2008 U.S. Presidential Campaign Discussion Thread-Part 11 - Page 44

deep · 11-03-2008, 01:23 PM

that is a 'no brainer'.

my hope is that
anyone that has thrown themselves into the "Yes on 8" campaign
should live long enough to be embarrassed about it.

Varitek · 11-03-2008, 01:54 PM

I am also getting really, really nervous. I think Obama will win, but there's this big part of me that is super paranoid about the dirty tricks that could go down, or that the Bradley effect will be real and huge, or some combination of things, plus, it's just been such a long long time of worrying about this and now we are there.

cydewaze · 11-03-2008, 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by deep

I also have serious issues with some of McCain's policies.

But, the big Democratic gains in the Senate and House will prevent those policies from being implemented.

Yeah right. If there's one thing that this spineless Senate has told us, it's that they don't care to stand up to Bush much at all. They're practically a rubber stamp for him. Why should they be any more effective against McCain?

phillyfan26 · 11-03-2008, 02:07 PM

I had to submit my official prediction for the electoral college to my Government teacher today (he figured out that we would just stay up to hear the results tomorrow night).

I think my prediction was Obama 353, McCain 185.

Irvine511 · 11-03-2008, 02:19 PM

according to all the information we have available, Obama should win big.

there's no getting around that.

yes, the information could be egregiously wrong. it is possible.

but it's not like there's movement towards McCain, it's not like Obama's made a gaffe, it's not like there hasn't been poll after poll after poll that has Obama winning. name me the last time Obama trailed in a national poll. show me a poll from OH, VA, IA, NM, NV, and CO that puts Obama behind.

lots of people make their living doing this. they've been generally pretty accurate in the past. this isn't as volatile situation as the NH primary.

the evidence clearly shows that Obama should win big. yes, he could lose. but if he did, there would be a serious, massive reevaluation of ... well, just about everything in regards to the political process.

now, get out there and do what everyone things you're going to do: VOTE.

toscano · 11-03-2008, 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irvine511

according to all the information we have available, Obama should win big.

there's no getting around that.

yes, the information could be egregiously wrong. it is possible.

but it's not like there's movement towards McCain, it's not like Obama's made a gaffe, it's not like there hasn't been poll after poll after poll that has Obama winning. name me the last time Obama trailed in a national poll. show me a poll from OH, VA, IA, NM, NV, and CO that puts Obama behind.

lots of people make their living doing this. they've been generally pretty accurate in the past. this isn't as volatile situation as the NH primary.

the evidence clearly shows that Obama should win big. yes, he could lose. but if he did, there would be a serious, massive reevaluation of ... well, just about everything in regards to the political process.

now, get out there and do what everyone things you're going to do: VOTE.

Today's OH polls:

Ohio FOX News/Rasmussen Obama 49, McCain 49 Tie
Ohio SurveyUSA Obama 48, McCain 46 Obama +2
Ohio Reuters/Zogby Obama 50, McCain 44 Obama +6
Ohio Univ of Cinci/Ohio Poll Obama 52, McCain 46 Obama +6
Ohio Quinnipiac Obama 50, McCain 43 Obama +7

RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Latest Polls

deep · 11-03-2008, 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by phillyfan26

I think my prediction was Obama 353,

perhaps we should take over and under bets, like with football scores.

I would put the line at 344.5

www.538.com puts it at 340.5

under bet is at 340 and less

over bet is at 341 and more.

So make your predictions

under or over 340.5 ?

I will go with

over

toscano · 11-03-2008, 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by deep

perhaps we should take over and under bets, like with football scores.

I would put the line at 344.5

under bet is at 344 and less

over bet is at 345 and more.

Under - Obama 311

deep · 11-03-2008, 02:55 PM

I do think most Obama fans will take the under bet

they do not want to be greedy

and will be happy with a win

even if it is only 272

but for months now I have been expecting at least 330

and in the last few weeks
Obama's numbers have been improving.

I will stay with my

over 340.5

Varitek · 11-03-2008, 02:57 PM

Obama 347?

weather report: rain in NC, VA, snow/rain in CO, the rest of the battleground states have nice weather.

MrsSpringsteen · 11-03-2008, 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cydewaze

On Saturday's ride I ran across a girl who was parking a VW Golf Cabrio. She had a bumper sticker on the back that she had made out of two others, and it said, "Obama/McCain". I waited for her to get out, and I said, "Interesting bumper sticker".

She sort of giggled and said, "Yeah, I can't decide. I really like them both".

Yeah, that makes total sense

That's like saying that Johnny Depp and Verne Troyer both asked me out but I can't decide

toscano · 11-03-2008, 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrsSpringsteen

Yeah, that makes total sense

That's like saying that Johnny Depp and Verne Troyer both asked me out but I can't decide

How tall are you ?

