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Old 01-05-2002, 06:25 AM   #1
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First-glance Grammy Predictions... Anyone?

Who do you think will most likely grab the prize in their category? ...

Please divulge... U2-elected categories, New Artist, Best Rock, Best Alternative, etc. etc. and any category that you might care for...

And the early predictions are....
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Old 01-05-2002, 06:27 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally posted by theSoulfulMofo:
Who do you think will most likely grab the prize in their category? ...

Please divulge... U2-elected categories, New Artist, Best Rock, Best Alternative, etc. etc. and any category that you might care for...

And the early predictions are....
I'll limit my predictions to what U2 themselves might win. My prediction is that they get Album of the Year, and nothing else. And no, I'm not kidding.

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Old 01-05-2002, 08:22 AM   #3
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I think u2 stands a good chance of getting a few grammies if not all they are not nominated for.If the grammy voters really listen to the songs that are nominated(and albums)and keeping in mind the events of September 11th,u2 has a great chance of winning them!Keep in mind many people thought Santana wouldn't get all the grammies he got and he did so.....
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Old 01-05-2002, 08:32 AM   #4
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I doubt they would win the categories they swept last year AGAIN, so...

i think Album of the year, or Rock album of the year.
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Old 01-05-2002, 09:22 AM   #5
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I second that U2girl!
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Old 01-05-2002, 12:40 PM   #6
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Don't understand why U2 are up for Best Album of the year... when ATYCLB came out in 2000!

U2 will probably win about 3
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Old 01-05-2002, 12:59 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally posted by Bonoforever:
Don't understand why U2 are up for Best Album of the year... when ATYCLB came out in 2000!
Because the but-off date for albums or songs to be nominated is Sept 31 (i think), so it wasn't eligible last year and is this year.

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Old 01-05-2002, 01:30 PM   #8
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I want them to win all of them but I bet they won't. Still the guys who do the voting really seem to like U2. We'll see.

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Old 01-05-2002, 01:36 PM   #9
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Well, Im pretty sure theyll win 2 for sure... but since Im pretty cocky, Ill say that our boys will go 8 for 8 !!

I dont know, but Rock album, Best album are locked down in my mind.
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Old 01-05-2002, 02:27 PM   #10
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...on second thought, i have a feeling one of the songs will win too (either Walk on, or Stuck, or Elevation).

So... Album of the year and/or Rock album of the year and one of the songs.

2, maybe 3 Grammys.

ps: Are we talking predictions or bets here? Should there be prizes for people who guess?


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Old 01-05-2002, 02:51 PM   #11
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8 Grammy nods, but two in one category, so that means a maximum of 7 wins.

The fact that U2 have DIFFERENT songs in the Record of the Year and Song of the Year categories hurts them. While not always, usually the Record of the Year goes to the Song of the Year. Since U2 doesn't have one song represented in both categories, their chances of winning either are slim. And since U2 won those awards last year, this will hurt them even more.

However, I can see U2 winning an award in the Best Rock Song category, especially since U2 have two songs there. That gives them a 40% chance of winning - double that of the other nominees. Also, I foresee a nod in the other Rock categories, such as Best Rock Album and Best Rock Performance by a Group or Duo.

Of course, the award I WANT them to win is Best Album. Along with Record of the Year, this is the most prestigious award. If U2 can win this one, I will be elated. And I think U2 has a good chance. The album is still on the U.S. charts, well over a year after it was released. It has generated some recent hits (the success of "Stuck..." really helped this album). The tour was huge and U2 don't have a backlash going - rather, praise.

Therefore, I think U2 have a chance at 4 awards.
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Old 01-05-2002, 06:02 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally posted by doctorwho:
8 Grammy nods, but two in one category, so that means a maximum of 7 wins.

The fact that U2 have DIFFERENT songs in the Record of the Year and Song of the Year categories hurts them. While not always, usually the Record of the Year goes to the Song of the Year. Since U2 doesn't have one song represented in both categories, their chances of winning either are slim. And since U2 won those awards last year, this will hurt them even more.

However, I can see U2 winning an award in the Best Rock Song category, especially since U2 have two songs there. That gives them a 40% chance of winning - double that of the other nominees. Also, I foresee a nod in the other Rock categories, such as Best Rock Album and Best Rock Performance by a Group or Duo.

Of course, the award I WANT them to win is Best Album. Along with Record of the Year, this is the most prestigious award. If U2 can win this one, I will be elated. And I think U2 has a good chance. The album is still on the U.S. charts, well over a year after it was released. It has generated some recent hits (the success of "Stuck..." really helped this album). The tour was huge and U2 don't have a backlash going - rather, praise.

Therefore, I think U2 have a chance at 4 awards.
You're right about Record & Song of the year. They're very unlikely to win either of those categories for all the reasons you mentioned.

