doctorwho
Rock n' Roll Doggie VIP PASS
In the U.S., ATYCLB fell from the Top 100 in its 41st week. Typically, I would stop monitoring the charts at this time. However, with the new single, various U2 promotions and return of the tour, I believed that ATYCLB would return to the Top 100. This prediction proved to be true. ATYCLB returned to the U.S. Top 100 in Week 45 and has not dropped out since.
In Week 51, ATYCLB rises slightly from #55 to #54 in the U.S.
Position #54 in late-October is a great spot for this album. "Stuck...." remains in the Top 60 on the U.S. Hot 100 chart (see below) and with the tour now on-going, this should keep the album relatively stagnant on the charts for the next month or so. That may be just enough time for holiday sales to pick up, which may give the album another boost.
The first 51 weeks for ATYCLB on the U.S. Billboard charts are:
3-5-12-22-23-24-20-18-22-16
19-19-25-33-37-35-11-15-25-31
38-40-42-45-45-48-50-48-50-58
60-53-50-66-74-82-81-89-88-99
105-106-108-104-78-66-53-50-57-55
54
"POP" was out of the Top 100 after 19 weeks and "Zooropa" was out of the Top 100 after 31 weeks. ATYCLB fell out of the Top 100 after 40 weeks, however, it has now returned for an additional 7 weeks. It has spent 47 out of 51 total weeks in the U.S. Top 100.
Approximate weekly sales for the first 51 weeks of ATYCLB are (rounded to nearest thousand):
428,000 + 176,000 + 119,000 + 125,000 + 100,000 + 113,000 + 154,000 + 259,000 + 108,000 + 66,000 + 59,000 + 57,000+ 47,000 + 44,000 + 41,000 + 49,000 + 85,000 + 74,000 + 54,000 + 48,000 + 43,000 + 39,000 + 37,000 + 39,000 + 30,000 + 29,000 + 26,000 + 29,000 + 25,000 + 24,000 + 27,000 + 30,000 + 31,000 + 24,000 + 22,000 + 18,000 + 19,000 + 17,000 + 17,000 + 15,000 + 14,000 + 14,000 + 13,000 + 13,000 + 16,000 + 19,000 + 21,000 + 23,000 + 22,000 + 22,000 + 24,000
Estimated total U.S. sales after 51 weeks are: 2,948,000.
In Week 45, when ATYCLB charted at #78, sales would typically be around 18-19,000 copies. However, Billboard claimed only a 19% increase in sales for ATYCLB. The SoundScan data from the week before (kindly sent to me by Melissa) showed sales of a little over 13,000 copies. This meant that with a 19% increase, sales could be no more than 16,000 copies for the week, which seems low (remember, this occurred before the tragedy). Nonetheless, I will use this sales estimate in my calculations.
In Week 46, at #66, sales would typically be around 22,000 copies. I took off 15% from that number due to the tragedy and estimated sales at 19,000 copies. Since ATYCLB was also listed as a "Pacesetter," I felt this estimate was solid.
In Week 47, the album jumped up to #53. Popmartijn saw an article that reported sales for the #50 album that week at 22,000 copies. Therefore, I estimated sales for this week to be 21,000 copies.
In Week 48, the album was at #50, so I estimated sales at 23,000 copies. This may seem high, but Week 49 chart data (see below) suggests that 22,000 copies may be too low.
In Week 49, the album dropped to #57, but I felt that this might not necessarily be due to a huge drop in sales. My guess here proved to be true. Melissa sent me SoundScan data that showed sales to be at exactly 21,578 copies (which rounds to 22,000 copies).
In week 50, the album gains slightly in sales, with 21,955 copies sold (which, again, rounds to 22,000 copies).
In week 51, Billboard listed the album with a Gold background indicating substantially increased sales. Usually, Billboard only gives this Gold background for albums that have at least a 10% increase in sales. Therefore, based on the SoundScan numbers from week 50, I estimate sales to be 24,000 copies this week.
