poll nuttiness

verte76 · 07-20-2004, 03:57 PM

I know of two polls in Tennessee. Rasmussen has Bush ahead (49%-41%) eight points. But Zogby has them *tied* in a list of swing states. He doesn't give numbers of any of the seventeen states on the list. This is strange. Is someone lying to me?

FizzingWhizzbees · 07-20-2004, 05:41 PM

Nevermind.

Note to self: adjust sarcasm meter.

verte76 · 07-20-2004, 05:51 PM

The lying stuff is what you can call a "rhetorical joke". I don't think anyone is deliberately lying to me. I was trying to be funny. I guess it's so funny people are forgetting to laugh.

Incidentally, the Rasmullen poll has a 5% margin of error. I don't know the Zogby's MOE. You could say the polls were done on the same day, because Rasmullen's is a tracking poll and the Zogby's poll was done over a few days last week. This is what makes them really strange to me.

FizzingWhizzbees · 07-20-2004, 06:03 PM

Oh well you can disregard my post then.

verte76 · 07-21-2004, 09:40 AM

After I posted the note, I remembered a conversation I had with someone from Tennessee. We were discussing the 2000 election, something we usually don't do in the group (we generally avoid modern topics as that's not good for the ambience, to say the least). Someone was curious about why Gore lost his home state. She told us that Tennessee is a notoriously fickle state and politically it had changed from the days of Gore's election to the Senate. My hunch is that the real numbers there are a tie as it was really close in 2000. I can't prove this, of course, I can only guess.

07-20-2004, 03:57 PM	#1
verte76 Blue Crack Addict Join Date: May 2002 Location: hoping for changes Posts: 23,331 Local Time: 12:35 PM	poll nuttiness I know of two polls in Tennessee. Rasmussen has Bush ahead (49%-41%) eight points. But Zogby has them tied in a list of swing states. He doesn't give numbers of any of the seventeen states on the list. This is strange. Is someone lying to me? __________________

07-20-2004, 05:41 PM	#2
FizzingWhizzbees ONE love, blood, life Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: the choirgirl hotel Posts: 12,614 Local Time: 12:35 PM	Nevermind. Note to self: adjust sarcasm meter. __________________

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07-20-2004, 05:51 PM	#3
verte76 Blue Crack Addict Join Date: May 2002 Location: hoping for changes Posts: 23,331 Local Time: 12:35 PM	The lying stuff is what you can call a "rhetorical joke". I don't think anyone is deliberately lying to me. I was trying to be funny. I guess it's so funny people are forgetting to laugh. Incidentally, the Rasmullen poll has a 5% margin of error. I don't know the Zogby's MOE. You could say the polls were done on the same day, because Rasmullen's is a tracking poll and the Zogby's poll was done over a few days last week. This is what makes them really strange to me.

07-20-2004, 06:03 PM	#4
FizzingWhizzbees ONE love, blood, life Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: the choirgirl hotel Posts: 12,614 Local Time: 12:35 PM	Oh well you can disregard my post then.

07-21-2004, 09:40 AM	#5
verte76 Blue Crack Addict Join Date: May 2002 Location: hoping for changes Posts: 23,331 Local Time: 12:35 PM	After I posted the note, I remembered a conversation I had with someone from Tennessee. We were discussing the 2000 election, something we usually don't do in the group (we generally avoid modern topics as that's not good for the ambience, to say the least). Someone was curious about why Gore lost his home state. She told us that Tennessee is a notoriously fickle state and politically it had changed from the days of Gore's election to the Senate. My hunch is that the real numbers there are a tie as it was really close in 2000. I can't prove this, of course, I can only guess.