NFL 2015 Part 2: There's a Flag Down

[LemonMelon]

I try. Got to keep things spicy in the pre-Super Bowl downtime.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

I'm talking SUPER BOWL SUCCESS! I've emphasized that numerous times. I have already said that Peyton has accomplished more in the NFL and won more games. BUT, Eli was won more Super Bowls, therefore he has achieved more success in the SUPER BOWL than his brother.

I have no idea what you're trying to argue.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

The Panthers roster all being relatively new at this Super Bowl thing, which can be an overwhelming experience, is about the only thing keeping me from thinking this game won't be a blowout in the Panthers favor.

And quite honestly, that's a pretty shitty reason. Broncos should have lost twice and have a QB with a noodle arm and a history of bed shitting. I really don't think Carolina is as good as their record would say, and they've been an awful second half team... but Peyton is shot. Absolutely shot. I guess that should be some sort of testament to how good Denver's defense, I dunno.

This game's gonna suck. Panthers by at least two touchdowns.

 

[MrPryck2U]

I have no idea what you're trying to argue.

I actually wasn't "arguing" anything. Just stating a fact. And then I was good naturedly busting LM's chops about his "truther" remark. If you care, you can go back to it. If not, life goes on.

 

[LuckyNumber7]

Peyton only has 4 conference championships.

Sorry, someone said 5 earlier I think, and I was just riding with it (I could only count 4 in my head, but I was also something like 6 years old when Peyton entered the league).

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

I actually wasn't "arguing" anything. Just stating a fact. And then I was good naturedly busting LM's chops about his "truther" remark. If you care, you can go back to it. If not, life goes on.

I mean... I crack a joke here and there about Eli over Peyton in big games, and in a way it is true... but Eli's sample size is much smaller.

But I don't think there anyone who honestly believes Eli is better than Peyton who isn't also a moron.

I will argue that Eli would get looked at in a much brighter light by non Giants fans if his last name wasn't Manning. But that's about it.

 

[speedracer]

It's not just that, though. Three main unaccounted for factors:

- Denver's unrelenting end zone D
- Tom Brady's ability to move the ball down the field
- Denver's inability to get their offense going anywhere

Those are three big factors, that stray very far from the norm. And it proved to be true, in this case.

In case anyone still cares:

One source of systematic error that might exist in the fourth down model is that it's trained on data from 2000-2014.

The kickoff was moved back to the 35 yard line in 2011. 5 yards doesn't seem like much, but it's essentially enough to turn the old sudden-death OT system into a 50-50 proposition.

Kickoffs from the 35 would tend to favor taking the points/punting and trying to score again over going for it on marginal 4th downs, unless the model has already corrected for this.

 

[MrPryck2U]

I mean... I crack a joke here and there about Eli over Peyton in big games, and in a way it is true... but Eli's sample size is much smaller.

But I don't think there anyone who honestly believes Eli is better than Peyton who isn't also a moron.

I will argue that Eli would get looked at in a much brighter light by non Giants fans if his last name wasn't Manning. But that's about it.

This is hilarious. I said numerous times that Peyton definitely had a more successful career than Eli. He accomplished more and had more wins. But, and this is the big thing that is baffling many. Eli has won 2 Super Bowls. Yes, Peyton appeared in more, but he has only one victory in the Super Bowl. LM made reference to quieting the "truthers" if Peyton wins the Super Bowl. Than I jokingly said that he would only equal Eli's success because they would both have 2 victories. To surpass Eli's Super Bowl wins, Peyton would have to win a third Super Bowl to shut up the Eli "truthers". What turned into a good natured jab at LM switched to a reading comprehension test that everyone failed. Which, was entertaining none the less.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

K

 

[PhilsFan]

Alright.

 

[Oregoropa]

The Manning brothers are responsible from the Patriots having possibly 5 more rings. Knocking them out in championship games and the Super Bowls. It's a family effort


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[Hewson]

The Manning brothers are responsible from the Patriots having possibly 5 more rings. Knocking them out in championship games and the Super Bowls. It's a family effort

That's why Belichick spends his offseason in Quahog, RI working with Stewart Gilligan Griffin to perfect his time machine and he's going to travel back to 1972 and bump off Archie.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

Giggity

 

[MrPryck2U]

And the Johnny Football death watch is officially underway.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

I used to defend Manziel when the media would go on their typical "hey this young 20 year old celebrity likes to go to bars and Vegas, he must have a drinking problem" bullshit... but in his case they were clearly right. Dude has some serious issues and I hope he can get himself straightened out before anything tragic happens

 

[MrPryck2U]

Exactly! He's either going to kill himself or someone else.

 

[DaveC]

23-17 Carolina, Cam is the MVP.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

Lady Gaga national anthem over under currently set at 2:20.

Meat dress set at 200-1

Carolina has historically gotten off to hot starts and then had to hold on for dear life. They were one of the worst second half teams all season. Problem is Peyton can't make the throws needed to bring them back from a big deficit anymore.

So if Carolina jumps on them early, I think it ends in a blowout.

If Denver can keep it close it even have a lead through the first half, then they can pull off a squeaker.

Frankly I'm leaning towards blowout.

 

[brooklynmike]

23-20 Broncos

 

[Hewson]

Carolina 33 Denver 17.

Off to the casino (the non Patriots Super Bowl viewing tradition for my friends and I), wish me luck.

 

[PennyLanePHINS]

Do they bet on halftime setlist songs too?

I'd go:
Clocks, Viva La Vida, Sky Full of Stars, a Bruno Mars song or a different cover with him of a previous performer, Hymn for the Weekend & a cover w/ Beyonce?

 

[GirlsAloudFan]

Beyoncé is doing her new track "Formation."

 

[deep]

I am betting that the Panthers go over 5.5 points for the win
And the over 40 total points


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[LemonMelon]

21-17 Panthers

Coldplay does not play anything older than Clocks and mostly sticks to post-X&Y stuff. Hymn for the Weekend is performed with Beyonce.

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

Beyonce is performing her new single in the show, and Bruno Mars is also playing with them... Because modern Coldplay can suck it, that's why

 

[Headache in a Suitcase]

I can't stand Josh Norman, so I'd love to see Denver win

But, yea

42-17 Carolina.

 

[bono_212]

Gaga Killin it.

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[corianderstem]

I was very meh about Gaga's rendition.

 

[LemonMelon]

Gaga

 

[phanan]

Not sure how that is not a catch. Never touched the ground.