womanfish
Rock n' Roll Doggie ALL ACCESS
With 14 States voting 3 days after South Carolina, I don't think South Carolina matters that much, unless Biden losses or only wins by a couple of points
even so how does that change what people are going to do three days later? are people in California the biggest state which is going for Sanders, going to jump to Biden if it wins by 10 points in South Carolina, I don't think so
Here's just a hypothetical.
Joe shocks everyone and wins by 10 points in SC.
This validates his narrative that IA and NH are so misrepresentitive, and NV and SC show the real Dem electorate.
This win pushes Amy and Warren out before Super Tuesday. Pete, drops immediately after.
This doesn't shift 10 points in California. But right now, Bernie could get ALL the delegates from California. Like 420 or something. If Joe gets boosts of about 5 points or so in TX, CA, NC, VA, and other Super Tuesday states, it actually could put him in first place in some of those, and at the very least get 2nd/3rd and get delegates. Instead of not getting to 15% in CA and Bernie gets them all. Game over...
I also think after last nights debate, where Bloomberg was still sorta weak. If Joe wins big in SC, people who went to Bloomberg because they thought Biden was out of this, may move back to him.
Lots of wild cards here.