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Old 09-01-2015, 08:15 PM   #821
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I still don't think Trump is going to be the GOP nominee.

I still think HRC is going to be the Dem nominee.

I think the GOP nominee will be Bush or Rubio. The VP will be either Kasich or Fiorina. The first is the Biden pick, the second is the Palin pick. Though Fiorina is much smarter than Palin, she still has absolutely no actual qualifications (she's not even a half-term governor).

The Clinton VP will be dependent upon how well Sanders does. If he does well and seems to have galvanized the left base of the party and they're attached to him, expect a Warren-type nominee (but won't be Warren, still don't think we'll see two women on the ticket). If HRC feels credible to the left base, and she can electorally afford to take them for granted, and if the GOP opposition also feels credible, expect a strategic, safe pick from a swing state.

I put a third party run by Trump at 50% chance.
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Old 09-01-2015, 08:27 PM   #822
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Possibilities: Cory Booker, Tim Kaine, Tom Vilsack.

Booker is the sexy rock star. The other two reliable Clintonistas from the South and Midwest. Will depend on the GOP ticket.
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Old 09-01-2015, 08:30 PM   #823
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For one we don't set fire to houses where illegal immigrants live. We don't organize mobs to beat them up. It is far more extreme.

I didn't get that far, so how common is that?

Is it more common that the homeless beating, truck attacks, and the overall increase of reported hate crimes on Hispanics in the U.S. by 3 times in 2014?


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Old 09-01-2015, 08:44 PM   #824
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I still don't think Trump is going to be the GOP nominee.

I still think HRC is going to be the Dem nominee.

I think the GOP nominee will be Bush or Rubio. The VP will be either Kasich or Fiorina. The first is the Biden pick, the second is the Palin pick. Though Fiorina is much smarter than Palin, she still has absolutely no actual qualifications (she's not even a half-term governor).

The Clinton VP will be dependent upon how well Sanders does. If he does well and seems to have galvanized the left base of the party and they're attached to him, expect a Warren-type nominee (but won't be Warren, still don't think we'll see two women on the ticket). If HRC feels credible to the left base, and she can electorally afford to take them for granted, and if the GOP opposition also feels credible, expect a strategic, safe pick from a swing state.

I put a third party run by Trump at 50% chance.
this is all conventional wisdom, that I typically would not disagree with.
No disagreement on the Dem side. But if Trump comes through this next debate at the Reagan Library still ahead in the polls, and in the early primary states polls, I say he has a 50+ % chance of getting the nom. People are asking the big question, is he a presidential type? But, keep in mind the GOP has had dozens of statewide elections the last couple of cycles where they elected a fringe outsider over an establishment type. One becomes the nominee by winning state wide primaries.
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Old 09-01-2015, 08:54 PM   #825
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Bold Prediction: Rubio wins the Republican nomination.
Trump has to deal with some kind of sexual assault type allegations that will plague his campaign.
Chris Christie eats at least 4 of the other Republican candidates.

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Rubio's ears are way too big for a young guy, that's freakish. He could get the nomination though because he is very sharp, however, he doesn't accurately reflect the anger among republicans the way TRUMP! does.

Christie may eat Graham, Paul, Jindal, and Huckabee. And have Ass Juice for desert.
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Old 09-01-2015, 08:56 PM   #826
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. There is enough of a feud between Obama and the Clintons (esp Bill) for Obama to greenlight the DOJ to pursue criminal charges..
Seriously... Just look at these feuding feuders

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Old 09-01-2015, 09:48 PM   #827
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Seriously... Just look at these feuding feuders


Yeah it's interesting how right media reports on every golf and Hamptons trip Obama makes but they purposely forget to report who with...

This whole idea that Hillary is on the brink and that Obama is in a feud with the Clintons is complete rw propaganda.

You're just setting yourself up for epic letdown by following echo chamber media.


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Old 09-01-2015, 09:57 PM   #828
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Rubio's ears are way too big for a young guy, that's freakish. He could get the nomination though because he is very sharp, however, he doesn't accurately reflect the anger among republicans the way TRUMP! does.
Rubio needs successful executive experience of some sort, imho.

(And that's not necessarily an endorsement of TRUMP!)
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Old 09-01-2015, 10:55 PM   #829
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Yeah it's interesting how right media reports on every golf and Hamptons trip Obama makes but they purposely forget to report who with...

This whole idea that Hillary is on the brink and that Obama is in a feud with the Clintons is complete rw propaganda.

You're just setting yourself up for epic letdown by following echo chamber media.
Like I said we'll revisit the postings to see if any predictions come true. I'm calling it.
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Old 09-02-2015, 12:19 AM   #830
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I tend to believe the CW because I do think there is media hype behind Sanders and Trump and this so-called server scandal.

It's still summer. Labor Day isn't even here yet. News is driven by ratings. Trump drives ratings. So does a Clinton in crisis.

We'll know if there's any there there by Halloween. And we won't have any conclusive evidence until January.
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Old 09-02-2015, 12:45 AM   #831
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I still say if Trump can get through this next debate and keep on track he will be in the same or better position that Romney was at in Aug, Sept 2011.
Also, there were many in the mainstream GOP that found a cultist Mormon very unappealing. Some of the same people that were saying Romney, no way are the ones that are saying no way will it be Trump.
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Old 09-02-2015, 05:31 AM   #832
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If Trump can stay in the race, somehow, until September or October 2016, why he's in with a shot to be the next losing GOP presidential candidate.



















I hope.
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Old 09-02-2015, 09:19 AM   #833
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If Trump can stay in the race, somehow, until September or October 2016, why he's in with a shot to be the next losing GOP presidential candidate.



















I hope.



The party decides their nominee, officially, in the summer of 2016 at the convention. If he were to last into next fall it would be as a third party candidate, virtually guaranteeing a Democratic victory.
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Old 09-02-2015, 09:28 AM   #834
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I hope he splits the fucking party.
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Old 09-02-2015, 10:29 AM   #835
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I hope he splits the fucking party.


That's why the GOP is panicking. Black FBI helicopters may be circling the Clinton compound in the Hamptons, but the GOP is self-immolating. It seems to me to be the logical conclusion of white identity politics.
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Old 09-02-2015, 04:10 PM   #836
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there were many in the mainstream GOP that found a cultist Mormon very unappealing. .


Many evangelicals view Mormonism as a cult. I'm sure that dampened numbers.
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Old 09-02-2015, 04:54 PM   #837
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2016 US Presidential Election Pt. II

What religion is Trump faking to be in order to ensure the evangelical vote?


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Old 09-02-2015, 05:09 PM   #838
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Rubio needs successful executive experience of some sort, imho.

(And that's not necessarily an endorsement of TRUMP!)
Yeah that wouldn't hurt...

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What religion is Trump faking to be in order to ensure the evangelical vote?


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I believe he said he was protestant
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Old 09-02-2015, 06:50 PM   #839
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What religion is Trump faking to be in order to ensure the evangelical vote?
It's a mistake to think evangelicals vote as a block and want the candidate who can spit the best Biblical-verse. They're looking for leadership and a candidate that can follow through on the National interest and are respectful to their concerns on abortion, support for Israel.

For a good laugh check out the verses generated by the hashtag #TrumpBible
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Old 09-02-2015, 07:10 PM   #840
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That's why the GOP is panicking. Black FBI helicopters may be circling the Clinton compound in the Hamptons, but the GOP is self-immolating. It seems to me to be the logical conclusion of white identity politics.
Most of America's politicians are well-versed in identity politics.

From the top on down.
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