Rock Album is a shoe-in. They're the only nominee also up for Album of the Year. You can't be nominated for OVERALL Album of the Year and not win the "genre" category, unless, of course, there is another OVERALL Album of the Year nominee in your genre.

And having said that, think they'll win the overall award. I'd be pretty surprised if they didn't.

As for Rock Song, what mug222 said. Having two nominations is cool, but ultimately it will result in them having almost no chance at winning the award. They don't have a 40% chance at it because this isn't simply pulling a name out of a hat. People vote, and that changes the whole dynamic of it. Train should win this, both because it's a good song and because the U2 vote will probably be split somewhat.

They're also up for Best Pop Song (by duo), and I think they'll win that.

I foresee wins for:
Best Album
Best Rock Album
Best Pop Song

Anything else I'll be greatly surprised and pleased with.

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Old 01-05-2002, 06:05 PM   #13
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my prediction is that the grammys will suck once again

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Old 01-05-2002, 07:17 PM   #14
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I agree with Mike:

U2 wins in:
1. Pop Song of Year by Duo/Group
2. Rock Album of the Year(Dark horse candidate: PJ Harvey, who really *should* win)
3. Album of the Year (fingers crossed for this one)

A. Keys will win Song/Record of the Year. The Rock Song of the Year will go to Coldplay or someone else by virtue of U2's two entries splitting the U2 vote.

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Old 01-05-2002, 07:18 PM   #15
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I think U2 has a good chance of getting album of the year. I think the only tough competition is Bob Dylan. Sometimes the Grammys favor the older acts, like Steely Dan getting it last yer. I doubt Outkast's album "Stankonia"(LOL!) is going to win. I mean, look at the title: STANKONIA!?
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Old 01-05-2002, 08:01 PM   #16
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For some reason, Sept. 11, year-to-date album sales, and the biggest tour act of 2001... I wouldn't be surprised if they won all 7...

But I think I give my analysis and reasoning later on.
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Old 01-05-2002, 08:54 PM   #17
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I think Alicia Keys will get the Song and Record of the Year, and her Best New Artist award is a 100% lock. U2 could get:

1) The Best Rock Album - although in all fairness PJ Harvey should win this one as well as the Female Rock Performance.

2) Best Rock Song - maybe, although "Drops of Jupiter" is a strong bet.

3) Best Pop Performance - wouldn't it be fun if they got the awards for both Pop and Rock!

4) Best Album - I hope they get this one. Bob Dylan is a strong competition, but perhaps the Academy will choose to award "younger people" this year,

I hope that either Bjork or Coldplay win Alternative Album (which both deserved much more nominations).
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Old 01-05-2002, 09:06 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally posted by Salome:
my prediction is that the grammys will suck once again

oh, salome, how can you say that when U2 went 3 for 3 last year?

oh yeah, I forgot about, who was that guy? ewww, MnM, oh Eminem.

Great grammy years: 1987: Paul Simon & Graceland. 1988: Duh. 1990: Bonnie Raitt & Nick of Time.

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Old 01-05-2002, 09:10 PM   #19
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I remember people in this forum last year saying u2 would not win all three grammies they were nominated for.I have absolute faith that they could win all seven!
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Old 01-05-2002, 09:19 PM   #20
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Ok... Here's my analysis:

Record of the Year: Walk On, U2
Reason: September 11th... a teargusher music video of NYC, and U2's inspiration, wisdom, encouragement, and prophetic response...

Album of the Year: ATYCLB, U2
Reason: Bob Dylan, I think, is a formidable dark horse, because I don't think it's very accessible to the mainstream public. U2 might more than likely win out.

Song of the Year: Fallin', Alicia Keys
Reason: R&Bwise, I think Stuck doesn't have much of a chance to Fallin'.

Best New Artist: Alicia Keys
Reason: Don't know about the other three. But Linkin Park? Com'n.. only junior highers would vote for that crap, if they were in the committe... Alicia Keys is probably the most respectable artist to enter the scene since Lauryn Hill, IMHPO.

Best Rock Performance: Elevation, U2
Reason: Aerosmith who? Coldplay, oh, you mean Radiohead! The Space Between what? (other than hardcore fans, DMB might be overrated for some) Train's song is catchy (I admit) at the moment, but that's probably just it.

Best Hard Rock Performance: Smooth Criminal, Alient Ant Farm
Reason: I think they have the talent + charisma than most nu metal rapcore bands.

Best Rock Song: Walk On, U2
Reason: See various reason listed above about U2 and opinion on other bands.

Best Rock Album: ATYCLB, U2
Reason: Hands down.

Best Alternative Album: Amnesiac, Radiohead
Reason: Hmmm... Coldplay, Radiohead. Coldplay, Radiohead.

Any Questions?
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