DrTeeth
Rock n' Roll Doggie Band-aid
A scientist has calculated that there is a 67% chance that God exists
This is a great example of how easily the Bayes theory can be "abused" by introducing arbitrary assumptions. Granted, no Bayes statistics without arbitrary assumptions but come on, the guy starts of with a 50% change God exists and goes on from there. I'm glad this guy doesn't work as a risk assessor at my workplace.
Anyway, I was happy to read that apparently all this is meant to spark a debate about which events or concepts can be attributed to a supernatural being, but I wonder how many people are just going to copy the 67%.
Dr Stephen Unwin has used a 200-year-old formula to calculate the probability of the existence of an omnipotent being. Bayes' Theory is usually used to work out the likelihood of events, such as nuclear power failure, by balancing the various factors that could affect a situation
The Manchester University graduate, who now works as a risk assessor in Ohio, said the theory starts from the assumption that God has a 50/50 chance of existing, and then factors in the evidence both for and against the notion of a higher being.
This is a great example of how easily the Bayes theory can be "abused" by introducing arbitrary assumptions. Granted, no Bayes statistics without arbitrary assumptions but come on, the guy starts of with a 50% change God exists and goes on from there. I'm glad this guy doesn't work as a risk assessor at my workplace.
Anyway, I was happy to read that apparently all this is meant to spark a debate about which events or concepts can be attributed to a supernatural being, but I wonder how many people are just going to copy the 67%.