Irvine511
Blue Crack Supplier
Isn't Jesus supposed to come back this weekend too?
get ready to Rapture!
Isn't Jesus supposed to come back this weekend too?
“Mind the gap between rhetoric and reality”
by Roger Cavazos
[...]
If the North Korean Peoples Army (KPA) were to start a doctrinal, conventional artillery barrage focused on South Korean forces, we could expect to see around three thousand casualties in the first few minutes, but the casualty rate would quickly drop as the surprise wears off and counter-battery fires slow down the North Korean rates of fire. If the KPA were to engage Seoul in a primarily counter-value fashion by firing into Seoul instead of primarily aiming at military targets, there would likely be around thirty-thousand casualties in a short amount of time. Statistically speaking, almost eight-hundred of those casualties would be foreigners given Seoul’s international demographic. Chinese make up almost seventy percent of foreigners in Seoul and its northern environs which means KPA might also kill six-hundred Chinese diplomats, multi-national corporation leaders, and ranking cadre children who are students in Seoul. Horrible, but nothing approaching “millions”. Three primary factors and three secondary factors account for the huge discrepancy between rhetoric and reality:
Three Primary Factors
Range – Only about 1/3 of Seoul is presently in range from artillery along a DMZ trace. The northern reaches of Seoul within artillery range have much lower population densities than Seoul proper;
Numbers – Even though KPA has a tremendous number of artillery pieces, only a certain number are emplaced to range Seoul. KPA can’t emplace every weapon near Seoul or the rest of North Korea’s expansive border would be unguarded and even more vulnerable. Moreover, an artillery tube immediately reveals its location as soon as it fires. Therefore only about two-thirds of artillery will open fire at a time. The rest are trying to remain hidden;
Protection – Artillery shelters for twenty million people exist in the greater Seoul metropolitan area. After the initial surprise has worn off, there simply won’t be large numbers of exposed people. Even during the initial attack the vast majority of people will either be at work, at home, or in transit. Few people will be standing in the middle of an open field with no protection whatsoever available anywhere nearby.
Three Secondary Factors
Dud rate – the only numbers available—to the DPRK as well as the rest of the world—indicate a dud rate of twenty-five percent. It’s like immediately taking every fourth artillery tube away.
Counter-battery fires – shortly after the KPA artillery begins firing, and the political decision has been made, South Korean artillery, Air Forces, and others will begin destroying artillery at a historical rate of 1% per hour. South Korea has had approximately 50 years to figure out where North Korean artillery tubes are emplaced using every sense available to man and machine.
Logistics – in order to move south from the DMZ trace and place the rest of Seoul at risk, KPA must expose approximately 2,500 thin-skinned vehicles each day along three well-defined transportation corridors. Otherwise, KPA grinds to an almost immediate halt without a way to transport fuel, ammunition and spare parts needed to continue moving south. Alternatively, KPA can scavenge from ROK fuel stores and depots if they have not been previously destroyed.
It never ceases to amaze me that there seems to be a past Trump tweet that is completely contradictory to all of his current positions. And the best part is that he never deletes these tweets!
"intercept" means they just flew towards the other aircraft to get them to alter course so they don't breach sovereign airspace. the canadian air force intercepts russian aircraft all the time. it's quite common and frequently done for pilot training on both sides. obviously russia isn't sending aircraft to attack japan or anyone else in that region.
this kind of anxious panic probably isn't too healthy for you, man.
Many really need to tone down their anxious panic over every tiny thing Russia does - on this board and elsewhere.
Also, hearing about "Holocaust Centers" for gays in Chechnya.
Chechnya Opens 'Concentration Camps For Gay Men'
As you stated (and I quoted) to go into one of the most conservative regions in the USA, and make a dent, is still progress right? If hings continue the way they are on a national and state level, that 6.8% can easily be made up in the next year and a half if the Dems run a good campaign. That is a huge question mark.
.
It goes back to the Howard Dean strategy (how funny is it that a scream killed his campaign given Trump's behaviour?) of competing in all 50 states. No you are not going to win Kansas outright, and you may not for decades, but you have to make inroads by engaging local people, the grassroots party, encouraging people to run in districts knowing full well that they have no shot but maybe they erode the difference by a couple of % points each time. The Republicans would have laughed at Texas being within Democratic reach, but here we are and it's very possible that Texas will go red-purple-blue within the next 10-12 years. Yes, that is largely demographics BUT if the Democrats weren't willing to invest time and money in building up districts that are going to be competitive in 3-4 election cycles, they probably wouldn't be.
I get the sense from some people on the left that they are positively giddy anytime the Democratic party doesn't achieve some goal that they've set. Look, personally I find this party way too far to the right, they are the equivalent of the Canadian conservatives so I am not a voter who would be drawn that way, though may approve of some fiscal policies. But there is also such a thing as reality and the reality is that you don't go left in fucking Wichita 5 months after it goes +27 Trump. WTF honestly.
Grumblings that Giuliani and the NYC FBI office colluded to help convince Comey that there was more to the Weiner laptop thing than there actually was, which led to the letter and whatnot.
Grumblings also that Comey is not overly happy over this discovery.
Could all be bullshit, alas...
Oh, JeeezHappy last Friday, folks.
Oh, noooooooo!I picked a fun weekend to spend on Capitol Hill!
Isn't Jesus supposed to come back this weekend too?
When you give Nazi salutes you gotta get slammed.
It's certainly tempting, fucking neo-nazis!
I realize stuff's overblown in media and my rational brain is telling me there's no real need for major fear, and yet ... AND YET. Last night I had a dream I was in London (who knows why? it's weird in my head) and I saw a nuclear bomb explode.
So that was fun. Thanks, brain.