This puts sales just shy of 2.95 million copies in the U.S. This may be off by a few thousand, but I feel it is fairly accurate. Please note that while many weeks were estimates of sales based on chart positions, many other weeks Melissa sent me actual SoundScan data, which provided us with the exact number of copies sold.
If one estimates that stores have approximately 5x weekly sales in stock, that would put the shipment figures well over 3 million copies. Therefore, while it's not official, ATYCLB, for all intents and purposes, has gone 3x Platinum in the U.S.
The "official" certification should come within the next month.
The #1 album in the U.S. this week is "God Bless America" by various artists. Enya sees a substantial increase in sales as her album remains at #2 with approximately 175,000 copies sold. N'Sync's "Celebrity" drops from #16 to #21 as sales continue to decline.
Whitney Houston's version of the "Star Spangled Banner" was the #1 selling CD single on the U.S. CD singles sales chart for the past few weeks. Although I don't have sales numbers for this week, that previous rush of sales helped the single reach #6 on the Hot 100 Billboard charts. However, this week, the song drops to #18. This may be an indication that while patriotism still abounds (patriotic albums are #1 on the U.S. Top 200 and Pop Catalog charts), lives are now returning a bit back to normal.
"The Best Of" drops slightly from #15 to #16 on the U.S. Pop Catalog charts this week. It had peaked at #5 on this chart in early September. That #5 ranking was the highest this album has charted on this (or any) chart (note that the DOUBLE CD version of the "Best Of" charted at #2 on the Billboard Top 200, but not the single CD version). At #15, this puts sales at around 6,000 copies for the week. I'm not sure what caused this surge of sales (when the album was at #5) for the "Best Of," as there was no tour at the time, no new single and the tragedy had yet to happen. Nonetheless, it was nice to see people getting into "old" U2 music.
"Stuck in a Moment..." debuted at #62 (higher than the debut for "Beautiful Day") on the Hot 100 chart. This gave U2 their second biggest hit off of ATYCLB in the U.S. This week, the song slips to #59. Its run to date has been: #62-58-55-52-52-59.
Despite its strong debut, "Stuck..." climbed slowly on the charts and now it is falling. On the very important Adult Top 40 charts, the song drops from #13 to #14 (possibly explaining why the song slipped on the Hot 100 chart); however, on this chart the song retains its Gold background indicating increased airplay. If the song can climb higher on the Adult Top 40 chart, that may give it a significant boost in reaching the U.S. Top 40 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart (the chart to use when monitoring a song's success in the U.S.). I believe "Beautiful Day" also dropped before rising again, so there is still some hope for "Stuck..."
"Stuck..." has not entered the Top 20 on the U.S. Modern Rock charts. All of U2's other singles ("Beautiful Day," "Walk On" and "Elevation") became Top 10 hits on this chart. The chart performance of "Stuck..." on the U.S. charts to date suggests that Brian Eno will NOT win his bet (claiming this would become U2's biggest hit ever). In contrast, Creed's "My Sacrifice," debuted at #20 on the U.S. Modern Rock chart last week and sky-rockets to #7 this week. I guess if U2 were still in their 20's or early 30's, they'd have this type of success as well.
The #1 song in the U.S. this week is "Family Affair" by Mary J. Blige. Michael Jackson's, "You Rock My World," peaked at #10 on the U.S. Hot 100 chart. This week it drops #29 to out of the Top 50!. "What's Going On" - the Allstar tribute - drops from #33 to #34 this week. This ranking is based solely on airplay. As you all know, a CD single will be released so that proceeds can go to charity. Once the CD single is out, I predict this song to chart a bit higher. N'Sync's "Gone" rises from #32 to #27. Despite my jabs at N'Sync throughout my chart reports, I don't completely dislike them. There are a few N'Sync songs that I can tolerate. However, "Gone" is arguably the worst song I have ever heard. Its success astonishes me. Speaking of boy bands, the Backstreet Boys, "Drowning," rises #46 to #36. So even though these bands are not at the top of the charts, they are still heavily present in the Top 40 in the U.S. So much for the downfall of boy bands that was predicted this year... Creed's "My Sacrifice," debuted at #50 in the U.S. Hot 100 chart last week and rises to #47 this week.
