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Old 03-03-2016, 10:57 AM   #101
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The RCP polls are mainly at the national level, whereas private polling can be far more granular - e.g. down to the precinct level, and issues by precinct. National level obviously ignores the electoral college. Someone is paying them big bucks, so their data must be more valuable than the free polls.

Right, and this is back to my original point: those polls that are down to the precinct level... they don't exist if there's no ground game. Nobody has insight about "granular" (I like that term) numbers in, say, California with respects to the general election. Why? Because those numbers are currently meaningless. The highest level of visibility would be California's primary, on a regional scale.

There's nothing they know about Trump's chances that we don't. Given the random nature of his campaign, that shakes things up even more because they can't really work with predictive, historical information.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:04 AM   #102
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sounds like it's time to play fuck/kill/marry with Trump/Cruz/Rubio.
Kill, kill, kill?
Is that within the rules?
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:05 AM   #103
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Attachment 10622
This is a totally normal way to take a pic with your daughter....
Looks like a promo shot for a reboot of Fantasy Island.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:05 AM   #104
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Mittens went in on Trump.

Honestly Romney looks like Lincoln compared to the current crop of Republican candidates.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:14 AM   #105
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Kill, kill, kill?
Is that within the rules?


nope. gotta fuck someone. even if that means looking up and seeing Ted Cruz's face, a drop of sweat running down his forehead, him telling you how big his caucus is.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:15 AM   #106
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I may have to stop calling him Mittens, because damn. That was savage and I liked it. It looks like he's angling to swoop in for a brokered convention.

Also, looks like Faux News is now supporting Trump. The media disgusts me.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:17 AM   #107
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nope. gotta fuck someone. even if that means looking up and seeing Ted Cruz's face, a drop of sweat running down his forehead, him telling you how big his caucus is.
Kill Trump, fuck Cruz, marry Rubio.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:18 AM   #108
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nope. gotta fuck someone. even if that means looking up and seeing Ted Cruz's face, a drop of sweat running down his forehead, him telling you how big his caucus is.
That's going to give me nightmares.

In that scenario I choose to kill myself.
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Old 03-03-2016, 11:43 AM   #109
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nope. gotta fuck someone. even if that means looking up and seeing Ted Cruz's face, a drop of sweat running down his forehead, him telling you how big his caucus is.
Lets face it, Cruz would be kill in any and all scenarios.
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Old 03-03-2016, 12:08 PM   #110
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Lets face it, Cruz would be kill in any and all scenarios.


same.
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Old 03-03-2016, 12:17 PM   #111
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I'm happy that Mittens is attacking Trump, but it highlights a bit to me just how phony Mittens's 2012 campaign was. Trump is right, in a sense: Romney was praising Trump in 2012 for an endorsement.

I suppose I choose to believe that Mittens is a decent man in his natural state, and a relatively moderate Republican. Like McCain, he sold out to win the GOP nomination. Maybe this is a bit of redemption.


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Old 03-03-2016, 12:21 PM   #112
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while the younger generations are too busy with their pot and bisexual orgies to be bothered.

20 year old here, can confirm.


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Old 03-03-2016, 12:27 PM   #113
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That Romney thing isn't going to work.
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Old 03-03-2016, 12:36 PM   #114
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That Romney thing isn't going to work.

Not only is it not going to work... it's fuel. Donald Trump is loving the fact that someone so notable is talking about him. It's free campaign advertisement.
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Old 03-03-2016, 12:50 PM   #115
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I think our only hope at this point is the Dems not voting in the Primaries come out to vote in the General and that moderate Republicans and independents either vote Democrat or stay home. The GOP "leadership" has lost control of their party and they only have themselves to blame.

I'm not nearly as excited for Hillary as a candidate as I was for Obama in '08, but if Trump is the nominee, I will be volunteering. A Trump presidency would be a disaster.
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Old 03-03-2016, 01:18 PM   #116
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Trump's biggest challenge with the republicans is getting conservatives to vote for him, not moderates. He does very well with moderates.


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Old 03-03-2016, 01:19 PM   #117
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At this point my motto is, Anyone but Cruz
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Old 03-03-2016, 01:28 PM   #118
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Trump just made a blowjob joke at Romney's expense. This is where our political discourse is at.
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Old 03-03-2016, 01:36 PM   #119
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Republicans really don't have a choice but to go with my strategic plan...and they surely won't, even if prominent people mention it. If you just let Trump win Ohio and Florida by a single vote, this thing is over immediately. The only path forward for Cruz, Rubio and Kasich is to stop Trump in his tracks and that would require ensuring that Rubio wins Florida and Kasich wins Ohio.

I mean, hell, at the very least, Kasich and Cruz should be going nowhere near Florida until after March 15th and the same for Cruz and Rubio in Ohio. Take down all your ads, don't lobby for endorsements in those states, etc.
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Old 03-03-2016, 01:39 PM   #120
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2016 US Presidential Election Thread Part VI

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobsaget77 View Post
Trump's biggest challenge with the republicans is getting conservatives to vote for him, not moderates. He does very well with moderates.


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This is what one would think given his stances, but he's done a good job fooling the far right. Everything the Tea Party was apparently railing against for the past 8 years. Everything they've tried to pin on Obama, Donald actually is. But he hates the right people, he's white, and he placed an R behind his name, so all their "principles" are thrown out the window.


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