Michigan Primary predictions - Page 3

LarryMullen's POPAngel · 01-15-2008, 08:02 AM

Yay for going out in the snow and voting Uncommitted.

2861U2 · 01-15-2008, 10:03 AM

It's going to be close. It looks like Romney's got a bit of a lead, but the independents might change that.

ETA: Actually, I just looked at the weather in Michigan, and I can't imagine many independent voters going out in this weather to vote for someone they aren't 100% behind.

Liesje · 01-15-2008, 10:21 AM

That snow? That's nothing, lol. I think we will vote yet tonight. We moved so I don't know where we vote now, I will have to find my new registration card.

LarryMullen's POPAngel · 01-15-2008, 11:08 AM

A little bit of bad weather never hurt anyone. Especially if you live in MI.

I just hope that this discourages the older population to come out to vote. :crossesfingers:

Pearl · 01-15-2008, 11:16 AM

I really don't want to see John McCain win. Anyone but him. He comes across as very arrogant to me. Plus, he's a boring speaker.

No spoken words · 01-15-2008, 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Pearl
Plus, he's a boring speaker.

I was born in the wrong century.

LarryMullen's POPAngel · 01-15-2008, 11:22 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Pearl
I really don't want to see John McCain win. Anyone but him. He comes across as very arrogant to me. Plus, he's a boring speaker.

You forgot old as the freaking hills.

deep · 01-15-2008, 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Pearl
I really don't want to see John McCain win.

Neither does the Republican Establishment
they hate him - and I think would rather have a Dem in the Whitehouse

They feel the same way about Huckabee

The GOP establishment - big money, is going for Rudy or Mitt

that is right, they would rather have Mitt than McCain.

2861U2 · 01-15-2008, 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by deep

Neither does the Republican Establishment
they hate him - and I think would rather have a Dem in the Whitehouse

They feel about the same way about Huck

The GOP establishment - big money is going for Rudy or Mitt

that is right, they would rather have Mitt than McCain.

I'd say you're right, and that drives me insane. I am absolute convinced that unless we nominate McCain, we're going down in November. The base may like Mitt or Fred or whoever else they see as being more conservative than McCain, and that's fine, but they won't win, especially against Obama. Everyday on Rush I hear callers- lifelong Republicans- who say they won't vote for McCain if he's the nominee.

Are we trying to lose?

LarryMullen's POPAngel · 01-15-2008, 01:27 PM

Goooooooo Mitt!

oceane · 01-15-2008, 02:24 PM

What do you guys think of this?

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/2713/872

nathan1977 · 01-15-2008, 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by oceane
What do you guys think of this?

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/2713/872

The link says, "Sorry, I can't seem to find that story."

phillyfan26 · 01-15-2008, 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by nathan1977

The link says, "Sorry, I can't seem to find that story."

Yeah, but what do you think about it? That was the question.

I think it's a damn shame. But I have faith. He'll find that story. He's dedicated. Just believe.

Strongbow · 01-15-2008, 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by LarryMullen's_POPAngel

You forgot old as the freaking hills.

Age is a number. John McCain is younger than many people half his age. The same could be said of his Mother who indeed has more energy than half of the nominees running.

oceane · 01-15-2008, 03:15 PM

Sorry, that should work better, there was a number missing at the end

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/2713/87225

It's about Democrats being encouraged to vote for Romney in Michigan. In a way I think it's a wicked idea, but at the same time could be risky...

(I want the Dems to win the election, in case that wasn't clear)

deep · 01-15-2008, 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by nathan1977

The link says, "Sorry, I can't seem to find that story."

Most likely the lead story on Kos

Obama is scary.

http://www.dailykos.com/

Strongbow · 01-15-2008, 03:24 PM

It appears that McCain may have dropped well behind Romney in the polls as the Mitchell Research has Romney on top by 6 points now. But I guess it was to be expected when your able to outspend your oponent by more than 10 to 1. The Weather is another factor that could keep independents and democrats at home. If McCain is unable to beat Romney here, the race becomes a lot more muddled. A McCain victory here would set him up for a win in South Carolina on Saturday which would essentially set him up to win the nomination.

Either way, it will be interesting to see how this race impacts South Carolina where a new poll by Rasmussen has McCain out on top by 9 points!