MrsSpringsteen · 11-03-2008, 03:21 PM

5'9 and a half

Verne did have a sex tape, but Johnny still wins by a mile

elevated_u2_fan · 11-03-2008, 03:24 PM

what if Johnny Depp was a little person?

U2isthebest · 11-03-2008, 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elevated_u2_fan

what if Johnny Depp was a little person?

If he looked like he does, I'd still let him bang me like a screen door in a hurricane.

toscano · 11-03-2008, 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by U2isthebest

If he looked like he does, I'd still let him bang me like a screen door in a hurricane.

That kind of talk is something we need a lot more of around here...........

MrsSpringsteen · 11-03-2008, 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elevated_u2_fan

what if Johnny Depp was a little person?

Still wins by a mile

MrsSpringsteen · 11-03-2008, 03:31 PM

John McCain's appearance on Saturday Night Live helped the show average a 9.0 household rating/ 20 share in metered markets. Saturday's SNL was only beat out by Sarah Palin's appearance a few weeks ago, which averaged 10.7 rating/ 24 share. McCain's appearance helped SNL garner their second-highest rated program in more than a decade.

GirlsAloudFan · 11-03-2008, 03:36 PM

Barack's grandmother died.

elevated_u2_fan · 11-03-2008, 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by U2isthebest

If he looked like he does, I'd still let him bang me like a screen door in a hurricane.

that's real classy, mom...

11-03-2008, 01:23 PM	#861
deep Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: A far distance down. Posts: 28,601 Local Time: 04:32 AM	that is a 'no brainer'. my hope is that anyone that has thrown themselves into the "Yes on 8" campaign should live long enough to be embarrassed about it. __________________

11-03-2008, 01:54 PM	#862
Varitek Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: on borderland we run Posts: 16,861 Local Time: 07:32 AM	I am also getting really, really nervous. I think Obama will win, but there's this big part of me that is super paranoid about the dirty tricks that could go down, or that the Bradley effect will be real and huge, or some combination of things, plus, it's just been such a long long time of worrying about this and now we are there. __________________

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11-03-2008, 02:07 PM	#864
phillyfan26 Blue Crack Supplier Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 30,343 Local Time: 07:32 AM	I had to submit my official prediction for the electoral college to my Government teacher today (he figured out that we would just stay up to hear the results tomorrow night). I think my prediction was Obama 353, McCain 185.

11-03-2008, 02:19 PM	#865
Irvine511 Blue Crack Supplier Join Date: Dec 2003 Location: Washington, DC Posts: 33,395 Local Time: 08:32 AM	according to all the information we have available, Obama should win big. there's no getting around that. yes, the information could be egregiously wrong. it is possible. but it's not like there's movement towards McCain, it's not like Obama's made a gaffe, it's not like there hasn't been poll after poll after poll that has Obama winning. name me the last time Obama trailed in a national poll. show me a poll from OH, VA, IA, NM, NV, and CO that puts Obama behind. lots of people make their living doing this. they've been generally pretty accurate in the past. this isn't as volatile situation as the NH primary. the evidence clearly shows that Obama should win big. yes, he could lose. but if he did, there would be a serious, massive reevaluation of ... well, just about everything in regards to the political process. now, get out there and do what everyone things you're going to do: VOTE.

11-03-2008, 02:55 PM	#869
deep Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: A far distance down. Posts: 28,601 Local Time: 04:32 AM	I do think most Obama fans will take the under bet they do not want to be greedy and will be happy with a win even if it is only 272 but for months now I have been expecting at least 330 and in the last few weeks Obama's numbers have been improving. I will stay with my over 340.5

11-03-2008, 02:57 PM	#870
Varitek Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: on borderland we run Posts: 16,861 Local Time: 07:32 AM	Obama 347? weather report: rain in NC, VA, snow/rain in CO, the rest of the battleground states have nice weather.

11-03-2008, 03:21 PM	#873
MrsSpringsteen Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 28,170 Local Time: 08:32 AM	5'9 and a half Verne did have a sex tape, but Johnny still wins by a mile

11-03-2008, 03:24 PM	#874
elevated_u2_fan Blue Crack Supplier Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: I'm here 'cus I don't want to go home Posts: 31,949 Local Time: 08:32 AM	what if Johnny Depp was a little person?

11-03-2008, 03:31 PM	#878
MrsSpringsteen Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 28,170 Local Time: 08:32 AM	John McCain's appearance on Saturday Night Live helped the show average a 9.0 household rating/ 20 share in metered markets. Saturday's SNL was only beat out by Sarah Palin's appearance a few weeks ago, which averaged 10.7 rating/ 24 share. McCain's appearance helped SNL garner their second-highest rated program in more than a decade.

11-03-2008, 03:36 PM	#879
GirlsAloudFan Blue Crack Addict Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Chicago Posts: 26,318 Local Time: 07:32 AM	Barack's grandmother died.