This scares me too, but at some point people have to take a stand. Warren's policies would do more for the minority communities than another GOP term.
Wouldn't you want to get a white supremacist out of the government over having your #1 pick win the primary and challenge?
I think Bernie is shady as fuck, even with agreeing with his overall message. But if he's on the ticket in 2020, there's not an ounce of hesitation. He's my President.
I'll worry about whatever after he's in office, but I know there's no possible way things could be worse than they're going now
I think there is something to be said about the overall enthusiasm of Democrats to remove Trump. But even while Hillary had huge approval with African Americans, the turn out from them in the end was well below expectation, and was one of the main reason that WI, MI and PA flipped. Milwaukee, Detroit and Philly just didn't perform like was expected.
I know that I personally want a white supremacist out of office, along with hundreds of other reasons. But I'm a middle aged white guy and can't honestly put my motivations onto what many black voters motivations are. If there isn't a connection, a reason, a purpose for someone to vote, then turnout may suffer again.
There is a possibility that Warren adds a couple percent support every month for the next year and half, and she ends up with decent backing. But its perilous for sure.
And i know that we are all talking here like Warren will be the nominee, since she has performed so well lately. But Biden is still sitting at the top in the average of polls. If he wins either NH or Iowa or even comes very close, then follows with a win in NV and a huge win in SC, this race could very well be his.
Taking a look at the Primary/caucus calendar really gives me a whole different outlook, and to me looks like Biden could almost run the table if he can do well enough in the first 4.
look at the lineup:
February 3: Iowa caucuses - Probably Warren
February 11: New Hampshire primary - Probably Warren
February 22: Nevada caucuses - Probably Biden
February 29: South Carolina primary - Biden
March 3: Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia primaries); American Samoa caucuses; Democrats Abroad party-run primary for expatriates features a March 3–10 voting period.
* I think Biden could win 11 of these 15 states
March 10: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington primaries; North Dakota firehouse caucuses (identical to a party-run primary).
Biden probably picking up 4 out of 6
March 17: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio primaries - Right now I would
say all 3 Biden
March 24: Georgia primary[318] -Biden
March 29: Puerto Rico primary[319] - Biden
April 4: Alaska, Hawaii, and Louisiana primaries; Wyoming caucuses - Biden
April 7: Wisconsin primary - probably Biden
April 28: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island primaries -
probably a split between Warren and Biden
May 2: Kansas primary; Guam caucuses - Biden
May 5: Indiana primary - Biden
May 12: Nebraska and West Virginia primaries - Biden
May 19: Kentucky and Oregon primaries - guessing split
June 2: Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota -
probably 3 for Biden
June 6: United States Virgin Islands caucuses - Biden
June 16: District of Columbia primary - Biden