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#1 |
Blue Crack Addict
Join Date: Apr 2002
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Michigan Primary predictions
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#2 | |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
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Re: Michigan Primary predictions
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#3 |
Refugee
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Ron Paul
Barack Obama |
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#4 | |
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#5 | |
Blue Crack Addict
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#6 | |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
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#7 | |
Refugee
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#8 | |
Refugee
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#9 | |
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#10 | |
Vocal parasite
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#11 |
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Michigan is one of several states being punished by both national parties, but (in their case) more harshly so by the Dems, for having unilaterally bumped up their primary dates against the national parties' wishes. MI's GOP has been stripped of half its delegates to the nominating convention, and the Democrats of all of theirs (though some doubt the national parties will follow through with those threats). The national Democratic party also pressured their candidates to withdraw from MI's ballot and not campaign there, though Kucinich, Gravel and to a lesser extent Clinton (who stayed on the ballot but hasn't campaigned) have not complied. Essentially, this was a rebellion on the states' part against the entrenched lockhold of Iowa and New Hampshire on setting the tenor for the primary race every time.
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#12 | |
ONE
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#13 |
Rock n' Roll Doggie
Band-aid Join Date: Feb 2004
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I'll wait until I see some current polls before I make a prediction, but I assume it's basically a McCain/Romney fight.
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#14 | |
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#15 |
Blue Crack Addict
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Some states almost always go the same direction. Michigan is a "swing" state (typically quite close, can go GOP or Dem). Iowa and NH are also swing states. It probably also has to do with the Electoral College and what's at stake depending on which states you will automatically win and which swing states you can pick up.
Like melon, I plan to vote. |
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#16 |
Blue Crack Distributor
Join Date: Mar 2005
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So if Obama and other candidates aren't officially on the ballot, can they be written in? How will that work? Or will Hillary automatically win for the Dems because she is on the ballot?
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#17 |
ONE
love, blood, life Join Date: Sep 2004
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The thing is, the DNC is punishing Michigan for the unsanctioned date by not seating any of their delegates at the convention, so Michigan has no effect on the Democratic race, even if Hillary recieves 100% of the vote.
At least that's my understanding of it. |
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#18 |
Blue Crack Distributor
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I hate to sound stupid, but here goes. Does anyone have a list of dates of when the rest of the country votes? I believe Calif (my state) is 2/5
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#19 | |
Refugee
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Huckabee 23% Romney 22% McCain 18% Giuliani 8% Thompson 4% Paul 3% McCain's victory in New Hampshire should bump him up into the lead, although it will probably be a smaller margin than it was in New Hampshire. 2nd plus for McCain is the fact that the Democrats are not having their primary so independents will be free to flock to McCain given that Obama won't be around. Huckabee will fade a bit but I'm sure Romney will fight hard here and some are already calling this Romney's last stand. |
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#20 | |||
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