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Old 10-31-2012, 05:18 PM   #141
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Originally Posted by the iron horse View Post
I will vote for Gary Johnson, The Libertarian Party candidate, but
I predict that Mitt Rommney will win the election next Tuesday by
a much wider margin than many people think.

It will not be a close election.
Why are you so certain?
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:19 PM   #142
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Do you have any evidence for this?
I have heard that from more than one person
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:20 PM   #143
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Dick Morris said this today.

and Dick Morris is always, always wrong.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:22 PM   #144
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Quote:
Originally Posted by digitize View Post
Do you have any evidence for this?

I've seen some of the recent polls.

The early voting seems to favor Rommney.

Plus, the mood of the nation I'm feeling is like
a "Jimmy Carter" kind of thud.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:23 PM   #145
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he is not the only one

I do remember in 1980, when I was 25, everyone said it would be close, but Carter would win.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:24 PM   #146
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we'll see.

i the meantime, let the right wing continue to kill the messengers, like Nate Silver.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:26 PM   #147
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if I had to bet money, it would be on Obama

but

Quote:
Nov 1980, Gallup Pre-Election Poll
Carter 44%
Reagan 41%

Final Results

Reagan 50.7%
Carter 41.0%
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:30 PM   #148
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Race tight in four states, Obama holds slight edge: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:30 PM   #149
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the iron horse

I've seen some of the recent polls.

The early voting seems to favor Rommney.

Plus, the mood of the nation I'm feeling is like
a "Jimmy Carter" kind of thud.
Remember '04 LOTS of folks were in your same boat.

The "mood" leaned towards Kerry and whatever poll you decided to believe did the same.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:32 PM   #150
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Originally Posted by the iron horse View Post

The early voting seems to favor Rommney.
? Stats, please.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:33 PM   #151
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also,

Dickmorris.com
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:37 PM   #152
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He's completely delusional.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:39 PM   #153
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He's completely delusional.


that's how he makes his money.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:40 PM   #154
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The only way I can see Romney winning in a "landslide" (whatever that would be in 2012) is if everyone who was going to vote for Obama in the states affected by Hurricane Sandy can't vote
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:45 PM   #155
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All that would do is have Romney win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College. 7 Ohio polls were released today. Obama lead by at least 2 in all of them.

Also, Dick Morris A republican friend sent me a blog post he made about Obama pulling out of VA, NC and FL because he was losing badly. Um, Obama is concentrating on Ohio because he wins Ohio and given what is happening in NV, PA, WI he wins the election.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:46 PM   #156
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BVS View Post
Remember '04 LOTS of folks were in your same boat.

The "mood" leaned towards Kerry and whatever poll you decided to believe did the same.

you are missing the point

Some see GOP voting tsunami coming | WashingtonExaminer.com

Quote:
"Democrats are cannibalizing their high-propensity voters in advance of election day to get stories that they are winning," said a GOP analyst. "But in effect they are stealing from Peter, or Election Day, to pay Paul, or early voting."

stories are out there that the Dems have got their people to the polls early, so come election day

when the electronic ( no paper trail) votes skew GOP, well ,there will be your tsunami

as for 2004, if they tipped the scale for the GOP to get a one state win (Ohio), 2012 will be easier, with the GOP more entrenched.

this election will be easier
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:48 PM   #157
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Quote:
Originally Posted by anitram View Post
? Stats, please.

You left out from the quote what I thought was my best line.

"Plus, the mood of the nation I'm feeling is like
a "Jimmy Carter" kind of thud."

You can search the stats for yourself.

I know some might give a different stat, but Rommney, I think,
will win next Tuesday.



One day, I hope, a Libertarian will win
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:50 PM   #158
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trojanchick99 View Post
All that would do is have Romney win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College. 7 Ohio polls were released today. Obama lead by at least 2 in all of them.

Also, Dick Morris A republican friend sent me a blog post he made about Obama pulling out of VA, NC and FL because he was losing badly. Um, Obama is concentrating on Ohio because he wins Ohio and given what is happening in NV, PA, WI he wins the election.

that 2 points in Ohio, well within the margin of error, second Jill Stein Green Party will take votes, also, a lot of Ohio is electronic with no paper trail, the winner is in the secret software programming. Who can challenge the final number they spit out???
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:50 PM   #159
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the iron horse View Post
You can search the stats for yourself.
You're the one making the unsubstantiated claim that early voting favors Romney.
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Old 10-31-2012, 05:51 PM   #160
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I think Romney's going to win too

No stats, just a feeling

I'm not the Long Island medium
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