfish's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: moons of Zooropa
Posts: 7,224
Local Time: 03:15 PM
Why Biden is winning in midwest, NE-2 and ME-2 and why you see Trump leading by only 9 instead of 20 in places like KS.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/st...71570698022912
womanfish is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:22 PM   #218
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,460
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveC View Post
"several" dating apps, where 90% of users have their political affiliation plainly listed in their profiles, apparently.

i think we all need to see this post.

how many women in Arizona are his underage cousins?
Irvine511 is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:27 PM   #219
Blue Crack Supplier
 
Irvine511's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Washington, DC
Posts: 33,460
Local Time: 11:15 AM
Quote:
One day in 2015, Donald Trump beckoned Michael Cohen, his longtime confidant and personal attorney, into his office. Trump was brandishing a printout of an article about an Atlanta-based megachurch pastor trying to raise $60 million from his flock to buy a private jet. Trump knew the preacher personally—Creflo Dollar had been among a group of evangelical figures who visited him in 2011 while he was first exploring a presidential bid. During the meeting, Trump had reverently bowed his head in prayer while the pastors laid hands on him. Now he was gleefully reciting the impious details of Dollar’s quest for a Gulfstream G650.

Trump seemed delighted by the “scam,” Cohen recalled to me, and eager to highlight that the pastor was “full of shit.”

“They’re all hustlers,” Trump said.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...orters/616522/


he's not wrong!

this is also why he thinks, on the basis of pretty solid evidence, that most of his supporters are dumb-as-rocks. because they do things like buy private jets for their megachurch pastors.
Irvine511 is offline  
Old 09-29-2020, 12:32 PM   #220
Blue Crack Addict
 
DaveC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: nazi punks fuck off
Posts: 21,956
Local Time: 10:15 AM
jesus didn't fly commercial so why should the people doing his work?

checkmate libs.
__________________

DaveC is offline  
 

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:15 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Design, images and all things inclusive copyright © Interference.com
×