[This message has been edited by doctorwho (edited 10-28-2001).]
In Week 51, ATYCLB rises slightly from #55 to #54 in the U.S.
Position #54 in late-October is a great spot for this album. "Stuck...." remains in the Top 60 on the U.S. Hot 100 chart (see below) and with the tour now on-going, this should keep the album relatively stagnant on the charts for the next month or so. That may be just enough time for holiday sales to pick up, which may give the album another boost.
The first 51 weeks for ATYCLB on the U.S. Billboard charts are:
3-5-12-22-23-24-20-18-22-16
19-19-25-33-37-35-11-15-25-31
38-40-42-45-45-48-50-48-50-58
60-53-50-66-74-82-81-89-88-99
105-106-108-104-78-66-53-50-57-55
54
"POP" was out of the Top 100 after 19 weeks and "Zooropa" was out of the Top 100 after 31 weeks. ATYCLB fell out of the Top 100 after 40 weeks, however, it has now returned for an additional 7 weeks. It has spent 47 out of 51 total weeks in the U.S. Top 100.
Approximate weekly sales for the first 51 weeks of ATYCLB are (rounded to nearest thousand):
428,000 + 176,000 + 119,000 + 125,000 + 100,000 + 113,000 + 154,000 + 259,000 + 108,000 + 66,000 + 59,000 + 57,000+ 47,000 + 44,000 + 41,000 + 49,000 + 85,000 + 74,000 + 54,000 + 48,000 + 43,000 + 39,000 + 37,000 + 39,000 + 30,000 + 29,000 + 26,000 + 29,000 + 25,000 + 24,000 + 27,000 + 30,000 + 31,000 + 24,000 + 22,000 + 18,000 + 19,000 + 17,000 + 17,000 + 15,000 + 14,000 + 14,000 + 13,000 + 13,000 + 16,000 + 19,000 + 21,000 + 23,000 + 22,000 + 22,000 + 24,000
Estimated total U.S. sales after 51 weeks are: 2,948,000.
In Week 45, when ATYCLB charted at #78, sales would typically be around 18-19,000 copies. However, Billboard claimed only a 19% increase in sales for ATYCLB. The SoundScan data from the week before (kindly sent to me by Melissa) showed sales of a little over 13,000 copies. This meant that with a 19% increase, sales could be no more than 16,000 copies for the week, which seems low (remember, this occurred before the tragedy). Nonetheless, I will use this sales estimate in my calculations.
In Week 46, at #66, sales would typically be around 22,000 copies. I took off 15% from that number due to the tragedy and estimated sales at 19,000 copies. Since ATYCLB was also listed as a "Pacesetter," I felt this estimate was solid.
In Week 47, the album jumped up to #53. Popmartijn saw an article that reported sales for the #50 album that week at 22,000 copies. Therefore, I estimated sales for this week to be 21,000 copies.
In Week 48, the album was at #50, so I estimated sales at 23,000 copies. This may seem high, but Week 49 chart data (see below) suggests that 22,000 copies may be too low.
In Week 49, the album dropped to #57, but I felt that this might not necessarily be due to a huge drop in sales. My guess here proved to be true. Melissa sent me SoundScan data that showed sales to be at exactly 21,578 copies (which rounds to 22,000 copies).
In week 50, the album gains slightly in sales, with 21,955 copies sold (which, again, rounds to 22,000 copies).
In week 51, Billboard listed the album with a Gold background indicating substantially increased sales. Usually, Billboard only gives this Gold background for albums that have at least a 10% increase in sales. Therefore, based on the SoundScan numbers from week 50, I estimate sales to be 24,000 copies this week.
This puts sales just shy of 2.95 million copies in the U.S. This may be off by a few thousand, but I feel it is fairly accurate. Please note that while many weeks were estimates of sales based on chart positions, many other weeks Melissa sent me actual SoundScan data, which provided us with the exact number of copies sold.
