Ohio predictions

[phillyfan26]

Originally posted by U2isthebest
I'm just wondering what the situations in Michigan and Florida's primary voting have to do with the general election since they aren't even counting towards the nomination at this point.

If you favor Obama, you're going to make the Democrats lose.

I'm guessing that's his point.

[U2isthebest]

Originally posted by LarryMullen's_POPAngel


You could have voted "undecided", like many other Democrats or Independents. That's what I did, despite knowing that it was a futile effort and Hillary would come out the winner.

I would like Michigan to hold another primary but, at this point, I'm not holding my breath. We (stupidly) broke rules.

That's true, but my thinking at the time was that Hillary would win as you said, and that the votes wouldn't mean anything come nomination time.

[U2isthebest]

Originally posted by phillyfan26


If you favor Obama, you're going to make the Democrats lose.

I'm guessing that's his point.

Can't say I agree, since Hillary unites the GOP like none other, but whatever.

[Dreadsox]

Originally posted by phillyfan26


PA will go Democratic. That I can assure you.

Time will tell!!!!!

[deep]

Originally posted by LarryMullen's_POPAngel
You could have voted "undecided", like many other Democrats or Independents. That's what I did

there was a huge effort to do this

many believed that "undecided" would come in ahead of Hillary

thus giving her a severe set back.

[phillyfan26]

Originally posted by Dreadsox
Time will tell!!!!!

Certainly, some major happening could swing PA, since it is still a "purple" state, but barring any huge surprises, I'm calling PA for the Democractic candidate in November.

[LarryMullen's POPAngel]

Originally posted by deep


there was a huge effort to do this

many believed that "undecided" would come in ahead of Hillary

thus giving her a severe set back.

Yeah - look how wonderfully that turned out.

Stupid Michigan.

[EdgeIsTooSexy]

Originally posted by phillyfan26


PA will go Democratic. That I can assure you.

we will....



unfortunately

[phillyfan26]

Originally posted by EdgeIsTooSexy
we will....



unfortunately

I agree with one of those two statements.

[Strongbow]

Originally posted by phillyfan26


PA will go Democratic. That I can assure you.

No one should take Pennsylvania for granted. It has been a battleground state the past two elections and was only won by Kerry by 2 percentage points in 2004. It is indeed in play, and McCain may be able to devote more time and money there than past Republicans have if his current 15 point lead in Florida is maintained.

Wisconsin and Oregon are other Blue states that are vulnerable based on the latest polling.

[EdgeIsTooSexy]

Originally posted by phillyfan26


I agree with one of those two statements.

you cant vote!



haha sorry i couldnt think of anything good to say back.

[deep]

Originally posted by LarryMullen's_POPAngel


Yeah - look how wonderfully that turned out.

Stupid Michigan.

if people could set aside their Obama bias

they would have to accept that the voters in both Mich and Florida chose Hillary


just like the voters in South Carolina and Vermont chose Obama

[phillyfan26]

Was Obama on the ballot in those states, deep?

Did Obama campaign in those states, deep?

[Strongbow]

Latest poll in Massachusetts by Survey USA has Obama only up by 2 percent over McCain, 48% to 46%. But if Hillary is the nominee, she beats McCain by 9 points, 52% to 43%. I highly doubt that McCain could win the most heavily Democratic state in the country, but the polling is at least suggestive that McCain has strong pull in Blue states that past Republican candidates have not had.

[phanan]

Originally posted by phillyfan26
Was Obama on the ballot in those states, deep?

Did Obama campaign in those states, deep?

Clinton didn't campaign there either, though.

I have to agree with deep that Clinton might actually be stronger in the three traditional battleground states that usually decide elections - Florida, Ohio, and PA. However, others have a point that Obama might be able to break through in states traditionally won by Republicans. The question is, which states would those be, and how many electoral votes would they have compared to OH, FL, and PA?

[phillyfan26]

Originally posted by EdgeIsTooSexy
you cant vote!



haha sorry i couldnt think of anything good to say back.

Well, that wasn't bad. It does hit where it hurts.

[deep]

Originally posted by phillyfan26
Was Obama on the ballot in those states, deep?

Did Obama campaign in those states, deep?

Florida - yes !


Florida - yes !

he ran a T V ad in Florida that was against the rules

so when the people of Florida (perhaps the most important swing state) voted
Obama was not at any disadvantage.

[U2isthebest]

Originally posted by phillyfan26
Was Obama on the ballot in those states, deep?

Did Obama campaign in those states, deep?

Exactly. As much as I desperately hope Obama is the Democratic nominee, if the situation was reversed and he had been on the ballot here and in Florida, I would still say the votes should not not count. Regardless of who the candidate in question is, it's not fair to them or to the voters

[yolland]

Erm, you guys do realize that all the candidates WERE on the ballot in Florida, right?

[Diemen]

Originally posted by deep


if people could set aside their Obama bias

they would have to accept that the voters in both Mich and Florida chose Hillary


just like the voters in South Carolina and Vermont chose Obama

Your obsession with pointing out this "bias" is quite unflattering.