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Old 11-05-2020, 08:01 AM   #761
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Yeah, I think "counting" and "reporting" can be considered different things, i.e. you have votes that have been counted and not reported.

There's also this:


Oh that makes sense if there are indeed 50k left, then Biden will definitely win. Hell, even 30k votes.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:03 AM   #762
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That people could vote Biden/Perdue just astounds me.
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Originally Posted by LuckyNumber7 View Post
A lot of people who vote don’t know who the candidate is and pick name recognition or the name that sounds cooler. A lot of people don’t vote beyond president. I doubt the Biden/Perdue combo was very high but I wouldn’t be surprised. I also wouldn’t be surprised if Trump/Ossoff happened too. Name recognition is super important.
I also wouldn't rule out a certain percentage of republicans who voted party lines with the lone exception being the top of the ticket because they despise what Trump has done to make our government look like a clown show.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:13 AM   #763
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https://twitter.com/bluestein/status...303403521?s=21

Looks like it might really be 51k ballots left in Georgia.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:21 AM   #764
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On the other hand, there are some indications that there may be fewer votes left than expected in PA.

https://twitter.com/baseballot/statu...37757699907586
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:29 AM   #765
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270-268, unless NV flips then it's 274-264 for Trump.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:30 AM   #766
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Seems like the story this morning is a Biden victory is far from a certainty.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:34 AM   #767
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Seems like the story this morning is a Biden victory is far from a certainty.
Says who?
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:35 AM   #768
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On the other hand, there are some indications that there may be fewer votes left than expected in PA.

https://twitter.com/baseballot/statu...37757699907586

So many discrepancies between counting and reporting.

PA had 800,000 ballots left last night and they definitely didn’t report 300,000 more since then. So the number is higher than some of these people are jumping the gun on reporting this morning. Just like Georgia.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:37 AM   #769
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https://twitter.com/BrianSimsPA/stat...861547008?s=19
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:37 AM   #770
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Says who?
Just observational. People are acting like GA and PA are in the bag, which seems to be premature.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:39 AM   #771
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Just observational. People are acting like GA and PA are in the bag, which seems to be premature.
PA is in the bag. GA is very much not.

I think there's just lingering anxiety because the whole process has become protracted, but the margins have not meaningfully changed in the last 12 hours.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:40 AM   #772
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This is good because these numbers definitely haven’t been reported yet on the final totals. It’s been stuck on the same total since about 9pm ET last night.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:41 AM   #773
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Ever a reason to get rid of the fucking EC it would be these last few days.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:42 AM   #774
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More confirmation that Georgia has 50k left

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status...499486720?s=21
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:43 AM   #775
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The cured ballots must have taken hydrochloroquine
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:44 AM   #776
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Georgia secretary of state: less than 25k ballots remain...CORRECTED TO 50K AS I TYPED. FUCK YEAH.
A journalist: at least 50k
Democrats: 70k

I'm going with the secretary of state. I hope to be pleasantly surprised but I'm not expecting it.

Arizona looks bad. Nevada's too tight. I'm feeling pessimistic today, but that might be the effect of two sleepless nights.

EDIT:
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:45 AM   #777
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Georgia secretary of state: less than 25k ballots remain
A journalist: at least 50k
Democrats: 70k

I'm going with the secretary of state. I hope to be pleasantly surprised but I'm not expecting it.

Arizona looks bad. Nevada's too tight. I'm feeling pessimistic today, but that might be the effect of two sleepless nights.

The Secretary of State just said that there are 50k
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:45 AM   #778
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AP and Fox have not changed their call on AZ.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:46 AM   #779
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This is good because these numbers definitely haven’t been reported yet on the final totals. It’s been stuck on the same total since about 9pm ET last night.
Yeah people are just antsy. Allegheny and Philadelphia counties alone will bring the gap to 0 and then there's still Delaware, Buck and Montgomery counties to finish up. That 100k-200k margin that was projected yesterday morning for Biden is still very likely.
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Old 11-05-2020, 08:48 AM   #780
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Also, I read that the next couple of batches of Arizona will be less trampolining than the first couple that came in. I think that’s why no one has pulled their projection and why the Biden camp still feels really good about it.
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