**Diemen** · 01-15-2008, 03:29 PM

Keep in mind though that the polls had Obama ahead by double digits in NH, so I don't know how much stock we can put in the poll numbers anymore.

Strongbow · 01-15-2008, 03:44 PM

Well, Mitchell Research has predicted the Michigan primary accurately since 1992 so they do have a good track record. But hopefully this time they will get it wrong.

Infinity · 01-15-2008, 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by deep

Neither does the Republican Establishment
they hate him - and I think would rather have a Dem in the Whitehouse

They feel the same way about Huckabee

The GOP establishment - big money, is going for Rudy or Mitt

that is right, they would rather have Mitt than McCain.

Why are they going for Rudy? Isn't he even not considered conservative enough?

01-15-2008, 08:02 AM	#41
LarryMullen's POPAngel Blue Crack Distributor Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: I'll be up with the sun, I'm not coming down... Posts: 53,698 Local Time: 04:38 AM	Yay for going out in the snow and voting Uncommitted. __________________

01-15-2008, 10:03 AM	#42
2861U2 Rock n' Roll Doggie Band-aid Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: watching the Cubs Posts: 4,268 Local Time: 04:38 AM	It's going to be close. It looks like Romney's got a bit of a lead, but the independents might change that. ETA: Actually, I just looked at the weather in Michigan, and I can't imagine many independent voters going out in this weather to vote for someone they aren't 100% behind. __________________

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01-15-2008, 10:21 AM	#43
Liesje Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: In the dog house Posts: 19,563 Local Time: 05:38 AM	That snow? That's nothing, lol. I think we will vote yet tonight. We moved so I don't know where we vote now, I will have to find my new registration card.

01-15-2008, 11:08 AM	#44
LarryMullen's POPAngel Blue Crack Distributor Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: I'll be up with the sun, I'm not coming down... Posts: 53,698 Local Time: 04:38 AM	A little bit of bad weather never hurt anyone. Especially if you live in MI. I just hope that this discourages the older population to come out to vote. :crossesfingers:

01-15-2008, 11:16 AM	#45
Pearl Rock n' Roll Doggie VIP PASS Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: NYC Posts: 5,741 Local Time: 05:38 AM	I really don't want to see John McCain win. Anyone but him. He comes across as very arrogant to me. Plus, he's a boring speaker.

01-15-2008, 01:27 PM	#50
LarryMullen's POPAngel Blue Crack Distributor Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: I'll be up with the sun, I'm not coming down... Posts: 53,698 Local Time: 04:38 AM	Goooooooo Mitt!

01-15-2008, 02:24 PM	#51
oceane Refugee Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: London, UK Posts: 1,302 Local Time: 08:38 AM	What do you guys think of this? http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/2713/872

01-15-2008, 03:15 PM	#55
oceane Refugee Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: London, UK Posts: 1,302 Local Time: 08:38 AM	Sorry, that should work better, there was a number missing at the end http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/2713/87225 It's about Democrats being encouraged to vote for Romney in Michigan. In a way I think it's a wicked idea, but at the same time could be risky... (I want the Dems to win the election, in case that wasn't clear)

01-15-2008, 03:24 PM	#57
Strongbow Refugee Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,943 Local Time: 09:38 AM	It appears that McCain may have dropped well behind Romney in the polls as the Mitchell Research has Romney on top by 6 points now. But I guess it was to be expected when your able to outspend your oponent by more than 10 to 1. The Weather is another factor that could keep independents and democrats at home. If McCain is unable to beat Romney here, the race becomes a lot more muddled. A McCain victory here would set him up for a win in South Carolina on Saturday which would essentially set him up to win the nomination. Either way, it will be interesting to see how this race impacts South Carolina where a new poll by Rasmussen has McCain out on top by 9 points!

01-15-2008, 03:29 PM	#58
Diemen Resident Photo Buff Forum Moderator Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Somewhere in middle America Posts: 13,670 Local Time: 04:38 AM	Keep in mind though that the polls had Obama ahead by double digits in NH, so I don't know how much stock we can put in the poll numbers anymore.

01-15-2008, 03:44 PM	#59
Strongbow Refugee Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,943 Local Time: 09:38 AM	Well, Mitchell Research has predicted the Michigan primary accurately since 1992 so they do have a good track record. But hopefully this time they will get it wrong.