If one estimates that stores have approximately 5x weekly sales in stock, that would put the shipment figures well over 3 million copies. Therefore, while it's not official, ATYCLB, for all intents and purposes, has gone 3x Platinum in the U.S.
The #1 album in the U.S. this week is "God Bless America" by various artists. Enya sees a substantial increase in sales as her album remains at #2 with approximately 175,000 copies sold. N'Sync's "Celebrity" drops from #16 to #21 as sales continue to decline.
Whitney Houston's version of the "Star Spangled Banner" was the #1 selling CD single on the U.S. CD singles sales chart for the past few weeks. Although I don't have sales numbers for this week, that previous rush of sales helped the single reach #6 on the Hot 100 Billboard charts. However, this week, the song drops to #18. This may be an indication that while patriotism still abounds (patriotic albums are #1 on the U.S. Top 200 and Pop Catalog charts), lives are now returning a bit back to normal.
"The Best Of" drops slightly from #15 to #16 on the U.S. Pop Catalog charts this week. It had peaked at #5 on this chart in early September. That #5 ranking was the highest this album has charted on this (or any) chart (note that the DOUBLE CD version of the "Best Of" charted at #2 on the Billboard Top 200, but not the single CD version). At #15, this puts sales at around 6,000 copies for the week. I'm not sure what caused this surge of sales (when the album was at #5) for the "Best Of," as there was no tour at the time, no new single and the tragedy had yet to happen. Nonetheless, it was nice to see people getting into "old" U2 music.
"Stuck in a Moment..." debuted at #62 (higher than the debut for "Beautiful Day") on the Hot 100 chart. This gave U2 their second biggest hit off of ATYCLB in the U.S. This week, the song slips to #59. Its run to date has been: #62-58-55-52-52-59.
Despite its strong debut, "Stuck..." climbed slowly on the charts and now it is falling. On the very important Adult Top 40 charts, the song drops from #13 to #14 (possibly explaining why the song slipped on the Hot 100 chart); however, on this chart the song retains its Gold background indicating increased airplay. If the song can climb higher on the Adult Top 40 chart, that may give it a significant boost in reaching the U.S. Top 40 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart (the chart to use when monitoring a song's success in the U.S.). I believe "Beautiful Day" also dropped before rising again, so there is still some hope for "Stuck..."
"Stuck..." has not entered the Top 20 on the U.S. Modern Rock charts. All of U2's other singles ("Beautiful Day," "Walk On" and "Elevation") became Top 10 hits on this chart. The chart performance of "Stuck..." on the U.S. charts to date suggests that Brian Eno will NOT win his bet (claiming this would become U2's biggest hit ever). In contrast, Creed's "My Sacrifice," debuted at #20 on the U.S. Modern Rock chart last week and sky-rockets to #7 this week. I guess if U2 were still in their 20's or early 30's, they'd have this type of success as well.
The #1 song in the U.S. this week is "Family Affair" by Mary J. Blige. Michael Jackson's, "You Rock My World," peaked at #10 on the U.S. Hot 100 chart. This week it drops #29 to out of the Top 50!. "What's Going On" - the Allstar tribute - drops from #33 to #34 this week. This ranking is based solely on airplay. As you all know, a CD single will be released so that proceeds can go to charity. Once the CD single is out, I predict this song to chart a bit higher. N'Sync's "Gone" rises from #32 to #27. Despite my jabs at N'Sync throughout my chart reports, I don't completely dislike them. There are a few N'Sync songs that I can tolerate. However, "Gone" is arguably the worst song I have ever heard. Its success astonishes me. Speaking of boy bands, the Backstreet Boys, "Drowning," rises #46 to #36. So even though these bands are not at the top of the charts, they are still heavily present in the Top 40 in the U.S. So much for the downfall of boy bands that was predicted this year... Creed's "My Sacrifice," debuted at #50 in the U.S. Hot 100 chart last week and rises to #47 this week.
[This message has been edited by doctorwho (edited 10-28-2001).]